New YPPT Method

add me in USAsurfer. i will pm you

Thx

Jets          95 (R)    175 (P)      270 (YDS)       16.5 (YPPT)   16.4 PTS

Dolphins   161 (R)  159 (P)    320 (YDS)       18.8 (YPPT)  17.0 PTS

Isnt This the basic version. Rushing+Passing/YPPT=Score

Cant we just get those stats and do the calculation that way?or is it that we have to add certain numbers ex HFA,SOS?

Wow I didn't realize how many requests I would get that fast.  I think I just made 15 new friends, I will send out that excel file to all of you guys that PM me, and after that hopefully you can distribute it from there.

It is on my other computer, so I will get it out tomorrow in the a.m.

There are YPPT numbers on Statfox already, when you click on Expanded Matchup of each game, wich ones you use? "All Games" (Offense/Defence)?

Jets (Off.)       130.5R (+31.1)   166.7P (-67.9)  16.1YPPT (+0.7)

Opp. Allow       99.4                 234.6               15.4

Where do you guys get Opp.allow? is it the same as the defensive stats?

 Thanks to all for all the work &info., UsaSurfer .........is it possible to send the spread sheet please?

Thanks

So then why won't you include Detroit in one of the best plays of the week?

Am i missing something here.........

You have Detroit by 15 pts........they may be like a 3 pt favorite

So Detroit too ?

Hello roughshod31

I am trying to understand your new adjustments so I can set them up in my spreadsheet.  I understand the way the sos is now set up by dividing team rating by team sched.  I also understand the new HFA -1.75/+1.75 and adding a point per difference of 7.

I don't understand how you implement the plays and yards per play though and was hoping you could spread some light on this for me?

Thank you

Okay, I looked at the Jets number and I forgot to use the SOS number and HFA, my final numbers are Mia = 17.71 and Jets = 19.78

So real numbers, I guess I would look for Mia = 17, Jets = 21

Recon

theres a post from 2 nights ago where "rough" did the Bo/clv game and it hit both side and total but they werent big discrepancies from the vegas line.

JB - I think rough said he was working on something similar for points per attempt or something similar for hoops.  I like where you are going though...Lebron will lead the NBA in rushing this year.

All right guys I just went through about a million PMs and sent my spreadsheet to every individual who included an e-mail address.  I think that is about all the time I can spend today, but I will try to get to more tomorrow.  Maybe some others can share their files in the meantime.

Good luck.

lou4062

I use the Total Plays & Yards Per Play as a means on double checking the accuracy of YPPT calculation. I will show you using Texas @ Oklahoma St. as an example.

          Offense Plays   (Differential)   Offense YPP (Differential) 

UT              78.6                  ( + 6.7 )           5.6               ( + 0.5 )

OK St.        68.0                   ( - 3.5 )            6.1               (+ 0.1 )

           Defense Plays   (Differential)  Defense YPP (Differential)

UT               65.9              ( - 5.6 )           3.6                 ( - 1.7 )

OK St.          71.7              ( + 0.3 )          4.9                 ( - 0.4 ) 

Texas SOS (Mult.)     1.030

OK St.  SOS(Mult.)     0.970

Texas     78.6 + 0.3 =  78.9   

               71.7 + 6.7 =  78.4  (78.9 + 78.4 = 157.3/2 = 78.7)

               78.7 x 1.030 = 81.1 Expected Plays

Texas     5.6 + -0.4 = 5.2

               4.9 + +0.5 = 5.4   (5.2 + 5.4 = 10.6/2 = 5.3)

                5.3 x 1.030 = 5.5  Expected YPP

Texas     81.1 Plays  x  5.5 YPP =  446.1 Total YDS.

                                                      430.1 Total Yds. YPPT Calc.

Do the same for Oklahoma St. and you have a good way to double check your YPPT calculation.

Hope this helps

GL

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