Hey guys I found this, interesting:
Home Field Advantage in the NFL
In the NFL, home field advantage (HFA) also increases from the regular season to the playoffs even though the league’s single-game playoff format provides no incentive to prolong a series. One big reason for the difference is due to the relative strength of opponents.
The NFL’s regular season HFA is 57%--the home team wins 57 out of 100 times. But in the playoffs it’s 68%. The biggest difference between regular season games and playoff games is the relative strength of opponents. Regular season games can feature mismatches, but playoff games feature only opponents who are relatively close in ability.
When teams are well-matched in ability, other factors such as HFA, which are normally small, appear more decisive. There are fewer cases of games that feature a strong visitor against a weak home team in the playoffs. The winning percentage of the home team would therefore naturally increase.
Home Court Advantage in the NBA
In the NBA, HCA is even stronger than the NFL’s HFA. Think of home advantage not as a game-long effect, but as a tiny advantage on each possession. The NBA plays quickly with a short shot clock and long 48 minute games. It’s a sport on speed. Each team gets about 100 possessions per game. Over the course of each possession, a HCA effect accrues into a very large game-long effect. HCA in the NBA is unusually strong for natural reasons having nothing to do with bias.
In the NBA playoffs, HCA is magnified by the same process at work in the NFL. Teams are closer in ability, and therefore other factors such as HCA appear to be more decisive.
https://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/06/bias-and-home-advantage-in-nba-vs-nfl.html
Could it be that the home team during the playoffs is a better team since they had to have a better record to get that home field?
PREDICTIONS w/lines USING EXCEL WITH MY FILTERS.........SEE WHAT HAPPENS............
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