skan
I will explain using LA Monroes (P) vs Ark.St. (P) Def.
LAM 210.0 (P) (+4.2) Ark. St. 266.5 (P) DEF. (+74.1)
210.0 + 266.5 = 476.5/ 2 =238.3
74.1 - 4.2 = 69.9/2 = 35.0 + 238.3 = 273.3 x .954 SOS = 260.7 (P)
GL
10/14/09
Boise St. @ Tulsa
Boise St. 152 (R) 265 (P) 417 (TYDS) 13.0 YPPT
Tulsa 108 (R) 174 (P) 282 (TYDS) 19.0 YPPT
Projected Score
Boise St. (32.1) 31
Tulsa (14.8) 14
Note: I went back to the original simplified version of this formula.
PLAY: Boise St. - 9.5
GL
on your last post ark st game, where did you get the number (22.4), (6.3)etc.... can you please help me out, i have something wrong because my numbers for boise game are 30 - 17
/Quote]
LOU4062...
the number 23.7/25.8 = 1.088 is from SAGARIN'S, but which number is which from the SAGARIN'S chart?
thanks
Full Math Original Version:
Boise St. 68.77 (SOS) 1.068
Tulsa 60.00 (SOS .932
68.77 + 60.00 = 128.77 / 2 = 64.39
60.00 / 64.39 = .932 (Tulsa) 68.77 / 64.39 = 1.068 (Boise St.)
Boise (O) 191.6 (R) (+28.8) 247.8 (P) (+37.6) 10.9 YPPT (-1.3)
Tulsa (D) 95.0 (R) (-31.1) 204.2 (P) (+6.5) 18.5 YPPT (-0.3)
Boise St.
191.6 - 31.1 = 160.5
95.0 + 28.8 = 123.8
160.5 + 123.8 = 284.3 / 2 = 142.2 x 1.068 = 151.9 Rushing
247.8 + 6.5 = 254.3
204.2 + 37.6 = 241.8
254.3 + 241.8 = 496.1 / 2 = 248.1 x 1.068 = 265.0 Passing
416.9 Total Yds.
10.9 - 0.3 = 10.6
18.5 - 1.3 = 17.2
10.6 + 17.2 = 27.8 / 2 = 13.9 x .932 Tulsa's SOS = 13.0 YPPT
416.9 TYDS / 13.0 YPPT = 32.1 Projected Points
Tulsa
168.0 - 31.5 = 136.5
102.0 - 6.5 = 95.5
136.5 + 95.5 = 232.0 / 2 = 116 x .932 = 108.1 Rushing
246.2 - 52.9 = 193.3
171.8 + 7.5 = 179.3
193.3 + 179.3 = 372.6 / 2 = 186.3 x .932 = 173.6 Passing
281.7 Total Yds
12.6 + 2.8 = 15.4
19.0 + 1.2 = 20.2
15.4 + 20.2 = 35.6 / 2 = 17.8 x 1.068 Boise SOS = 19.0 YPPT
281.7 TYDS / 19.0 YPPT = 14.8 Projected Points
Hope this helps as this is the formula in its simplest form
GL
Full Math Original Version:
Boise St. 68.77 (SOS) 1.068
Tulsa 60.00 (SOS .932
68.77 + 60.00 = 128.77 / 2 = 64.39
60.00 / 64.39 = .932 (Tulsa) 68.77 / 64.39 = 1.068 (Boise St.)
Boise (O) 191.6 (R) (+28.8) 247.8 (P) (+37.6) 10.9 YPPT (-1.3)
Tulsa (D) 95.0 (R) (-31.1) 204.2 (P) (+6.5) 18.5 YPPT (-0.3)
Boise St.
191.6 - 31.1 = 160.5
95.0 + 28.8 = 123.8
160.5 + 123.8 = 284.3 / 2 = 142.2 x 1.068 = 151.9 Rushing
247.8 + 6.5 = 254.3
204.2 + 37.6 = 241.8
254.3 + 241.8 = 496.1 / 2 = 248.1 x 1.068 = 265.0 Passing
416.9 Total Yds.
10.9 - 0.3 = 10.6
18.5 - 1.3 = 17.2
10.6 + 17.2 = 27.8 / 2 = 13.9 x .932 Tulsa's SOS = 13.0 YPPT
416.9 TYDS / 13.0 YPPT = 32.1 Projected Points
Tulsa
168.0 - 31.5 = 136.5
102.0 - 6.5 = 95.5
136.5 + 95.5 = 232.0 / 2 = 116 x .932 = 108.1 Rushing
246.2 - 52.9 = 193.3
171.8 + 7.5 = 179.3
193.3 + 179.3 = 372.6 / 2 = 186.3 x .932 = 173.6 Passing
281.7 Total Yds
12.6 + 2.8 = 15.4
19.0 + 1.2 = 20.2
15.4 + 20.2 = 35.6 / 2 = 17.8 x 1.068 Boise SOS = 19.0 YPPT
281.7 TYDS / 19.0 YPPT = 14.8 Projected Points
Hope this helps as this is the formula in its simplest form
GL
roughshod31
how do u get the R(+28.8) and P(+37.6) on Boise Off?
thanks
I'm happy about the excitement that has been generated here in this forum. I don't want people to lose sight of the fact that WE WILL suffer shortcomings along the way. Any ideas to improve this formula are welcome for trial & error as this needs to continue to be a work in progress. I am always trying new things looking for any edge I might find.
GL & Keep up the good work
Established in 1995,
. But really i have no idea, thats very strange.
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