Tuesday results: NYR lose on the C game. They are a bad team. Of course they still have 6 more games left on this homestand and will probbaly win the next two against Columbus and Clagary, but they are not official plays.
5 losses already, not good. Playing just the A games is looking like a good move.
No other games until Thursday.
Regular system:
Record 29-5
A: 25-9
B: 3-6
C: 1-5
Double dip:
Record 16-0
A: 11-5
B: 4-1
C: 1-0
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Tuesday results: NYR lose on the C game. They are a bad team. Of course they still have 6 more games left on this homestand and will probbaly win the next two against Columbus and Clagary, but they are not official plays.
5 losses already, not good. Playing just the A games is looking like a good move.
There was an google link on here that shared possible plays coming up. Anyone remember what page # that was on? Had to backdate my computer and lost some book marks in the process.
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There was an google link on here that shared possible plays coming up. Anyone remember what page # that was on? Had to backdate my computer and lost some book marks in the process.
Hey Dan, since we basically lost the data from last season's lock-out shortened year, and the lousy performance of this system this season (I like this system btw) why not only play the double dip system and double up the unit bet?
Continued success, you're a stud at finding trends, H
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Hey Dan, since we basically lost the data from last season's lock-out shortened year, and the lousy performance of this system this season (I like this system btw) why not only play the double dip system and double up the unit bet?
Continued success, you're a stud at finding trends, H
Hey Dan, since we basically lost the data from last season's lock-out shortened year, and the lousy performance of this system this season (I like this system btw) why not only play the double dip system and double up the unit bet?
Continued success, you're a stud at finding trends, H
The double dip does not have too much of a history behind it, so it's still kind of unproven as far as systems go. I tend to maybe add a little bit to the double dip plays if I like the matchups for the next couple of games.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by hardyvault:
Hey Dan, since we basically lost the data from last season's lock-out shortened year, and the lousy performance of this system this season (I like this system btw) why not only play the double dip system and double up the unit bet?
Continued success, you're a stud at finding trends, H
The double dip does not have too much of a history behind it, so it's still kind of unproven as far as systems go. I tend to maybe add a little bit to the double dip plays if I like the matchups for the next couple of games.
I think in general whether is a double dip or regular A game, flat betting them for 1u or 2u is going to cost you money long run. Yes this is an amazing season with A bets hitting at a very high profitable rate, even when flat betting, but doing the labby as Dan is doing is by far the most profitable way thus far.
If you have a stagnant bankroll and are trying to maximize your profits use 1% of your bankroll or 2% of your bankroll for each new line instead of doing a standard unit size and just let the labby do the work for you.
I for one keep a standard unit size because I work full time and do not have a bankroll set aside for sports, just collect from my bookie each week and that money just goes right in the bank with the other money. It is really all a matter of comfort for each individual whether they are doing this to make a little extra money or to actually make it a professional investment.
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I think in general whether is a double dip or regular A game, flat betting them for 1u or 2u is going to cost you money long run. Yes this is an amazing season with A bets hitting at a very high profitable rate, even when flat betting, but doing the labby as Dan is doing is by far the most profitable way thus far.
If you have a stagnant bankroll and are trying to maximize your profits use 1% of your bankroll or 2% of your bankroll for each new line instead of doing a standard unit size and just let the labby do the work for you.
I for one keep a standard unit size because I work full time and do not have a bankroll set aside for sports, just collect from my bookie each week and that money just goes right in the bank with the other money. It is really all a matter of comfort for each individual whether they are doing this to make a little extra money or to actually make it a professional investment.
TOR will be a close call depending if you play -130 or -145 as a play. FLA is on quite a run winning 5 of last 6 games only losing to CHI. LA will definitely be a play -221 right now vs edm.
I'll wait for your official posting on TOR dan. I am surprised they are going to qualify given losing streak vs winning streak.
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TOR will be a close call depending if you play -130 or -145 as a play. FLA is on quite a run winning 5 of last 6 games only losing to CHI. LA will definitely be a play -221 right now vs edm.
I'll wait for your official posting on TOR dan. I am surprised they are going to qualify given losing streak vs winning streak.
LA is a play. I'm showing Toronto at -125 to -135 depending on where you bet. Given the spread of lines, I'm not making this an official play. That being said I will be betting to win one unit on this game only, not chasing. I show them winning almost 62% of the time, so decent value at -125 to -135.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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LA is a play. I'm showing Toronto at -125 to -135 depending on where you bet. Given the spread of lines, I'm not making this an official play. That being said I will be betting to win one unit on this game only, not chasing. I show them winning almost 62% of the time, so decent value at -125 to -135.
Dan, Did you ever share the system you are running on the side based on percentages you have? I know you posted it earlier in the season that you were doing some side plays, but idk if you are running another thread with those or not.
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Dan, Did you ever share the system you are running on the side based on percentages you have? I know you posted it earlier in the season that you were doing some side plays, but idk if you are running another thread with those or not.
Dan, Did you ever share the system you are running on the side based on percentages you have? I know you posted it earlier in the season that you were doing some side plays, but idk if you are running another thread with those or not.
No I haven't posted any of those plays. Still just testing. The record is currently at 102-68 for NHL which includes ML, PL and totals. I'll need to really dig into the numbers and see what is working best and what isn't. I've taken dogs because there was value when comparing the line versus predicted win% and also the -1.5 PL for +odds. So 60% win % on those is pretty good, but wouldn't be as good for those somewhat heavy ML odds. I'm up on those plays but nothing to brag about.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by System_Grind3r:
Dan, Did you ever share the system you are running on the side based on percentages you have? I know you posted it earlier in the season that you were doing some side plays, but idk if you are running another thread with those or not.
No I haven't posted any of those plays. Still just testing. The record is currently at 102-68 for NHL which includes ML, PL and totals. I'll need to really dig into the numbers and see what is working best and what isn't. I've taken dogs because there was value when comparing the line versus predicted win% and also the -1.5 PL for +odds. So 60% win % on those is pretty good, but wouldn't be as good for those somewhat heavy ML odds. I'm up on those plays but nothing to brag about.
Ive been following top nhl favorite these past two weeks, a little less; currently 8-1 they are doing wonderful. Although I did manage to miss sharks at -300 favorite this past week so lucky there. Just running a labby over 3 lines with it. I did some testing using 1 line and it gets ugly playing ML. I will play PL at -300 or more ML -299 or less. Some days are a little tricky like today for example, LA was early biggest favorite, but closing lines indicate BOS. I actually took both cause they were both -210 on covers -212 my book for a while.
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Ive been following top nhl favorite these past two weeks, a little less; currently 8-1 they are doing wonderful. Although I did manage to miss sharks at -300 favorite this past week so lucky there. Just running a labby over 3 lines with it. I did some testing using 1 line and it gets ugly playing ML. I will play PL at -300 or more ML -299 or less. Some days are a little tricky like today for example, LA was early biggest favorite, but closing lines indicate BOS. I actually took both cause they were both -210 on covers -212 my book for a while.
Going to have to wait a little bit on OTT. Usually try and get my bets in night before but I see -134 on covers right now. FLA is on some what of a hot streak as well... might stick to the traditional -145 for tomorrow.
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Going to have to wait a little bit on OTT. Usually try and get my bets in night before but I see -134 on covers right now. FLA is on some what of a hot streak as well... might stick to the traditional -145 for tomorrow.
Thursday: Ottawa is a play. I show them at -135 or -140 at most places. I'm personally only playing it for the A game as I do not like the B and C matchups. My simulator shows them winning 64% of the time in this game. Play at your own risk, I'm only going 1 unit.
LA does not qualify for the double dip and are done
Regular system:
Record 31-5
A: 27-9
B: 3-6
C: 1-5
Double dip:
Record 16-0
A: 11-5
B: 4-1
C: 1-0
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
0
Thursday: Ottawa is a play. I show them at -135 or -140 at most places. I'm personally only playing it for the A game as I do not like the B and C matchups. My simulator shows them winning 64% of the time in this game. Play at your own risk, I'm only going 1 unit.
LA does not qualify for the double dip and are done
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