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Czech's Bringing Down The Books 101

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Posted: #551
Razer thanks for everything you do here does the play is under 183 also what is b's thanks and BOL lets cash in brother...............
 
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Posted: #552

Czech,i was at green valley casino last nite watchin the games. ML on lakers was -280 during the day and green valley is a stations property and their ML's r always highest in town. When i got there ML lakers was -300 and then before tipoff went to -330!

Yet the spread remained the same.Maybe you can use this type info in your system.

 
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Posted: #553
Czech,it was laker busters galore there last nite! Bunch of homers! lol
 
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Posted: #554
You dont have to explain why if you drop a pick,just drop it.but give ample notice.
 
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Posted: #555
Quote Originally Posted by Plisskin76:

You dont have to explain why if you drop a pick,just drop it.but give ample notice.

Thanks Pliss good info. 

The ML shift is interesting. Vegas knew they didn't want to raise the spread, but all the ml money coming in was on lakers, so they raise the ml price without moving the line. This woulda been good value to jump on Denver ml
 
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Posted: #556
Those ml dogs don't win as often obviously but when they do you get paid. I can't say I knew Denver was gonna win outright but I liked them and they were the sharp play ats 
 
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Posted: #557
We might actually make more $ with this approach on those type games. The difference in profit between taking them +6 -110 and ml is huge. 
 
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Posted: #558
No system plays Mia second half. 
 
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Posted: #559
Quote Originally Posted by Plisskin76:

Czech,it was laker busters galore there last nite! Bunch of homers! lol

I'll bet it was! Even the pope was on the lakers last night. 
 
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Posted: #560
even tho there is no system play... anything you like ?
 
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Posted: #561
According to this system the under is the play of Memphis no? (at the moment).

183.5 and now is 182.5 with 70% the public betting on the over.


 
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Posted: #562
The line has held thus far on Mem game. 

Wagering now. My book has Mem -6 -120 and o/u 182.5 

Taking Memphis -6 -120
Memphis under 182.5 -110 
 
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Posted: #563

are those system plays?

 
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Posted: #564
Clips game is tracking like 280 lol...par for the course. 


 
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Posted: #565
Thanks for the fade material dude!
 
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Posted: #566
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

Clips game is tracking like 280 lol...par for the course. 


  241
 
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Posted: #567
Looks like you are going to lose some juice on this game.
 
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Posted: #568
mem covers but the under i doubt
 
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Posted: #569
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

Clips game is tracking like 280 lol...par for the course. 
Same total from the 1Q in the last game in LA before the game started trending under...hang in there!

 
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Posted: #570
Quote Originally Posted by vision23x:

Thanks for the fade material dude!

Lol Hey Vision I don't know this but I would bet if you faded anything it was the Mem pick. Am I right? 
 
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Posted: #571
I'm almost definitely gonna have a play on Mem total second half. Stay tuned. 
 
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Posted: #572
If you're on Memphis it might be worth considering a middle at halftime, depending on how much they're up and the line. 

System play will be on the total. 
 
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Posted: #573
I put 2 bills apiece on LAC +6.5 and Over 183.  The way it's going it looks like we may both lose $ on the juice.
 
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Posted: #574
Second half system play

MEMPHIS UNDER 91
 
 
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Posted: #575
Quote Originally Posted by vision23x:

I put 2 bills apiece on LAC +6.5 and Over 183.  The way it's going it looks like we may both lose $ on the juice.

Yeah maybe...I'm on the under second half. System indicated under for game, it tracked over first half while slowing towards halftime, and this is what I look for for a second half under. At 91 that's under 190 for the game. 

I'm sure if it loses you'll talk shit lol but my play second half is the under. 
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