All Forums | Website Promotions

Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 1897006
Posts: 12682
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 1220
Posted: #251
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:

Ok first to explain to Old-Jax why i like the Clippers:
-Utah has lost 3 outta last 5 at home
-Utah only has 2 wins in last 7 games
-Mo williams is out****
-Clippers if they win tonight have won 15 straight games and are the hottest team in the NBA right now
-Clippers have possibly best depth in the NBA along with KNICKS AND SPURS (i have prob forgot a good depth team but that's ok) which is why i think playing 3 outta 4 days will not effect them quite like it would other teams
-Utah lost 2 outta 3 with Mo Williams gone and barely beat Orlando who were without Big Baby Glen Davis
-I have to roll with a team that has won 15 straight....kinda like rolling with the SPURS at the beg of the season
-I really think Mo Williams being out will be huge in this game, hopefully Blake Griffin and Deandre Jordan can shutdown the 2 good big buys inside for the Jazz

With that being said Utah is an extremely good home team still and It is the NBA so anything can happen but thats why I am rolling with LA.  

I love Golden State tomm too...
I could wake up tomm and feel diff about the Clips but for right now I am rolling with them with the line only at 2...




Well, in my opinion about the Utah-Clippers game. It seems that the books are showing us that this game will be no easy like yesterday. If we take the logic the lines should be the same as yesterday -9 or even -6 minimum. But you don´t think that -3 is really low for Utah.  Also remember that at home Utah is good. Well, is my own opinion.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2012
Posts: 4174
Posted: #252
ROI question

8 games wagered >> 5 wins - 3 losses >>   880 invested >> total return 1050>> profit = 170    =   19.31%ROI  =62.5% winning rate

4 games wagered>> 3 wins - 1 loss>> 440 invested>> totals return 630 >> profit=190    =  43.18 ROI =  75% winning rate

Why risk double as much money to win less? fiiire - who has to learn the basic math?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 1220
Posted: #253
oh and please stop the ROI thing discussion. Better let´s discuss today´s games.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 7
Posted: #254
Miami-piston tough pick
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 39
Posted: #255
I think the play will be Detroit.  Public on Miami but line went down to 6.5 from 8
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 5295
Posted: #256
After looking and studying today's card and following the line changes, my first lean isas of now:
Utah Jazz +3. No doubt the Clippers are a hell of a team right now. And the Jazz has been struggling. So why that line? By all means - the Clippers have drubbing opposition by DD lately and have forgotten how the post game press conference after a loss looks like. In my opinion that is an invitation to bet the Clippers and the public has responded to that invitation massively. Yet the line has dropped to -2.5 and due to massive betting on the Clippers - climbed back up to -3 but with slightly lower odds on Utah(!) side.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 5295
Posted: #257
Quote Originally Posted by Bullets25:

I think the play will be Detroit.  Public on Miami but line went down to 6.5 from 8
That one greatly depends on Detroit if they'll be able to take what Miami will give. I'm following that but yet not turning it into a lean. Same as the Sixers in GS.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 5295
Posted: #258
Atlanta -5.5 and Denver -3 are interesting me as well. Not the leans yet and certainly not the picks - but the line behavior and the money seem to stride together. Meaning that the stronger teams are due to triumph and cover as well. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1106
Posted: #259
hmm i wouldn't have guessed any of those....but thats why I'm here and i cant wait for you to finalize your picks Mavin...BOL
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 26400
Posted: #260
One of the best threads on covers in a long time,problems will be when you lose a game or 2 and those that are just waiting for it so they can throw their hate everywhere,but thats covers.
I was actually thinking Utah on the m/l at this point,that line is so off it might be to easy to play,the books have to see it also it would seem.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 144
Posted: #261
My book just bumped ATL up to -6, like almost right as you posted that.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1106
Posted: #262
I do like Denver and Atlanta a lot though...Especially with Varaejao still out for Cleveland I think Atlanta could dominate inside.  I wonder what Cleveland thinks of J.J. Hickson now!!...Mavin what about Indiana vs Phoenix with Gortat out...also thought maybe under 188 in that game...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1106
Posted: #263
Also I still dont see why that Utah and LA line is off.....LA has won 15 straight and Utah has lost 3 outta last 5 at home and are without Mo Williams...???
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 5295
Posted: #264
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:

Also I still dont see why that Utah and LA line is off.....LA has won 15 straight and Utah has lost 3 outta last 5 at home and are without Mo Williams...???
You said it yourself. It should at least be LA Clippers -5.5
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 26400
Posted: #265
Also that line on Rutgers_VT is a bit weird,I would think Rutgers should be -3 at least,but they are getting a point,am I missing something here?
I also played over 59.5 in first game a minute before it started,thought about Ohio getting 7,but thought the over was better.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 1786
Posted: #266
alright Mavin, i got so excited to see ur first lean i just quickly bet 2 units on JAZZ +3! lets go
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 11318
Posted: #267
BOL to you!! 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 26400
Posted: #268
Their is also a good CBB play tonight,Iona+8 against St Joes,their inside guy is serving the second game of a 2 game susp.for a double flip off of Villanova fans,I had Fairfield +10.5 in first game,they won by 3,I have a unit on Iona and a 1/2 unit on m/l.The m/l for 8 points was only+240,should be closer to +370.
JFen would is a recent grad of St Joes has a good write-up on this game in the CBB thread.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 5295
Posted: #269
Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

One of the best threads on covers in a long time,problems will be when you lose a game or 2 and those that are just waiting for it so they can throw their hate everywhere,but thats covers.
I was actually thinking Utah on the m/l at this point,that line is so off it might be to easy to play,the books have to see it also it would seem.
I have no problems with that. The issue here is not my ego. In know the rules of the game. The issue is turning our efforts into fruitful ones and all the rest is crap.
I advise not to be greedy. Good thinking laying off a ML as most of the spread is better

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 63
Posted: #270
Quote Originally Posted by manstar10:

alright Mavin, i got so excited to see ur first lean i just quickly bet 2 units on JAZZ +3! lets go

What will be telling is whether you win or lose in terms on line movement. If that game trends to 2.5/2, I would think you are in great shape. Good luck. I am watching movement in that closely. 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 63
Posted: #271
Quote Originally Posted by manstar10:

alright Mavin, i got so excited to see ur first lean i just quickly bet 2 units on JAZZ +3! lets go

What will be telling is whether you win or lose in terms on line movement. If that game trends to 2.5/2, I would think you are in great shape. Good luck. I am watching movement in that closely. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1106
Posted: #272
well yeah MAVIN it should be more for LA -.....but isnt that a reason why we SHOULD bet on CLIPPERS???....sinc we are getting 3 extra points in clippers favor instead of the JAZZ
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 5295
Posted: #273
Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

Their is also a good CBB play tonight,Iona+8 against St Joes,their inside guy is serving the second game of a 2 game susp.for a double flip off of Villanova fans,I had Fairfield +10.5 in first game,they won by 3,I have a unit on Iona and a 1/2 unit on m/l.The m/l for 8 points was only+240,should be closer to +370.
JFen would is a recent grad of St Joes has a good write-up on this game in the CBB thread.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 167
Posted: #274
Quote Originally Posted by FinesFan:

I think you just don't understand maths..

It is simple to understand than a ROI of 5% isn't the same as a ROI of 1%... Would you prefer to risk 1 000$ and win 50$ instead of risking 10 000$ to make 100$ ? 


It is the wrong question.

Are you certain you can invest the $10k safely to gain a return of 100$ during the same time?

Then yes I'd choose to make 100$ instead of 50$, it just involves turning the same bank over multiple times.

But it already comes closer to the core questions.

What are you comfortable with?
How skilled are you as a capper?
Can you quantify your edge accurately enough to make those close calls?

If yes it's extra profit, if no leave those closer bets out.

Quote Originally Posted by phixer:


8 games wagered >> 5 wins - 3 losses >>   880 invested >> total return 1050>> profit = 170    =   19.31%ROI  =62.5% winning rate

4 games wagered>> 3 wins - 1 loss>> 440 invested>> totals return 630 >> profit=190    =  43.18 ROI =  75% winning rate

Why risk double as much money to win less? fiiire - who has to learn the basic math?


Quote Originally Posted by phixer:


That's ridiculous. You mean you know your math and can't figure that winning depends on high percentage of successful picks rather than the number of them? If you're afraid the league has # number of the plays - play high probability games only doubling your wagers and the result will be same or better because less juice will be wasted!


You don't understand the problem.
NBA regular season ~1200 games

-> Maximize your profit during this season.
-> Equals if you are certain there is an edge, take it.

Say you have 100 games, 5 of them you know you have a big edge, which equals to a 5% ROI, you bet them with a big stake.

10 others you are certain you have an edge, which equals to about 2% ROI, you bet them for your normal stake.

20 others you are not sure and think your edge is about 1% so you have to be very cautios to either skip them or play for a smaller amount.

Now why only play the bets with the very big edge of 5% ROI and skip the rest? You just miss out on the money.
 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 5295
Posted: #275
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:

well yeah MAVIN it should be more for LA -.....but isnt that a reason why we SHOULD bet on CLIPPERS???....sinc we are getting 3 extra points in clippers favor instead of the JAZZ
So, that's why that's an invitation to bet the Clips. It can the whole game cover for the Jazz or the first half only. That is why that is a lean. I'm trying to figure that. One of the two the Jazz will cover. May be all two. And also may be the second half only. I'm trying to figure that before finalizing it
All Forums | Website Promotions
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.