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If You Really Want to Win...

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Posted: #151
Quote Originally Posted by HoldingXYZ:

I agree, Brady will get Stimulated this week 

Yup 

***
Dogjimbo Crashdavis565 milagrosman- thanks everyone!  Best of luck to you! 


 
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Posted: #152
Quote Originally Posted by The_Presence:


Hey young man, it's one thing to come on my thread and attack me because you think I'm someone from your past that has obviously gotten under your skin, but it's another thing to get on people's cases who are just here to learn something.

Maybe people are "ghosts" as you say, because they haven't found anything posted that resonated with them enough to respond to.  As I've scrolled through these boards the last two weeks, it appears there are only three or four guys out of thousands who post information worth reading about and worth responding to.

We all resonate with different people.  Some people like Tony Robbins. Some Don't.  Some resonate with Eric Thomas' intensity.  Some Don't.  They all give us the same principles to help us live better, and the diversity of life allows us to gravitate towards those whom we identify with.  Some like me.  Some don't.   The ones that don't click out of the thread and move on.

If you don't like what is said on this thread, there are thousands of threads on many topics on this forum.  There are millions others out there in the world wide web.  Why waste your precious time reading my stuff that you obviously don't agree with, and then wasting our time by posting here?

By coming in with your negativity, you are being a cancer to these boards.  You talk about me being kicked off, when everyone reading is thinking that it should be you.

I am not without perspective.  I believe that if you didn't think I was this DNI person that you dislike, that you would not spend your time on here trying to disrupt our conversation.  I AM NOT DNI and I have no idea who he is or what an SAF is.  Whenever it is that person returns I have no doubt they will come find you and pick up right where you left off.

I am here to post what I feel is important to new gamblers and to those who may be struggling with addiction.  The message board provides me the platform to post something once and someone years from now can stumble upon this information and it can perhaps help them.  That is what a real man does, he tries to help and uplift people, not spend his time figuring out ways to bring people down.

In your own way you are trying to "protect" the boards, but I am respectfully asking you to leave the thread alone going forward to let those who do resonate with this information to be able to enjoy it in a positive environment.

Let us "ghosts" learn from each other in peace.



You are a previously banned member here. No doubt about it, and it's not just me that says so. If you wanted to start fresh, you should change your "persona". You are vain, arrogant, patronizing, pompous and addicted to online attention. And if your record was stellar, maybe you'd get away with it, but it's not.
You want to write  endless  essays about what a super human mental warrior you are, do it on a Robbins message board, here post your picks and leave your BS out of it.
Sure, call me "negative", you started calling me a leech and a runt first, mealy mouthed hypocrite. 
You will be banned again. End of story.

CPL XIX Winner. Punter. Scotch lover. Big Man.
 
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Posted: #153
Ganda - will he be banned for cause or because you say so?  Seems reasonable to me now that you've spoken your piece, exposed the "bad guy" to us if you will, you'd be the better man and leave him be.  If he does something worthy of being banned, lord knows it will happen.

I feel there are many folks enjoying his thoughts, if nothing else but a simple reminder of how not to get lost in life or possibly find yourself if you are.

That and some pretty decent capping thoughts, all good by me for what it's worth.

 
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Posted: #154
If you really want to win...You must know who you are.

Who are you?

What are you all about?

Would you describe yourself as an athlete?  A student?  A sheriff?

The identity that you take up for yourself plays a big part in how you behave.

And your behavior, meaning the actions you take, determine your life.

For example if you think of yourself as an athlete, its highly likely you eat with your body's conditioning in mind.  You likely have athletic shoes readily available, perhaps even an extra gym bag in your car.  You probably drink lots of water, work out, and make sure you stretch often.

Those actions likely help you stay in great shape, and align your reality with the identity that you chose: an athlete.

The same is true if you think of yourself as a student.  You probably have a backpack in your room, books and notebooks, post it notes, extra pens and pencils, etc, etc.  Even if you are not in a traditional school setting, if you view yourself as a student it is likely you still carry materials with you to help you log things that you learn.

Your identity is paramount in how you behave.

Why is this relevant?

When it comes to wagering on games, do you view yourself as an investor?  Here to take advantage of the opportunity to use your money to make more money?

Or do you view yourself as a novice gambler?  Here to have a little fun and hopefully to make money on a sport you love to watch?

If you're involved in wagering on sports just for fun, it's likely you wouldn't be on covers sorting through threads looking for an edge.  You would just wager based on what you see on tv and live with the results.

If you're reading this, it's likely that you're trying to make money consistently betting on sports games.

But how do you view yourself?

Do you view yourself as an investor?  Or a gambler?

Though investing is a form of gambling, real investors usually do their due diligence before plotting down their hard earned money on a venture.

Ask yourself, what would an investor do before putting his money into an investment?

Would he look at the track record of the company he wants to invest in, and the people involved?

If he does make an investment, wouldn't he pay attention on how the stock performs and where it's likely to head?

The investor does those types of things because that's what investors do (at least the good ones do).  That is a part of their process, and the process is part of their identity as an investor.

If you think you're serious about making money on your games, but you still behave like a gambler (betting on any game that comes your way, not weighing risks, betting more than you have, etc, etc), then you will never succeed at the venture because gamblers are supposed to lose.  If that's you're identity, if you say to yourself at all "I'm a gambler" you can bet your subconscious mind will help you find a way to lose, because gamblers aren't supposed to win.

But if view yourself as a good capper, sharp player, or investor, than its likely you take different actions than a gambler.  If you're pretty good at capping, and you have read this far, then it's likely you want to make consistent money at betting on games.  If you haven't done so, you must start viewing yourself as an investor, someone who takes calculated risks, and not someone who throws out money on a whim.  You need to have enough capital to be able to use your money to make money.  You must be prepared for the ups and downs of business.  You must be conscious of those things and many more things if you are to succeed.

I'm writing this for the ones who view themselves as good at picking winners, but yet have nothing to show for it.

You must know who you are.

If you're just a gambler pretending to be an investor, you must make that identity shift.

How do you do that?

Just think of the things you think a pro investor would do, and do them.  If you don't know, ask someone that does.  When you get the answer, do it.  Do not just take knowledge in and never apply it.  You will never get the benefits of that knowledge if you don't act on it.  You must change your inner belief about yourself before any real results are manifested on the outside.  Once you start viewing yourself as more than a gambler, you will be able to take advantage of the opportunity to use your money to make money.

The next time you want to bet on a game just because its the next one up, ask yourself, "is this what a real investor would do?"  If you find yourself betting it anyways without calculating the risks and how it will effect your bankroll, season, life, etc, then you can rest assured that you are just a gambler, not serious about making money, and that gamblers inevitably lose.







 
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Posted: #155
Quote Originally Posted by The_Presence:

Steven19083  - Thanks brotha! I hope to have more spot on picks for us going forward.  


Figured I'd ask your thoughts on this since you were right on about the Packers/Chargers spread ... 49'ers/Seahawks spread jumped from 5 to 7.5 in the last couple days. *Seems* like there's some value there on the 49'ers covering the spread. But the -120 price on the 9'ers spread has me hestitating to pull the trigger. Not sure I like the 9'ers at a 20 cent price even with the spread. Might just avoid the game all together. Was wondering what your thoughts are?
 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by MGD:

 
I feel there are many folks enjoying his thoughts, if nothing else but a simple reminder of how not to get lost in life or possibly find yourself if you are.

That and some pretty decent capping thoughts, all good by me for what it's worth.


Thanks MGD.  I wish nothing but success to you. 
 
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Posted: #157
Quote Originally Posted by Steven19083:



Figured I'd ask your thoughts on this since you were right on about the Packers/Chargers spread ... 49'ers/Seahawks spread jumped from 5 to 7.5 in the last couple days. *Seems* like there's some value there on the 49'ers covering the spread. But the -120 price on the 9'ers spread has me hestitating to pull the trigger. Not sure I like the 9'ers at a 20 cent price even with the spread. Might just avoid the game all together. Was wondering what your thoughts are?

What's up Steven. I just posted in Wizerguy's thread regarding this game.  He has a pretty good list of stats pointing the 49ers direction if you want to check it out.  But here's what I posted:

"Good stuff, I'm rolling with SF as well. Niners would be 3-0 ATS at home if it weren't for a stalled drive at the GB 8 yd line because of sacks.  That was before Kap got his groove back.  The defense also frustrated Rogers to the point that he was caught screaming at his Olinemen on the sideline for not being able to give him time.  Mangini had A-Rod's number, but the SF Offense couldn't hold up their end of the bargain. SF Defense should be able to take advantage of Seattle's poor pass protection.

The Niners offense has no business being in the game with Seattle's defense, but with this game pretty much being their Super Bowl I think they get up for it and play well enough to win or lose by a FG."

I'm not sure how Kap and company are going to pull it off.  They need to get their running game going, but Seattle's run defense is great, and they are getting Bobby Wagner back for this game.

But the Niners got some other things going on in their favor besides their recent performances.  Seattle is traveling on a short week.  The Niners have performed very well at home, and with the Hawks coming to town for a prime time game I think they will get up for the game and try to match the Seahawks' physicality.  The Seahawks offensive line is having real trouble protecting Wilson, he is getting sacked like 4 times a game.

The same goes for the Niners oline.  I expect quite a few sacks on both sides meaning there will be a lot of punts. This should be a close game and I wouldn't be surprised if the Niners won. I live in Northern California and unfortunately have a lot of exposure to the Niners so I know a little bit about them.  I would love nothing more than to see them embarrassed on national TV, but I have a feeling they will be up to the challenge.

********
The Presence's 2015 Week 7 NFL Picks

#3 SF +7 or more ($500)

See previous post for analysis of  picks #1-2, Jets and Cowboys.


"It doesn't matter where you've been, it only matters where you're going."
 
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Posted: #158

 
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Posted: #159
 
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Posted: #160
DNI - Good luck 
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #161
Good Luck Lets Cash This SF BeT tonight!
 
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Posted: #162
Steven19083 alone167 RojasBello wmi799 

Thanks guys!  Best of luck to you all.
 
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Posted: #163
Gl like your attitude and thought process

 
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Posted: #164
Quote Originally Posted by The_Presence:


What's up Steven. I just posted in Wizerguy's thread regarding this game.  He has a pretty good list of stats pointing the 49ers direction if you want to check it out.  But here's what I posted:

"Good stuff, I'm rolling with SF as well. Niners would be 3-0 ATS at home if it weren't for a stalled drive at the GB 8 yd line because of sacks.  That was before Kap got his groove back.  The defense also frustrated Rogers to the point that he was caught screaming at his Olinemen on the sideline for not being able to give him time.  Mangini had A-Rod's number, but the SF Offense couldn't hold up their end of the bargain. SF Defense should be able to take advantage of Seattle's poor pass protection.

The Niners offense has no business being in the game with Seattle's defense, but with this game pretty much being their Super Bowl I think they get up for it and play well enough to win or lose by a FG."

I'm not sure how Kap and company are going to pull it off.  They need to get their running game going, but Seattle's run defense is great, and they are getting Bobby Wagner back for this game.

But the Niners got some other things going on in their favor besides their recent performances.  Seattle is traveling on a short week.  The Niners have performed very well at home, and with the Hawks coming to town for a prime time game I think they will get up for the game and try to match the Seahawks' physicality.  The Seahawks offensive line is having real trouble protecting Wilson, he is getting sacked like 4 times a game.

The same goes for the Niners oline.  I expect quite a few sacks on both sides meaning there will be a lot of punts. This should be a close game and I wouldn't be surprised if the Niners won. I live in Northern California and unfortunately have a lot of exposure to the Niners so I know a little bit about them.  I would love nothing more than to see them embarrassed on national TV, but I have a feeling they will be up to the challenge.

********
The Presence's 2015 Week 7 NFL Picks

#3 SF +7 or more ($500)

See previous post for analysis of  picks #1-2, Jets and Cowboys.


"It doesn't matter where you've been, it only matters where you're going."

Hey man , 

my peace I give you , my peace I leave you , man !

Let that Sink in . Afuera ! Elon and Vivek / DOGE ..Afuera !
 
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Posted: #165
Gentlemen, we wil get 'em next time. 

Friend, maybe I can help improve you life and your record, try this:

If you really want to win...You must know who you are. 

Try and think of yourself as a professional investor, do all the things you think an investor does before making your pick.
Don't think of yourself as an attention addicted windbag fraud who hits 50%, if you do, the results will follow suit. 

Unfortunately I don't have the time to write a 2000 word piece today for all the good people that were just starving for a different voice on this forum. Some of us have busy lives, alas.

But I want to leave this helpful tip as well, so people years from now can come back here and have these words help them be better investors and better people:
Try leaving two (2!) inspirational quotes ate the bottom of each post, to increase the chance for success and I think it's what all the followers here want, like so:

"It doesn't matter where you've been, it only matters where you're going!"

"WIN FROM WITHIN"


-V-

Sincerely, 


CPL XIX Winner. Punter. Scotch lover. Big Man.
 
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Posted: #166
LMFAO at this entire thread.
 
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Posted: #167

Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:

LMFAO at this entire thread.
 

You said it, glyde...

 
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Posted: #168
BOL Presence, much respects to you as a capper and most importantly-a great human being.
 
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Posted: #169
Hey presence,

I picked SF all by my big boy self....  when I saw you on them too it was encouraging.  When we lost it sucked but I was the one who ultimately decided to play SF...  that kapernick is garbage......   So moving on to tomorrow, I am capping my plays now and look forward to see if you picked any that I did. 

Good luck this weekend... hope you kill it so the nay sayers are quiet for a little while
 
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Posted: #170
Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:

LMFAO at this entire thread.

This. 
 
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Posted: #171

Quote Originally Posted by mikesomoney:

BOL Presence, much respects to you as a capper and most importantly-a great human being.

Thanks Mike! I appreciate the kind words.  Much respect to you and best of luck on your plays!

*****

Recon  thanks man! Much success to you

 
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Posted: #172

Quote Originally Posted by SirBruce:

Hey presence,

I picked SF all by my big boy self....  when I saw you on them too it was encouraging.  When we lost it sucked but I was the one who ultimately decided to play SF...  that kapernick is garbage......   So moving on to tomorrow, I am capping my plays now and look forward to see if you picked any that I did. 

Good luck this weekend... hope you kill it so the nay sayers are quiet for a little while

What's up Bruce. Yeah that was a bad loss, but as the Sherriff says we'll get em next time. 

Kap is definitely struggling.  His inability to throw accurate short passes or even find the short receivers is magnified against defenses that can rush the passer.  The cool thing is he has quite a few games against teams that can rush the passer so we can fade him and thank him later for being consistently bad.

Hope you find some good gems capping, and hit some winners tomorrow.  Best of luck to you buddy and thanks for the support.  (And I don't think the naysayers are going away anytime soon...they would have to get a life in order for that to happen...I don't think that will happen anytime soon, we just have to get used to it).

(Cue Andy Griffith Show music...)

The Presence: 2015 NFL Week 7 Picks Continued:

#1 NYJ +10 ($750) [quick analysis: Jets match up well, should win battle in the trenches, secondary capable of shutting down NE receivers, Ivory will be a load to stop with Marshall requiring a double team, opening up opportunities for Decker and the other WRs]

#2 Dallas Cowboys +4 ($500) [quick analysis: Cowboys have the advantage on both lines.  Lee and Mclain can drop back in coverage to help the weak Dallas secondary cover the short passing game.  Cowboys scary dLine is fully healthy and will be getting after Eli all day.  Injured NYG LB corps will have trouble containing Witten so Dallas can move the chains even if the running game can't get going.  Dallas was undefeated on the road last year, a sign that Garret gets them mentally prepared for road games]

#3 SF +7 (-$550) Loss

(See previous posts for full analysis of games 1-3)

#4  St Louis Rams -6.5 ($500)  Never thought I'd see the day that the Rams would be favored over anybody by this much again.  I think the line is set to try and get Cleveland backers.  Cleveland's defense is a banged up bunch, and their run defense was already one of the worst in the league.  That's bad news against a red hot Todd Gurley who should run for close to 200 yds in this one.  Check his highlights, this dude is like a slimmer faster version of Chris Ivory. The Rams pass rush isn't as scary as it used to be, but they are still good enough to get after McCown.  The Browns were only in the game against Denver because of Manning's bad picks.  Not saying Foles might not throw any bad picks, but I suspect that the play calling will be focused on the run because of the major advantage STL has there.  Browns have played a couple of OT games so they are a tired bunch, while the Rams are coming off a bye week.  Watch for Tayvon Austin go get going with all of the attention that Gurley will be getting.

#5  Carolina Panthers -3 ($500) Speaking of tired bunches, The Panthers will be awfully tired after flying to Seattle and back.  They also are probably feeling a little weary after playing a physical game with the bruising Seahawks.  Because of these reasons I see them giving up a few more rush yards to the Eagles than they normally would.  Both defenses are ranked pretty similar, and overall this is an evenly matched game.  The X-Factor comes down to Cam Newton.  He is rising to the occasion this season and putting his team on his back.  In a big game situation on SNF, I'm going to bet that Cam will be the difference maker versus Sam Bradford.  Bradford had like three turnovers against one of the poorer defenses in the league (NYG).  Cam has won a national title being the feature player, he's been to the playoffs, and he just went to Seattle and beat the Hawks in a hostile environment.  I think a well rested Panthers team beats down this Eagles team, but because of the wear and tear I think the game stays pretty close.  I imagine at -3 the worst I would get a push, so I'm laying the FG and taking Superman and the Panthers.

 

****

SF +7 vs Seattle Loss Analysis:  I don't like losing, but loving learning from the experience.  As I put in my original analysis of this game, I didn't see any way the Niners could move the ball against the Seattle Defense, but I was counting on them being able to rise up on defense and perhaps get a few short fields on turnovers to be able to stay in the game.  From before kick-off, the look of hopelessness on Kapernick's face told me all I needed to know about what was going to happen in that game.  He didn't believe at all and he played like it.  Niners got like 5 sacks on Wilson, but it was all too easy for Seattle to move the ball on them.  Luckily for the Niners Wilson and the Hawks weren't really interested in embarrassing them in front of their home crowd or this one could have been a lot worse.

What can we learn?

Kap has no confidence or awareness in his short passing game.  He will excel against defenses that can't really rush the passer and have a suspect secondary because of his arm and he has a speedy receiver in Torrey Smith (ala NYG and Ravens).

Against a team that can rush the passer he can't seem to find the right outlet receiver to make the defense pay.  If we take a look at the SF schedule we see quite a few teams that he will face the rest of the year that can apply this type of pressure and he will not be able to counter.  The earliest one comes next week against the Rams so that's a great opportunity to capitalize on the situation.  With the veteran Bethea getting put on IR after Thursday's game, I don't know if the Niners Defense can  keep them in games  any more even against bad teams. The Niners should be easy fades most of the way for the rest of the season. 

 

Good luck to everyone on their plays this weekend.

 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by Ganda:


Tony Robbins is a charlatan and a fraud who uses modern pr media and Third Reich propaganda methods to con and dupe ignorant people into buying his books, dvd's and pay through the nose for his "seminars" where people get bombarded with cliches and meaningless slogans until they believe they've reached some mental Nirwana.

No wonder some people with Guru and Messiah complexes think he's an example to be emulated. 

And win or lose, I don't care, but Covers doesn't tolerate SAF's. End of story.
say what u want about robbins....but as for me personally his teaching has  helped me out a whole bunch to where im successful in my life....... And i know a few people whose lives was in such a depress state that tony robbins tapes and teachings got them out of the mental jam they were in. If that still means hes a scam and BS....then your entitle to your own opinion. ..i might have been scamed by robbins for paying for his tapes....but if  at the end of the day his product has personally helped an individual changed thier life on a high level then that product is priceless. To tony
 
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Posted: #174
Well, at least he has the mental tools and the positive attitude to deal with this. 


RIP, we hardly knew ye. 
CPL XIX Winner. Punter. Scotch lover. Big Man.
 
 
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Posted: #175
Oh, hey, I hate to be the one to point it out, but not a soul asked where you went. Yeah, not much of an impact in three weeks I guess...

#positivevibes 
CPL XIX Winner. Punter. Scotch lover. Big Man.
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