MLB Starting Pitcher Angles and Edges: Mess With The Bullpen, You Get the Horns

Josh Inglis' SP Angles & Edges is veering from the formula today a bit. Instead of targeting a pitcher prop, he's highlighting the Under on the Tigers' Team Total. In addition to Matthew Boyd doing enough, the Cleveland bullpen is elite.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Oct 7, 2024 • 08:26 ET • 4 min read
Emmanuel Clase Cleveland Guardians MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Angles, edges, scams, call them what you want. If you're betting on pitcher props early, there are always a handful if you dig into the matchups. 

With this article, I highlight the best pitcher angles to look into for that day's slate and how to apply that information to the many pitcher prop markets at your disposal. You might not reach the same conclusion as I do but the data is the most important part. 

Let's scam some MLB player props and starting pitcher angles for Monday, October 7.

Josh's best starting pitcher edges: October 7

  • Tigers Tigers team total Under 2.5 (+135)

Today’s best SP angles

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

The angle: The Detroit offense is going to see a healthy dose of baseball's best bullpen

The Detroit Tigers might be the favorite today because Tarik Skubal is starting, but the offense will struggle to plate runs even with Matthew Boyd starting for the Cleveland Guardians.

Boyd has been reliable over his eight starts, allowing two or fewer runs in all but one, but the bullpen will shut down the Tigers. Because the Tigers are favored due to the pitching matchup alone, their team total Under 2.5 at +135 is my favorite bet in the afternoon game.  

Detroit saw four-plus innings of the Cleveland bullpen in Game 1 and walked away with zero runs on zero hits, one walk, and seven strikeouts. They will see those exact arms again today and it won't be fun for the visitors.

The Guardians can throw six relievers with a sub-2.00 ERA today. Skubal might deal, but he doesn't swing a bat the last time I checked. It's the best spot to hit the Detroit team total Under in the series. 

The move: Detroit Tigers team total Under 2.5 (+135 at DraftKings)

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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2018, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds. His preferred sportsbook is bet365, which he favors for its extensive range of player prop markets and live betting options.

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