Blue Jays Picks, Predictions & Best Bets vs the Mets for April 4

With Kevin Gausman on the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays, Juan Soto and the New York Mets may not have their way in their home opener as the visitors come off of a strong series sweep and are feeling the momentum in their favor.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Apr 4, 2025 • 13:09 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Kevin Gausman Toronto Blue Jays
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Kevin Gausman (34) throws a pitch.

It seems a bit cruel that the Toronto Blue Jays have to face Juan Soto in his home opener with the New York Mets.

Soto spurned the Blue Jays in free agency to join the Mets, but it’s New York that has struggled at the dish early on this season.

My Blue Jays predictions, like those struggles to continue, as Toronto hands the ball to Kevin Gausman for the opener of this weekend series.

Blue Jays predictions for April 4

Today’s Blue Jays best bet: Target Gausman

Kevin Gausman Over 0.5 Wins (+155 at BetVictor)

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this series feeling pretty good about themselves following a three-game sweep of the Washington Nationals and winners of four in a row overall.

This strong start by the Blue Jays has been fueled by some strong pitching, and they hope that continues on Friday when Kevin Gausman takes the mound.

Gausman got his year off to a solid start, limiting a dangerous Baltimore Orioles lineup to just two runs on three hits over six innings of work. The 34-year-old right-hander is still the Blue Jays' ace despite a bit of a down year in 2024, so his start against the O’s was encouraging, and I like his chances to keep that going against the New York Mets today.

The Mets enter their home opener with a 3-3 record after road series against the Houston Astros and Miami Marlins. The pitching has been good, but despite having Juan Soto in the lineup, the bats have really struggled to begin the year.

New York is hitting just .188 as a team so far; that ranks 26th in the MLB. The Mets also rank 21st in OPS and wRC+. If Gausman has his deadly splitter spinning well in this one it could be a long day for the home team.

The Mets counter Gausman with Tylor MeGill, who also started the season well, holding the Astros to one run on three hits over five innings, carrying over a strong September into 2025. However, this is a 29-year-old who’s pitched to a 5.03 expected ERA over his last 40 starts.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays lineup has been better than advertised at this point. Bo Bichette looks like he’s found his pre-2024 form. Andrés Giménez apparently has a power bat, and George Springer has found the fountain of youth. 

As a team, the Jays have the fourth-highest batting average, are ninth in OPS, and fifth in wRC+.

The Blue Jays spoil Soto’s home opener with Gausman pitching well enough to earn the win.

Today’s Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

Kevin Gausman Over 0.5 wins

George Springer Over 1.5 total bases

Anthony Santander Over 0.5 RBIs

If there’s anything I know about early season baseball betting it’s to ride a hot streak and that’s exactly what George Springer is on.

The Blue Jays' outfielder is hitting .429 with a 1.187 OPS so far this season. He has multiple hits in four of his last five starts and has two or more total bases in five straight. 

Meanwhile, his new teammate Anthony Santander hasn’t been as hot, but has three hits in his last two games and while it’s a small sample size, he has good numbers against Mets starter Tylor Megill.

Santander has two hits in three career ABs vs. Megill, with the hits being a double and a dinger. Give me theJays slugger to drive in a run on Friday.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Live Blue Jays odds for today

How to watch the Blue Jays today

Location Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Date Friday, April 4, 2025
First pitch 3:10 p.m. ET
TV Rogers Sportsnet
Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman
(1-0, 3.00 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher Tylor Megill
(1-0, 1.80 ERA)

Not intended for use in MA.
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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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