Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks, Odds and Best Bet for Tonight’s MLB Game 4

Mark Vientos is having a sneaky-good season for the Mets, and he's in prime position to tally another base knock in Game 4.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Oct 17, 2024 • 19:07 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The New York Mets look to even up the NLCS at 2-2 and tonight's Dodgers vs. Mets prediction expects New York third baseman Mark Vientos to do his best to get the Mets in the win column. 

Find out more in my MLB picks for Thursday, October 17.

Dodgers vs Mets prediction

Who will win Dodgers vs Mets Game 4?

The Los Angeles Dodgers flexed their offensive muscles in Games 1 and 3 of this series, with the New York Mets taking Game 2. I'll take the Mets as +120 underdogs with Jose Quintana on the mound tonight.

My Dodgers vs Mets best bet

Mark Vientos 1+ hit
(-165 at BetMGM)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis
Mark Vientos had a great regular season in the Big Apple — hitting .266 with 27 home runs and 71 RBI — and his strong play has continued in the playoffs.

Vientos struggled down the stretch with just a .223 average in September, but he flipped the script in October. The 3B leads all players with 15 hits, including three home runs and two doubles. Sure, it helps he’s played in three extra games, but his contributions can’t go overlooked.

The Mets were held to just four hits in Wednesday night’s Game 3 loss, but Vientos came away with one of them. He now has a hit in back-to-back games, six of his last seven, and eight of 10 playoff games this year.

Vientos should continue to hit in the two-hole for New York, giving him a good chance of getting at least four at bats. Given the bats around him, he shouldn’t get pitched around, either.

Dodgers vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)

Mark Vientos 1+ hit

Jose Quintana 4+ strikeouts

Mets moneyline

Jose Quintana is another player who has quietly had a great year. He racked up 29 strikeouts in 30 innings across his five final regular-season starts and has 11 punchouts in as many innings in the playoffs.

Don’t be surprised when the Mets even the series at home with Quintana on the mound.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Dodgers vs Mets odds

Dodgers vs Mets live odds

Dodgers vs Mets opening odds

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles -142 | New York +120
  • Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (+130) | New York +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 (-120) | Under 7 (+100)

Dodgers vs Mets moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers opened around -142 favorites but have been bet down to as low as -135 as of Thursday afternoon.
  • In turn, the New York Mets are between +114 and +120 after opening at +120.
  • The total opened at a flat seven and remains there at most books.

Dodgers vs Mets trend

The New York Mets are 48-36 at home this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Mets.

Dodgers vs Mets Game 4 info

Location: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Date: Thursday, 10-17-2024
First pitch: 8:08 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(2024 postseason: 1-0, 5.63 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana
(2024 postseason: 0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Dodgers vs Mets latest injuries

Dodgers vs Mets weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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