Dodgers vs Phillies Picks and Predictions: Bet On Scherzer Against A Familiar Foe

Max Scherzer was scintillating in his Dodgers debut, and his encore comes against a familiar foe — the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phils are red-hot... but facing Scherzer and the defending-champion Dodgers might be just enough to cool them down.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Aug 10, 2021 • 07:21 ET • 5 min read
Max Scherzer Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The smoking hot Philadelphia Phillies put their eight-game winning streak up to the ultimate test as they open a three-game set with the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday.

Game 1 features a fantastic pitching matchup as the Dodgers hand the ball to newly acquired Max Scherzer while the Phillies counter with Aaron Nola. Do Nola and Phillies have value as a streaking underdog — or are the Dodgers favored for a reason?

Check out our MLB free picks and predictions for Dodgers vs. Phillies on Tuesday, August 10, and find out our thoughts.

Dodgers vs Phillies game info

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date: Tuesday, August 10, 2021
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: SNLA, NBCSP

Dodgers vs Phillies odds

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Dodgers vs Phillies betting preview

Starting pitchers

Max Scherzer (9-4, 2.75 ERA): Scherzer was outstanding in his first start in Dodger Blue. The three-time Cy Young Award winner limited a very good Astros lineup to two runs on five hits while striking out 10 over seven innings. Now he goes against a familiar foe in the Phillies.

Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.49 ERA): Nola was having a solid season for the Phillies, but things have been a little rocky since the end of June. The right-hander has allowed four or more runs — and five or more hits — in four of his last six starts, surrendering seven dingers over that span.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Dodgers: Justin Turner 3B (Questionable), Victor Gonzalez RP (Out), Scott Alexander RP (Out), Gavin Lux 2B (Out), Corey Knebel RP (Out), Yadier Alvarez RP (Out).
Phillies: Odubel Herrera CF (Questionable), Didi Gregorius SS (Questionable), Rhys Hoskins 1B (Questionable), Andrew McCutchen LF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 4-1 in Max Scherzer’s last five starts against the Phillies. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Phillies.

Moneyline pick

The Phillies have used their eight-game winning streak to leapfrog the New York Mets and take over first place in the National League East. Bryce Harper has been a big part of fueling the Phillies run, as since the All-Star break he is mashing for a .370 batting average and a 1.256 OPS — and has hit four dingers during this eight-game winning streak. 

But Harper and his teammates have to deal with Scherzer, who has limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in 13 of his last 15 starts and is holding them to a .175 batting average over that span. That includes three starts against the Phillies (when he was a member of the Nationals), where he held them to three runs on 10 hits while striking out 22 batters over 18 2-3 innings. 

With Nola struggling a bit lately and the Dodgers having a big edge in bullpens (L.A. ranks sixth in ERA, compared to 20th for Philly), it’s hard for me to fade Scherzer in this spot.

PREDICTION: Dodgers (-155)

Over/Under pick

Straight up: This total seems wrong. An Over/Under of 8.5 is just too high for a game where Scherzer is pitching and Nola, while he has had his ups and downs, is more than capable of pitching well in this one.

Even at this point in his career, Scherzer is having one of his best seasons yet. The right-hander’s 2.75 ERA is the third-best of his career and his 0.89 WHIP is the best he’s ever had. And even though Nola has given up some runs lately, he has limited opponents to a .222 on-base percentage and is among the league leaders in strikeout percentage, walk percentage, and chase rate.

 While this is a matchup of teams that can put up some crooked numbers, the starting pitchers will do enough to sneak this game below the total.

PREDICTION: Under 8.5 (-110)

Dodgers vs Phillies betting card

  • Dodgers (-155)
  • Under 8.5 (-110)

Picks made on 8/10/2021 at 12:13 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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