The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers face off in the rubber match of their three-game series on Wednesday night at American Family Field.
With little to choose between the two sides, our Phillies vs. Brewers predictions focus on Kyle Schwarber's hot bat.
Read more in my MLB picks for Wednesday, September 18th.
Phillies vs Brewers prediction
My best bet
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Bases (-135 via BetMGM)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber is a boom-or-bust bat out of the leadoff spot, but he’s been picking up his average this season. The career .230 hitter is batting .251 this season, including .255 in the second half and .364 (20 for 55) through 14 games in September.
Schwarber only had one hit in the Phillies’ previous series against the Mets but he’s 4 for 9 so far against Milwaukee. He’s had two hits in each game of the series thus far with a RBI in each contest.
That’s been how the season has gone for Schwarber, who has recorded a hit in most games this season. He has a hit in 87 of 139 games (62.58%) which is a bit better than the 57.45% implied probability of these -135 odds.
Furthermore, Schwarber has had success against Milwaukee Brewers starter Freddy Peralta. He’s 3 for 11 with two home runs and a double against the Brewers righty.
Make sure you shop around and compare the odds between Schwarber getting a hit and Schwarber Over 0.5 bases.
Phillies vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 bases
Phillies moneyline
Under 7.5
It should be a pitchers’ duel in Milwaukee with Aaron Nola facing off against Peralta. Nola has been a bit shaky at times this season but is still 12-8 with a 3.62 ERA.
The Phillies are slight underdogs in this game and we’re looking to take advantage. Philadelphia is 4-1 against Milwaukee so far this season with all four wins going Under 6.5 let alone 7.5.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Phillies vs Brewers odds
Phillies vs Brewers live odds
Phillies vs Brewers opening odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia -108 | Milwaukee -108
- Run line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-210) | Milwaukee -1.5 (+175)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Phillies vs Brewers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- The Philadelphia Phillies odds opened at -108 and have gotten to as high as +104 as of Wednesday afternoon.
- The Milwaukee Brewers are between -115 and -121 favorites after opening at -108.
- The total is set at 7.5 across the board with Over 7.5 (-108) and Under 7.5 (-105) at different books.
Phillies vs Brewers trend
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Brewers.
Phillies vs Brewers game info
| Location: | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date: | Wednesday, 9-18-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBCS-PHI, Bally Wisconsin |
| Phillies starting pitcher: | Aaron Nola (12-7, 3.41 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher: | Freddy Peralta (10-8, 3.81 ERA) |
Phillies vs Brewers latest injuries
Phillies vs Brewers weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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