Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 3 Prop Bets: Buehler Can't Contain Soto, Bronx Bats

Walker Buehler has struggled to find consistency all year and his strikeout pitch hasn't come back post-Tommy John. That will hurt him against Juan Soto and the Yankees in our MLB player prop picks.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Oct 28, 2024 • 11:21 ET • 4 min read
Walker Buehler Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
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The Los Angeles Dodgers handed the New York Yankees a pair of losses to begin the World Series, and all eyes will be on the Big Apple tonight for a pivotal Game 3 showdown at Yankee Stadium.

New York outfield Juan Soto has been a force throughout the postseason, and he headlines our top MLB player props for our Dodgers vs. Yankees predictions on Monday, October 28.

Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 3 props

Picks made on 10-28 at 11:00 a.m. ET.

Dodgers vs Yankees props

Prop bet #1: Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

-115 at bet365

New York Yankees outfield Juan Soto has gone Over the number in this market in eight of 11 postseason games, and he’s crushed righties throughout his career. Soto put up an elite .424 wOBA and .285 ISO during the regular season against right-handed arms, and he sports respective .471 and .350 overall marks during the playoffs.

Los Angeles Dodgers righty Walker Buehler also served up a .380 wOBA to left-handed bats during the regular season and sports an uninspiring 5.18 xFIP across his two postseason starts.

Prop bet #2: Clarke Schmidt Over 1.5 earned runs allowed

-160 at DraftKings

There’s statistical correction coming for Yankees righty Clarke Schmidt, and the Dodgers send a lineup to the dish to kick-start it, too. 

Schmidt posted a tidy 2.85 ERA and 1.18 WHIP during the regular season, but his 3.92 xFIP was notably higher, and the righty also benefited from an unsustainably high 80% strand rate. Additionally, his respective 3.86, 1.29, 4.62, and 77.6% playoff numbers already highlight the negative regression is setting in.

Plus, Schmidt has allowed two or more earned runs in five of his past six starts, and the Dodgers posted a second-ranked .335 wOBA against righties during the regular season and sport an even better .341 overall mark in the playoffs.

Prop bet #3: Walker Buehler Under 4.5 strikeouts 

-150 at DraftKings

Buehler has recorded six strikeouts across nine innings over his two postseason starts, and he’s been ineffective with a 6.00 ERA, WHIP, and 5.18 xFIP. Buehler also posted a ho-hum 7.65 K/9 and 18.6 K/% during the regular season, and the Yankees aren’t a favorable road matchup.

New York posted a below-average 21.4 K% against right-handed pitchers while pacing the majors in wOBA (.336) and ISO (.192) during the regular season, and the Yankees have a similar 22.5 K% during the playoffs. I don’t anticipate Buehler pitching deep enough into Game 3 to reach five punchouts.

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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