Giants vs Braves Picks and Predictions: Pitcher's Duel at Truist Park

Two of the top teams in the National League will tangle at Truist Park on Monday night as the San Francisco Giants visit the Atlanta Braves.

The Giants have won seven of their last nine overall, while the Braves dropped two of three to the Cubs in Chicago over the weekend after entering on a 14-game winning streak.

How will the opener of this four-game set shake out? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Giants vs Braves on Monday, June 20.

Giants vs Braves odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Braves opened as consensus favorites of -132 and have been bet up significantly, with most books raising their line at least 20 cents. The total was unveiled at 8 and has remained unchanged. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Giants vs Braves predictions

• Prediction: Braves ML (-152)
• Prediction: Under 8 (-106)
• Best bet: Under 8 (-106)

Picks made on 6/20/2022 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Giants vs Braves game info

• Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
• Date: Monday, June 20, 2022
• First pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET
• TV: NBCS-BAY, Bally Sports

Giants vs Braves betting preview

Starting pitchers

Logan Webb (6-2, 3.43 ERA): Logan Webb is fresh off arguably his finest performance of the season, as he blanked the Royals over seven innings while accumulating nine strikeouts last Tuesday. He’ll try to build on that against the Braves, a team he pitched to a 1.29 ERA against over 14 frames last season.

Max Fried (7-2, 2.90 ERA): Since dropping each of his first two starts in 2022, Max Fried has yet to taste defeat. He’s recorded the win in seven of his last 11 outings, with Atlanta going 9-2 behind him in that span. However, Fried didn’t look all that sharp when last seen on Tuesday, allowing four earned runs to the Nationals over 5 2-3 innings. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Giants: Jakob Junis SP (Out), Anthony DeSclafani SP (Out), Steven Duggar CF (Out), LaMonte Wade Jr. LF (Out). 
Braves: Ozzie Albies 2B (Out), Tyler Matzek RP (Out), Eddie Rosario LF (Out), Manny Pina C (Out). 
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Braves are 67-33 in their last 100 games as the betting favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Braves

Giants vs Braves picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Braves’ superior pitching staff should carry their team to victory over the Giants on Monday night. 

Max Fried has picked up a quality start in five of his last six games at home, pitching to a 2.43 ERA in that sample. He’s averaged nearly a strikeout per inning on the mound in that stretch, accumulating 36 Ks over 37 frames. Fried took on San Francisco twice in 2021 and held their lineup to a .182 average over 13 innings. 

Backing Fried is a Braves bullpen that’s exceled throughout 2022, authoring a 2.92 ERA, good for third in the majors. This unit has been as sharp as ever over the last two weeks, producing a 1.35 ERA, the best in baseball over that span. 

Countering for the Giants is Logan Webb, who’s underachieved on the road in 2022, recording a 4.25 ERA. By contrast, his home ERA is 2.74. This comes on the heels of some sharp splits for Webb in 2021, as he authored a 1.96 ERA at Oracle Park, but a 4.08 ERA everywhere else. 

San Fran’s bullpen has taken a step backward since last year, pitching to a 4.05 ERA, a modest 17th in the majors. 

The Giants are 5-11 in their last 16 meetings with Atlanta and are 1-5 in their last six games as a road underdog. The Braves are 16-5 in their last 21 home games against teams with winning records. Back the home side here.

Prediction: Braves moneyline (-152 at Unibet)

Over/Under analysis

Neither team comes into this matchup with raging-hot bats, so the Under looks like the way to go. 

The Giants have eclipsed four runs in only three of their last nine games despite a 7-2 record in that stretch. They’re also 28th in team batting average in the month of June (.207). 

Mike Yastrzemski has been particularly deficient at the dish this month, batting .175. Wilmer Flores hasn’t been much better, barely holding the “Mendoza Line” (.200). Far below even that ignominious mark is Evan Longoria at .156. 

The Braves were stymied for the most part by the Cubs’ subpar staff over the weekend, amassing only nine runs over three games. Two of their biggest power bats in Ronald Acuna Jr. and Matt Olson are slumping at the plate, with Acuna batting .143 over the last seven days (4-for-28), and Olson batting .217 in June. Neither has homered in over a week.  

The Giants have gone 5-1 to the Under in their last six games against left-handed starters, and the Braves have posted an identical record in their last six contests with the total set between 7 and 8.5.

Prediction: Under 8 (-106 at BetRivers)

Best bet

Both starters and relief corps in this game can be incredibly stingy at times, and it looks like pitching will rise to the fore on Monday night. 

Webb has become one of the Giants’ more reliable starters because of his ability to limit damage on the mound. San Fran’s bullpen has been better over the last two weeks, producing a 2.05 ERA, fifth in baseball in that span. 

Jake McGee has made bridging the gap to Camilo Doval (three straight saves) that much easier for manager Gabe Kapler of late, scattering two hits over 6 1-3 clean innings in June.

Fried shouldn’t require much help from his bullpen, but he can count on Kenley Jansen to close the door in the ninth inning. The former Dodger has looked like his vintage self of late, converting each of his last six save chances.  

Pick: Under 8 (-106 at BetRivers)

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