The San Francisco Giants are riding a miserable, six-game losing streak they hope to end when they meet the Arizona Diamondbacks today.
A hot start is paramount to their success in my Giants vs. Diamondbacks predictions.
The Giants are hoping to avoid their second consecutive series sweep and my MLB picks expect starter Jordan Hicks will have the right stuff to get the job done.
Giants vs Diamondbacks prediction
My best bet
Giants first five innings moneyline (+105 at BetMGM)
My analysis
The San Francisco Giants are mired in a six-game losing streak mostly due to an underperforming rotation and a disastrous bullpen.
However, Jordan Hicks has been one of the few bright spots in San Francisco's rotation. The Giants righty has a nice matchup today against the Arizona Diamondbacks he should be able to exploit.
Hicks is coming off his worst start this season against the big-hitting New York Yankees, surrendering four earned runs across 5 1/3 frames but didn't walk a batter and struck out four.
The 27-year-old righty has been more than serviceable from the away dugout mainly because his sinker-splitter-sweeper trifecta serves up a high groundball rate and gets strikeouts.
The Diamondbacks have scored a dozen across this series, but don’t have the best peripherals against righties. They’ve scored the 23rd-most runs with the 26th-worst BABIP (.270) and their high strikeout rate bodes well for Hicks as he’s whiffing a shade over 10 away hitters per nine.
D-Backs starter Jordan Montgomery is coming off one of his worst starts of the season at the New York Mets where he allowed six earned runs at Citi Field. He hasn’t fared much better at Chase Field. The veteran lefty doesn’t get the strikeouts (4.00 per nine), walks a shade under four and his 4.50 xFIP at home suggests more of the same today.
The Giants plate the 15th-most away runs and boast the 11th-best OPS against southpaws. They’ve underperformed recently but score 4.47 runs per away game and that should be enough to get to Montgomery early, and to win the first five innings.
Giants vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)
Giants F5 ML
Over 8.5
I like Hicks to hold off the D-Backs' sticks and win the first five innings, but it's supposed to be a hot day in Phoenix and neither bullpen is excelling.
Both ‘pens have ERA’s north of 4.00. The Giants' back end is over-extended and has served up over one home run per nine while Arizona’s bullpen allows a shade under 1.0 HR/9. The Over is 3-1-1 across their last five games and today’s matchup will soar over, too.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Giants vs Diamondbacks odds
Giants vs Diamondbacks live odds
Giants vs Diamondbacks opening odds
- Run line: San Francisco +1.5 (-190) | Arizona -1.5 (+155)
- Moneyline: San Francisco +118 | Arizona -135
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)
Giants vs Diamondbacks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Giants moneyline markets saw trading off the +118 opener. Giants markets are now priced at odds of +105 to +112.
- Arizona ML markets opened as high as -138 but are priced at -122 to -135 across the US betting industry.
- Over/Under markets opened as low as 8.0 runs but have moved to Over 8.5 (-102 to -115) with the most vig (-120) on Under 8.5 markets.
- 88% of the bets and 85% of the cash at BetMGM are on the Under 8.5 markets.
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Giants vs Diamondbacks trend
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Diamondbacks
Giants vs Diamondbacks game info
| Location: | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date: | Wednesday, 6-5-2024 |
| First pitch: | 3:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBC Sports Bay Area, ARID |
| Giants starting pitcher: | Jordan Hicks (4-2, 2.70 ERA) |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher: | Jordan Montgomery (3-3, 5.48 ERA) |
Giants vs Diamondbacks latest injuries
Giants vs Diamondbacks weather
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