The MLB season has officially begun with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs playing in Japan, but MVP odds have largely stayed the same while everyone else continues to play in spring training games.
MLB odds again have Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani listed as the presumptive favorites, while some injuries and illnesses have befallen some of their closest contenders.
Odds to win AL MVP 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
+310 | +300 | +275 |
 Bobby Witt Jr. |
+450 | +280 | +350 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
+600 | +1600 | +800 |
 Gunnar Henderson |
+750 | +850 | +700 |
 Jose Ramirez |
+1500 | +2200 | +1600 |
 Corey Seager |
+1600 | +1100 | +1200 |
 Mike Trout |
+1600 | +1800 | +1600 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
+1700 | +1400 | +1400 |
 Julio Rodriguez |
+2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
 Rafael Devers |
+2500 | +3000 | +2500 |
| Jarren Duran |
+3500 | +5000 | +4000 |
 Brent Rooker |
+3500 | +8000 | +4000 |
| Cody Bellinger |
+4000 | +8000 | +5000 |
| Wyatt Langford |
+4000 | +5000 | +4000 |
 Riley Green |
+4500 | +6000 | +5000 |
| Tarik Skubal |
+4500 | +10000 | +6000 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino |
+5000 | +12000 | +6000 |
 Yandy Diaz |
+5000 | +12000 | +6000 |
| Adley Rutschman |
+5500 | +8500 | +6000 |
 Carlos Correa |
+5500 | +12000 | +7500 |
| Marcus Semien |
+5500 | +10000 | +6000 |
| Alex Bregman |
+6000 | +6000 | +6000 |
Odds as of 3-24.
AL MVP odds analysis
3/24/2025: Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson is opening the season on the injured list with an intercostal strain. He's started ramping up activities but won't be available right away. It hasn't affected his MVP odds much just yet as books are playing it safe in case he returns two weeks into the schedule.
Previous AL MVP odds analysis
3/18/2025: Bobby Witt Jr.'s time as the betting favorite during spring training was relatively short-lived (even if it was only at one or two sportsbooks). Some of that temperance may be related to him getting a scare when being hit by a pitch. X-rays were negative as the shortstop avoided a fractured forearm, which would have tanked his odds entirely.
3/3/2025: Perhaps curiously, FanDuel has elevated Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. above New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge while other books have the slugger still atop the mountain. These two finished 1-2 in MVP voting in 2024 and Witt probably wins over Shohei Ohtani if he was in the NL. Witt has no holes in his game. He hit .332 with 32 home runs and 31 stolen bases while striking out just 15% of the time and playing an elite defense. Judge will probably always have the spectre of injury looming over him even if he's been generally durable on the whole. It just goes to show how there's probably no margin for error here, and even a short stint on the IL could give someone like Witt enough runway to win the award. One interesting bit of movement comes from Texas Rangers outfielder Wyatt Langford jumping to +4000 from +5500 at DraftKings. I'm high on Langford, and he finished strong in 2024, but I don't really know why he's catching helium already. He's still 60/1 at FanDuel, though, so there is value out there if you're a real believer. If he plays up to his true potential out of the gate, that number will not stick around for long.
2/17/2025: I am curious about Aaron Judge's viability in this space. His injury history is perhaps overblown, especially as he's played at least 148 games in three of the last four seasons. Still, the potential for lost time lingers, and it will be interesting to see how much — if at all — his counting stats dip with the New York Yankees ostensibly replacing Juan Soto with Cody Bellinger. While Judge's injury risk is debatable, Mike Trout's is not, and I simply do not understand how he can be listed at +1600. Trout Is a three-time AL MVP winner with four other runner-up campaigns to his resume. However, the eventual first-ballot Hall-of-Fame outfielder hasn't played more than 120 games since 2019 (his last MVP win) and he's not getting any younger. For ages, you could still say, "Well, whenever Trout's on the field, he's still one of the best in the game," but that wasn't really true for the 29 games he played in 2024 as he hit .220 (the same as his 40-game debut in 2011) with 10 home runs. This number simply doesn't reflect the present reality. Finally, let's take a quick look at the newest member of the Boston Red Sox, Alex Bregman. I'm not saying you should bet on him at +6000, given his bat-speed decline of late and overall dip in offensive numbers, but Fenway Park is the perfect place for him. For his career, Bregman is hitting .375/.490/.750 with seven home runs and nine doubles in just 98 plate appearances over 21 games at Boston.
12/11/2024: Aaron Judge opens as the presumptive favorite to repeat as American League MVP. With Juan Soto now in the National League, one of his chief competitors for the hardware will not be challenging him. Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. put together an MVP-caliber campaign but came up a bit short due to Judge's superhuman efforts. With Judge's extensive injury history, don't be shocked if Witt jumps up early if the Yankees bopper hits the IL or slumps out of the gate. With free agency a year away, Houston Astros outfielder Kyle Tucker's name has emerged in trade rumors. It seems farfetched, but the Astros' window might be closing, and moving Tucker could go a long way toward replenishing the farm system.
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Odds to win NL MVP 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Shohei Ohtani |
+170 | +145 | +150 |
 Juan Soto |
+550 | +550 | +550 |
 Fernando Tatis Jr. |
+800 | +850 | +800 |
| Mookie Betts |
+1200 | +1000 | +1100 |
 Bryce Harper |
+1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
 Kyle Tucker |
+1500 | +1700 | +1600 |
 Elly De La Cruz |
+1500 | +2000 | +1800 |
| Francisco Lindor |
+1600 | +2200 | +1800 |
 Ronald Acuna Jr. |
+1600 | +3000 | +2000 |
| Freddie Freeman |
+2200 | +4500 | +3300 |
 Corbin Carroll |
+2200 | +4000 | +2500 |
| Trea Turner |
+2500 | +5000 | +3300 |
| Ketel Marte |
+2500 | +3500 | +2800 |
| Jackson Merrill |
+3500 | +5500 | +4000 |
 Jackson Chourio |
+3500 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Matt Olson |
+4000 | +5000 | +4000 |
| Mark Vientos |
+4000 | +12000 | +6000 |
| Austin Riley |
+4500 | +5500 | +5000 |
| Manny Machado |
+4500 | +7500 | +6000 |
| Pete Alonso |
+5000 | +5500 | OTB |
| William Contreras |
+5500 | +10000 | +7500 |
 Paul Skenes |
+5500 | +7500 | +5000 |
 James Wood |
+5500 | +12000 | +7500 |
Odds as of 3-24.
NL MVP odds analysis
3/24/2025: Mookie Betts isn't officially on the injured list, but an illness has caused the Los Angeles Dodgers star to lose nearly 25 pounds. He's down to 157 lbs from a listed weight of 180. As alarming as it is, his odds haven't shifted much at all. This is likely due to the uncertainty around his status. If he plays on Opening Day, even if he's not 100%, he will be in the running.
Previous NL MVP odds analysis
3/18/2025: Shohei Ohtani opened his season by going 2-for-5 with a couple runs scored in Tokyo against the Chicago Cubs. It will once again be strange to see him go back to spring training games after this two-game set, but he sure looked ready for the real deal. Let's see how he pitches and how that affects his offense and overall usage. But, for now, he's clearly going to be the benchmark in the early going.
3/3/2025: National League MVP odds will likely be in a holding pattern until someone shows he can push Shohei Ohtani. With the two-way player fresh off another MVP win in 2024 when he was exclusively deployed as a designated hitter, he will pitch this season, adding another layer to his already impressive skillset. If Ohtani can do both well, it will make things extremely difficult for the field because no one else does what he does.
2/17/2025: Assuming health, Shohei Ohtani may just walk away with this award again. He might not pitch a full starter's workload on the mound after serving as a pure DH in 2024, but any added value as a pitcher will be factored in. So, unless he absolutely bombs as a hurler, he could be extremely difficult to catch. That said, there is some interesting competition even beyond Juan Soto in his maiden voyage with the New York Mets. Kyle Tucker joins the Chicago Cubs with one year remaining before free agency. He was limited to 78 games last year due to injury but was on pace for his best season if extrapolated over a full workload. In roughly half a season, he slashed .289/.408/.585 with 23 home runs and 11 stolen bases. His 180 wRC+ was a career-best and his 4.2 fWAR wasn't far off his high of 5.0 (both 2021 and 2023). His ceiling is an MVP winner, and this could be his year should Ohtani stumble.
12/11/2024: Shohei Ohtani became the first pure DH to win MVP as he was unanimously voted NL MVP in 2024. He will get a little extra competition in the form of New York Mets outfielder Juan Soto, who signed a 15-year, $765-million contract in Queens before the winter meetings fully got off the ground. For now, Ohtani has shorter odds and it's easy to see why. He will pitch again — though Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said he might not be ready for Opening Day — and if he can be effective on the mound and at the plate, he might cruise to yet another trophy. Atlanta Braves outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. will not be ready for Opening Day, but he will still get plenty of run, assuming his recovery from a torn ACL goes smoothly. At 16/1, I'd want his odds to be a little longer before taking a flier on him.
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MVP betting splits
American League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 22.7%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 10.4%
- Mike Trout, Angels - 8.9%
Highest Handle%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 24.9%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 15.1%
- Aaron Judge, Yankees - 8.3%
Biggest Liability
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners
National League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 23.8%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 15.1%
- Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves - 8.7%
Highest Handle%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 33%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 19.3%
- Paul Skenes, Pirates - 7.8%
Biggest Liability
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous MVP winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL MVP Award, with Mike Trout leading the way as a three-time winner. Bryce Harper has won twice with two different teams and Miguel Cabrera was the last player to win back-to-back MVP awards (2012-13). Barry Bonds holds the record for most MVP awards (seven)
The New York Yankees have won the most MVPs in MLB history with 23 while the St. Louis Cardinals are second, leading all NL teams, with 21. No player for the Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets, or Tampa Bay Rays has ever won MVP.
Previous AL MVP winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2023 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge |
| 2021 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2020 |  Jose Abreu |
| 2019 | Mike Trout |
| 2018 | Mookie Betts |
| 2017 | Jose Altuve |
| 2016 | Mike Trout |
| 2015 | Josh Donaldson |
| 2014 | Mike Trout |
Previous NL MVP winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr. |
| 2022 |  Paul Goldschmidt |
| 2021 | Bryce Harper |
| 2020 | Freddie Freeman |
| 2019 | Cody Bellinger |
| 2018 |  Christian Yelich |
| 2017 |  Giancarlo Stanton |
| 2016 | Kris Bryant |
| 2015 | Bryce Harper |
| 2014 | Clayton Kershaw |
Popular MLB futures markets
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MLB MVP odds explained
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Goldschmidt ran away with the MVP award in 2022 his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number for a large part of the season.
- Paul Goldschmidt -6,000
That means that a bettor in August had to wager $6,000 to win $100 by betting on Goldy to win MVP. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.
- Shohei Ohtani +200
That means a bettor would have profited $200 for a $100 wager on Ohtani before the season started.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
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MLB MVP FAQ
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is favored at most books but FanDuel has Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. drawing the shortest odds.
Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani is the betting favorite to win NL MVP.
Los Angeles Angels DH/SP Shohei Ohtani won his second AL MVP award in unanimous fashion. Corey Seager finished second in voting.
Atlanta Braves OF Ronald Acuna Jr. won the 2023 NL MVP, receiving all 30 first-place votes.
Of the 33 players to have multiple MVP trophies, Barry Bonds is far and away the leader with seven. Ten other players have won three and no one besides Bonds has won more.
AL and NL MVP awards are typically announced in mid-November after the World Series has been played. The 2023 awards were announced on November 16.
Since 1931, members of the Baseball Writer's Association of America (BBWAA) have submitted ranked ballots. Two writers from each MLB city vote for the awards in their respective league.
