The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Milwaukee Brewers in the final outing of this three-game series at Chase Field. MLB odds list Arizona as a -120 favorite, while the total sits at 8.
My Brewers vs. Diamondbacks prediction targets the road team’s moneyline in this National League matchup.
Read on for my MLB picks for Sunday, April 13.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks prediction
My Brewers vs Diamondbacks best bet: Brewers moneyline (+100 at Caesars)
The Milwaukee Brewers were the victims of a massive collapse Saturday evening, but they are in a prime position to bounce back Sunday with right-hander Freddy Peralta slated to take the mound. Peralta is Milwaukee’s ace, having posted a sub-4.00 ERA in each of the past five seasons.
That success has continued into 2025, with Peralta sporting a 2.00 ERA and 0.72 WHIP through three starts. His underlying metrics are equally impressive, as he ranks in the top quarter of the league in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), and strikeout rate.
That success is likely to continue against the Arizona Diamondbacks, a team Peralta is 4-0 against in five career meetings with a 0.84 ERA.
Meanwhile, Arizona counters with right-hander Zac Gallen. Through three starts this season, Gallen is 1-2 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. His analytics suggest further struggles may lie ahead, as he ranks in the bottom third of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, walk rate, and barrel rate.
Gallen also owns a 6.30 ERA over his past two starts against Milwaukee.
Finally, the Brewers outrank the Diamondbacks in runs scored per game this season.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Brewers vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)
Brewers moneyline
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 hits
Brice Turang Over 0.5 hits
If we’re backing Milwaukee to win this game, then we need some of its hitters to contribute. There may be no better candidates than Jackson Chourio and Brice Turang.
Chourio has been on fire since Opening Day, recording a hit in each of his past 14 games. He boasts a .339 batting average over that stretch.
Meanwhile, Turang owns a .444 average through 10 plate appearances against Gallen and has recorded 19 hits over his past 14 games.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Brewers vs Diamondbacks odds
Brewers vs Diamondbacks live odds
Brewers vs Diamondbacks opening odds
- Moneyline: Milwaukee +108 | Arizona -126
- Run line: Milwaukee +1.5 (-200) | Arizona -1.5 (+162)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+102) | Under 8.5 (-124)
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks trend
Milwaukee has won eight of its past 11 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Diamondbacks.
How to watch Brewers vs Diamondbacks and game info
| Location | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Sunday, 4-13-2025 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSNWIX, ARID |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Freddy Peralta (1-1, 2.00 ERA) |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher | Zac Gallen (1-2, 5.28 ERA) |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks latest injuries
Brewers vs Diamondbacks weather
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