MLB Player Props for 9-13: Best Bets for Naylor, Rooker & Ober

The Reds have been timid at the plate, and we're not expecting them to suddenly come to life against stout Twins starter Bailey Ober.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 13, 2024 • 12:18 ET • 4 min read
Bailey Ober MLB
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The Oakland A's have been terrible, but Brent Rooker is having a season to remember, and my favorite MLB player props for today are backing him to keep rolling.

See why I'm also betting on Twins righty Bailey Ober and Guardians slugger Josh Naylor with my MLB picks for Friday, September 13.

MLB props for September 13

Today’s best MLB props

Prop bet #1: Josh Naylor Over 0.5 RBIs

+130 at bet365

Cleveland Guardians first baseman Josh Naylor is slugging .462 and is tied for sixth in the majors with 101 RBIs through 138 games. Naylor performs better at home, where he slugs .506, and .482 with the platoon advantage, which he will have today against Zack Littell.

The Tampa Bay Rays starter has a solid 3.89 ERA, but his underlying metrics paint a different picture. Littell is in the bottom 10th percentile in ground ball rate and the bottom 25th percentile in barrel rate while posting an expected ERA of 4.51. That number is more in line with how he performs on the road, where he has a 4.91 ERA with an OBA of .319 through 12 starts.

With Naylor batting in the cleanup spot behind All-Stars like Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez, bet on him to drive in a run tonight.

Prop bet #2: Brent Rooker Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs

+105 at bet365

Oakland A's outfielder Brent Rooker is enjoying a breakout season, slashing .298/.370/.580 while racking up 76 runs and 102 RBIs through 130 games. Rooker performs better on the road, where he slugs .612, and he's currently in great form, slashing .397/.438/.707 with 14 RBIs over the last 15 days. 

Rooker will have the platoon advantage today against White Sox starter Garrett Crochet. The southpaw was one of the top pitchers in the AL for the first half of the year but has an ugly 7.09 ERA with an OBA of .310 in eight starts since the All-Star break.

Crochet also hasn't pitched deeper than four innings in any of those starts, which means that Rooker will see plenty of Chicago's bullpen, which is 29th in the majors in ERA (4.87). 

Prop bet #3: Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits

+115 at bet365

Bailey Ober has an expected ERA of 3.28 with an OBA of .200 through 27 starts this year. Tonight, Ober and the Minnesota Twins will host a Cincinnati Reds squad that has been ice-cold at the dish.

The Reds are 26th in the majors in batting average (.231) and rank third-last in hard-hit rate while sitting dead-last in exit velocity. They've been even worse lately, batting just .181 and plating 1.75 runs per game over their last eight contests. 

Ober has allowed fewer than 4.5 hits in 10 of 13 starts since the All-Star break, pitching to a 2.85 ERA with an OBA of .159 during that span.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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