The Texas Rangers are sending Jose Urena to the mound for tonight's matchup against the Boston Red Sox and Kutter Crawford.
These teams combined for 17 runs with the same pitching duel earlier this month, and my Rangers vs. Red Sox predictions for today are betting on another high-scoring game.
Here are my best free MLB picks for this clash at Fenway Park on Tuesday, August 13.
Rangers vs Red Sox prediction
My best bet
Over 10 (-110 at FanDuel)
My analysis
When these teams clashed in Arlington on August 2, the Boston Red Sox won 11-6, with both Kutter Crawford and Jose Urena getting rocked.
Urena also ranks in the bottom 30th percentile in both hard-hit rate and exit velocity. The Red Sox are third in the majors in OPS (.767), and they've been on fire since the All-Star break, batting .282 with an OPS of .846.
Meanwhile, the Texas Rangers have the second-unluckiest offense in the majors according to THE BAT X, which suggests positive regression in their future. They'll feast on Crawford, who started the season off red-hot but has been terrible over the last couple of months.
In his first 10 starts of the year, Crawford pitched to a 2.17 ERA while holding opponents to a slugging percentage of .310. Over his last 13 starts, he has pitched to a 5.65 ERA while allowing opposing batters to slug .537.
Both bullpens have also been extremely shaky. Rangers relievers are 27th in the majors in ERA (4.52) this season, while Boston's bullpen has pitched to an ugly 5.14 ERA since the start of June.
Rangers vs Red Sox same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 10
Corey Seager Over 1.5 total bases
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 total bases
In that previous duel between Urena and Crawford, Boston's Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with a homer while Texas' Corey Seager went 3-for-3 with a pair of dingers. We could see more fireworks today since Fenway favors left-handed batters like these two.
Seager has been on fire since the start of July, slashing .311/.378/.621. The three-time Silver Slugger winner also thrives with the platoon advantage, slugging .555 against righties.
Devers is even more dominant against righties, slugging an incredible .675. The Red Sox superstar is fifth in the majors in slugging percentage (.587) and has racked up 233 total bases in 104 games.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Rangers vs Red Sox odds
Rangers vs Red Sox live odds
Rangers vs Red Sox opening odds
- Run line: Texas +1.5 (-165) | Boston -1.5 (+140)
- Moneyline: Texas +125 | Boston -150
- Over/Under: Over 10 (-115) | Under 10 (-105)
Rangers vs Red Sox spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Red Sox opened this series with a 5-4 win last night, which snapped a four-game losing streak.
- The Rangers are 4-12 in their last 16 games and are now nine games below .500.
- Urena has made eight starts this season, pitching to a 4.31 ERA with an OBA of .263 in those contests.
- In Crawford's first 13 starts this year, he allowed six homers in 74 1/3 innings. In his last 10 starts, he has given up 21 dingers in 58 innings.
Rangers vs Red Sox trend
Boston has hit the game total Over in 36 of its last 56 games (+16.15 Units / 26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Red Sox.
Rangers vs Red Sox game info
| Location: | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date: | Tuesday, 8-13-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Sports Southwest, NESN |
| Rangers starting pitcher: | Jose Urena (3-7, 3.74 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher: | Kutter Crawford (7-9, 4.11 ERA) |
Rangers vs Red Sox latest injuries
Rangers vs Red Sox weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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