MLB Triple Crown Odds: Will Ohtani and Judge Join Elite Club?

Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge are both favored to win the MVP award in their respective leagues, but can either (or both) win the Triple Crown? Robert Criscola takes a look at the long shot propositions being offered by FanDuel.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Jul 17, 2024 • 12:25 ET • 4 min read
Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Shohei Ohtani has demonstrated little difficulty in adapting from the American League to the National League in 2024, as the Los Angeles Dodgers All-Star is a runaway NL MVP odds favorite while leading the senior circuit in home runs.

Meanwhile, Aaron Judge might be an AL MVP odds favorite with or without Ohtani still playing for the Angels, as the New York Yankees slugger is pacing all of baseball in both homers and RBI.

With the unofficial second half of the MLB season at hand, FanDuel has posted MLB odds on both superstars to win the Triple Crown in their respective leagues. Let's take a look at where they stand with the Midsummer Classic in the rearview mirror.

Shohei Ohtani odds to win NL Triple Crown  

Yes No
+1,060 -3,500

Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 7-17-2024.

Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani currently enjoys the NL lead in dingers by three over the Atlanta Braves' Marcell Ozuna (29 to 26), but he's looking up at him in the RBI race as well as Alec Bohm. Ohtani's 69 RBI trail Ozuna at 77 and the Philadelphia Phillies third baseman at 70. 

Ohtani is also 10 points off the lead in batting average at .316, while Christian Yelich of the Milwaukee Brewers sits at .326.

The Japanese superstar entered the All-Star break batting .319 in July, but the taters and RBI have dried up a bit. After jumping the yard 12 times and driving in 24 runs in June, Ohtani is on pace for only six homers and 14 RBI this month.

Aaron Judge odds to win AL Triple Crown  

Yes No
+1,000 -3,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 7-17-2024.

Despite leading in two of the three Triple Crown categories at the All-Star break, New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge might have the tougher task compared to Ohtani.

Judge is batting .306, just five ticks off his lifetime-best mark posted in his 2022 MVP season, but is a long way behind Steven Kwan of the Cleveland Guardians at .352. Even if Kwan (who missed some time due to injury earlier in the season) winds up with not enough at-bats to qualify at the end of the year, Judge still has to catch and pass both Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. (.323) and Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa (.308).

Furthermore, Judge's lead in RBI isn't insurmountable. The Guardians' Jose Ramirez is eight behind Judge in RBI (85 to 77) and has Kwan constantly getting on base in front of him. Even a power surge from Gunnar Henderson of the Baltimore Orioles, who trails Judge in bombs 34-28, isn't unfathomable. 

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The Triple Crown club

The last player to win the Triple Crown in either league was Detroit Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera in 2012. He led the AL with 44 home runs, 139 RBIs, and a .330 batting average. Beyond him, you have to go back 45 years to 1967 when Carl Yastrzemski of the Boston Red Sox accomplished the feat with 44 home runs, 121 RBIs, and a .321 average.

Below is a list of players to accomplish the feat in either the AL or the NL since 1920, when RBIs officially started being tracked:

Player Name Year League
Tigers Miguel Cabrera  2012 AL
Red Sox Carl Yastrzemski 1967 AL
Orioles Frank Robinson 1966 AL
Yankees Mickey Mantle 1956 AL 
Red Sox Ted Williams 1947*, 1942 AL 
Cardinals Joe Medwick 1937 NL
Yankees Lou Gehrig 1934* AL 
Athletics Jimmie Foxx** 1933 AL
Phillies Chuck Klein 1933 NL
Cardinals Rogers Hornsby 1925*, 1922 NL

* Won MLB Triple Crown.
** Played for the Philadelphia Athletics 

Close, but no cigar

Only 10 players over the last 103 seasons have led their respective league in batting average, home runs, and RBI at the end of the year. 

Some recent close calls include:

  • Aaron Judge, 2022: Led the AL in home runs (62) and RBIs (131) but fell short by five points (.316) to Luis Arraez (.321).

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 2021: Tied for the AL lead in home runs (48), second in batting average (.311), and fifth in RBI (10 behind leader Salvador Perez).

  • Christian Yelich, 2018: First in batting average, but missed by two home runs to Nolan Arenado and one RBI to Javier Baez.

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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