The New York Yankees broke out at the dish on Tuesday to force a Game 5 against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, October 30.
It’s a Game 1 rematch on the mound with Los Angeles sending Jack Flaherty to the bump to face New York veteran Gerrit Cole.
Our top MLB player props picks and Dodgers vs. Yankees predictions have pinpointed a pair of Unders for tonight’s starters and a strong offensive showcase from Juan Soto.
Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 5 props
Gerrit Cole Under 17.5 outs (-110 at BetMGM)
Jack Flaherty Under 2.5 walks (-145 at DraftKings)- Juan Soto Over 1.5 H+R+RBI (-120 at bet365)
Picks made on 10-30 at 8:45 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Dodgers vs Yankees props
Prop bet #1: Gerrit Cole Under 17.5 outs
New York Yankees starter Gerrit Cole went six innings in Game 1 of the World Series without walking a batter and scattering just four hits. I’m not anticipating as tidy of an outing from the veteran tonight in Game 5. Cole’s 2.82 postseason ERA is saddled with a 5.18 xFIP, and the Los Angeles Dodgers were a force against right-handers during the regular season with a second-ranked .335 wOBA and .188 ISO.
Add the Dodgers sporting respective .335 and .199 overall marks in the playoffs to this being an elimination game, and Yankees skipper Aaron Boone could look to the bullpen if Cole pitches into trouble in the middle frames.
Prop bet #2: Jack Flaherty Under 2.5 walks
Jack Flaherty went 5 1/3 innings in the series opener and issued just a single free pass, and his postseason walk numbers (3.48 BB/9 and 9.0 BB%) are still way above the 2.11 BB/9 and 5.9 BB% he posted during the regular season.
Additionally, while his 4.95 xFIP across 20.2 innings during the playoffs is nothing to write home about, it’s still well below his 6.10 ERA. Simply put, another solid outing shouldn’t surprise, and I also don’t expect Flaherty to pitch deep into this game with the Dodgers having multiple go-to relievers rested.
Of course, on the flip side, Flaherty might also fail to pitch deep enough into Game 5 to record three walks if he gets roughed up early.
Prop bet #3: Juan Soto Over 1.5 H+R+RBI
Juan Soto has gone Over the number in this market in nine of 13 postseason games, including three of four during the World Series. He saw 15 pitches across three plate appearances against Flaherty in Game 1, and Soto has been a force throughout the playoffs with a .442 wOBA and .319 ISO while racking up 15 hits, 10 runs, and nine RBI.
I also value that our MLB player props projections rate this as a five-star bet, and these odds have an implied probability of just 54.5%. There’s considerable value given Soto’s recent form and long-standing dominance at the dish.
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