Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 5 Prop Bets: Eyeing Soto in Clutch Spots

With everything on the line, Juan Soto is going to step up and do his part to push the World Series to Game 6 in Los Angeles. As a result, we're targeting the Over on his hits + runs + RBI market.

Neil Parker • Betting Analyst

Oct 30, 2024 • 12:49 ET • 4 min read

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The New York Yankees broke out at the dish on Tuesday to force a Game 5 against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, October 30.

It’s a Game 1 rematch on the mound with Los Angeles sending Jack Flaherty to the bump to face New York veteran Gerrit Cole.

Our top MLB player props picks and Dodgers vs. Yankees predictions have pinpointed a pair of Unders for tonight’s starters and a strong offensive showcase from Juan Soto.

Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 5 props

Gerrit Cole Under 17.5 outs (-110 at BetMGM)
Jack Flaherty Under 2.5 walks (-145 at DraftKings)
Juan Soto Over 1.5 H+R+RBI (-120 at bet365)

Picks made on 10-30 at 8:45 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

Dodgers vs Yankees props

Prop bet #1: Gerrit Cole Under 17.5 outs

-110 at BetMGM

New York Yankees starter Gerrit Cole went six innings in Game 1 of the World Series without walking a batter and scattering just four hits. I’m not anticipating as tidy of an outing from the veteran tonight in Game 5. Cole’s 2.82 postseason ERA is saddled with a 5.18 xFIP, and the Los Angeles Dodgers were a force against right-handers during the regular season with a second-ranked .335 wOBA and .188 ISO.

Add the Dodgers sporting respective .335 and .199 overall marks in the playoffs to this being an elimination game, and Yankees skipper Aaron Boone could look to the bullpen if Cole pitches into trouble in the middle frames.

Prop bet #2: Jack Flaherty Under 2.5 walks

-145 at DraftKings

Jack Flaherty went 5 1/3 innings in the series opener and issued just a single free pass, and his postseason walk numbers (3.48 BB/9 and 9.0 BB%) are still way above the 2.11 BB/9 and 5.9 BB% he posted during the regular season.

Additionally, while his 4.95 xFIP across 20.2 innings during the playoffs is nothing to write home about, it’s still well below his 6.10 ERA. Simply put, another solid outing shouldn’t surprise, and I also don’t expect Flaherty to pitch deep into this game with the Dodgers having multiple go-to relievers rested.

Of course, on the flip side, Flaherty might also fail to pitch deep enough into Game 5 to record three walks if he gets roughed up early.

Prop bet #3: Juan Soto Over 1.5 H+R+RBI

-120 at bet365

Juan Soto has gone Over the number in this market in nine of 13 postseason games, including three of four during the World Series. He saw 15 pitches across three plate appearances against Flaherty in Game 1, and Soto has been a force throughout the playoffs with a .442 wOBA and .319 ISO while racking up 15 hits, 10 runs, and nine RBI.

I also value that our MLB player props projections rate this as a five-star bet, and these odds have an implied probability of just 54.5%. There’s considerable value given Soto’s recent form and long-standing dominance at the dish.

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Neil Parker

Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.