It may be time to doubt the Phoenix Suns on a nightly basis. Actually, it was time long ago. It's hard to believe this roster of Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Bradley Beal and Tyus Jones is failing so spectacularly, but it very much is.
Doubting Phoenix tonight means trusting the Los Angeles Clippers, which my Suns vs. Clippers predictions and NBA picks will, in fact, do before tip at 9:30 ET on Monday, January 27.
Clippers vs Suns prediction
My best bet
Clippers -2.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
One of the punchlines of last season was that the Atlanta Hawks were historically bad against the spread. At the absolute least, the Hawks’ 29-53 ATS record last season was the worst ATS record since sports gambling became regulated in the United States in 2018.
Don’t look now, but the Phoenix Suns are on pace to match or worsen that mark.
At 15-28-1 right now, Phoenix is barrelling toward a 28-53-1 ATS record despite currently sitting two games above .500 outright. Of course, those two records have only so much correlation, but the latter is camouflaging just how much and how often the Suns are disappointing and falling short of expectations.
Do not chalk this up to just a bad start. In the last month, Phoenix has gone 5-9-1 ATS. That stretch alone is a pace to go 30-52 ATS in a full season, hardly an improvement. Even amid the Suns’ struggles, NBA odds are failing to figure out how to price them. There have obviously been downgrades for 44 games of miseries, but those downgrades do not seem to have been enough.
Now look down the court tonight. The Los Angeles Clippers are on pace to go 52-29-1 ATS this season, which would be the best mark since at least 2017-18 if not for two teams exceeding that pace this season, the Grizzlies and the Cavs with the Thunder also matching the Clippers.
And again, do not chalk this up to just a good start. In the last month, Los Angeles has gone 10-5 ATS. That stretch alone is a pace to go 55-27 ATS in a full season, the same pace as Memphis and Cleveland.
Perhaps the most impressive part of the Clippers’ success has been folding Kawhi Leonard into it as he slowly works his way back onto the court with more of an impact. He has played between 19 and 25 minutes in every one of his seven games, all this month. In his seven games, Los Angeles has gone 7-0 ATS and 6-1 outright.
Somehow, it seems sportsbooks both overrated Leonard’s absence and then underrated his return.
These two historical trends dovetail tonight to make a rather simple decision: The Clippers by at least three points.
Clippers vs Suns same-game parlay
Clippers -2.5
Suns team total Under 111.5
Grayson Allen Under 2.5 threes
The Clippers have remained in the Top 6 out West largely thanks to their defense, the No. 2 in rating in the last month (105.3 compared to the Thunder’s 105.1) and No. 2 across the season. Head coach Tyronn Lue should lean on that tonight against the Suns, entirely an offense-driven roster. With Leonard expected to be available tonight, Los Angeles’s defense should be that much more locked in.
One of the greatest strengths of that defense is how it limits good looks from deep, with opponents making just 33.0% of their 3-pointers in the last month. Of the Suns’ roster, that is most likely to impact Grayson Allen.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Clippers vs Suns odds
Clippers vs Suns live odds
Clippers vs Suns opening odds
- Spread: Los Angeles -1 | Phoenix +1
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -110 | Phoenix -110
- Over/Under: Over 223 | Under 223
Odds courtesy of bet365
Clippers vs Suns spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Clippers opened as 1- or 1.5-point favorites on Sunday afternoon, depending on your sportsbook, and that number held steady overnight.
- Only early Monday afternoon did this line move to -2 and then to -2.5.
- The total opened at 223 and also held steady all of Sunday and overnight.
- The total then jumped to 224.5 on Monday morning, even reaching 225 briefly.
Clippers vs Suns trend
The Clippers have gone 7-1 ATS in their last eight, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 9.4 points in those eight games even including the ATS loss. Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Suns.
How to watch Clippers vs Suns
| Location | Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Monday, 1-27-2025 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA TV |
Clippers vs Suns latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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