Uniforms saying Atlanta Hawks will be worn tonight in Minneapolis, but the team will be so shorthanded, they will be the Atlanta Hawks largely in name only. Against the Minnesota Timberwolves and their propensity for letdowns against shorthanded opponents, that does not assure a blowout.
What it does assure is someone under the radar will have to score for Atlanta. My Hawks vs. Timberwolves predictions and NBA picks attempt to figure out who that will be before tip at 8 ET on Monday, January 27.
Hawks vs Timberwolves prediction
My best bet
Dyson Daniels Over 15.5 points (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
No Trae Young. No Jalen Johnson. No Larry Nance Jr. Possibly no De’Andre Hunter. Possibly no Zaccharie Risacher.
Someone will suit up for the Atlanta Hawks tonight, just not necessarily anyone the casual NBA fan will recognize. And someone will still take shots for Atlanta tonight. It's not like the Hawks will turn the ball over on every possession.
Hunter and Rissacher may play. Hunter, in particular, could bounce back from an illness well enough to try to put up a fight tonight, but that's too unreliable to bet on, and with Atlanta looking this thin, Minnesota would be able to focus its defense on Hunter in that scenario.
Looking at usage rates in the last month, the next most likely scorers are Dyson Daniels and Bogdan Bogdanovic, but much of Bogdanovic’s work comes from being set up by Young and Hunter.
So the value should be in Daniels, a third-year guard who has started every game this season and averaged 14.8 points in the last month. Even with Young, Johnson and Hunter largely available in the last month, Daniels has ended 19.1% of possessions when he's on the court. If that ticks up just a touch, and some of Young’s shots becoming Daniels’ attempts make far too much sense, then clearing this points prop should be expected.
He has already cleared this prop in four of his last six games, reaching 20 points in three of those. Daniels’s 13.3 shot attempts per game in the last month could near 20 takes tonight, and that would make it almost a certainty that he'll score at least 16 points.
Hawks vs Timberwolves same-game parlay
Dyson Daniels Over 15.5 points
Jaden McDaniels Over 6.5 rebounds
Timberwolves moneyline
Timberwolves wing Jaden McDaniels has started taking fewer corner 3-pointers, a shocking thought to most in the NBA, and he's finding overall success as a result. He becomes more active in the entire offense when not simply stationed in the corner, and it's not a shot he's particularly adept at, anyway. Greater activity in the offense tends to lead to greater activity everywhere from McDaniels, including on the glass.
Pinpointing an exact shift in his approach is difficult, but let’s note that in the last nine games, McDaniels has upped his scoring by 4.1 points per game compared to the season’s first 36 games while grabbing 7.4 rebounds per game — and clearing this prop in six of the nine games — compared to 4.6 beforehand.
The Timberwolves have gone only 5-4 outright in that stretch, but the losses were all competitive losses to either top-tier teams or the Warriors, while the wins included four blowouts.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Hawks vs Timberwolves odds
Hawks vs Timberwolves live odds
Hawks vs Timberwolves opening odds
- Spread: Atlanta +7 | Minnesota -7
- Moneyline: Atlanta +225 | Minnesota -275
- Over/Under: Over 224 | Under 224
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Hawks vs Timberwolves spread and Over/Under analysis
- This spread opened with Minnesota favored by as few as seven points on Sunday afternoon before the Atlanta injury news began to roll out.
- With the news that Young will be out and that Hunter is questionable, this line quickly rose to -10 by the end of the night and to -10.5 early on Monday morning.
- This total opened at 224, and, understandably, the news that Young will be out quickly dropped it to 219.5. Monday saw the total drop further to 217.
Hawks vs Timberwolves trend
Atlanta is not only 0-4 outright in its last four, but it's also 0-4 against the spread in its last four. Find more NBA betting trends for Hawks vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Hawks vs Timberwolves
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Monday, 1-27-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN |
Hawks vs Timberwolves latest injuries
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