Pascal Siakam Odds and Props: Struggling Under Pressure

Elimination stares Pascal Siakam and the Indiana Pacers in the face Monday night, trailing the Boston Celtics 3-0 in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Siakam has done just about everything for Indiana this postseason and that continues in the East Finals, averaging almost 25 points, seven rebounds, and five assists heading into Game 4 tonight.

I scour the NBA odds and single out my best NBA picks for Pascal Siakam odds on May 27.

Pascal Siakam prop picks for May 27

• Pascal Siakam Under 23.5 points (-115 at bet365)
• Under 23.5 points + Over 0.5 steals + Over 0.5 threes (+500 at bet365)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Pascal Siakam best bet

Pascal Siakam pick: Under 23.5 points

Pascal Siakam’s offensive efforts have been huge to the Indiana Pacers’ postseason success, especially in the Eastern Conference Finals. With Indiana’s star Tyreese Haliburton nursing a hamstring injury, more pressure is on Siakam to save Indiana’s season, but is that pressure and the wear of the postseason starting to show on the energetic forward?

With Haliburton sidelined in Game 3, Siakam scored 22 points on 9-for-18 shooting, including 0-for-3 on threes over 36 minutes. Fifteen of those tallies came in the opening 24 minutes before Siakam slowed in the second half, scoring only seven points on 3-for-8 success from the floor. 

That power outage from Pascal played a role in the Boston Celtics' second-half surge, digging itself out of an 18-point hole to win 114-111 in Game 3 and put the Pacers on the ropes for tonight’s Game 4 inside Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

With Haliburton out of action, Indiana is without its top playmaker (Haliburton averaging 8.2 assists in the playoffs). Game 3 saw the pace of play drop in tempo compared to the opening two contests in Boston (94.5 vs. 97.7). 

As the Pacers’ top remaining option, Siakam has also drawn defensive coverage from the likes of Jrue Holiday and Jaylen Brown — two of the best on-ball defenders in the NBA.

Siakam’s player props for Game 4 are sitting at 23.5 points Over/Under as of Monday morning and have bounced between that number and 22.5 O/U over the last 24 hours. Some sharper books are dealing Under 23.5 as expensive as -128, but if you shop around, you can find a softer ask.

NBA player projections for Siakam call for a good game but all models consulted come in below 24 points, with a low as 19.5 and a ceiling of 22.2. My projection boils down to just north of 20 points for Siakam against the Celtics tonight.

Given that forecast, the Under 23.5 points for Siakam should boast a price tag just shy of -220 but you can find this same prop option as low as -115 on Monday morning.

Prop: Pascal Siakam Under 23.5 points (-115 at bet365)

Pascal Siakam same-game parlay

Pascal Siakam Under 23.5 points

Pascal Siakam Over 0.5 steals

Pascal Siakam Over 0.5 threes

+500 at bet365

Siakam seems to have hit a wall and player projections all call for less than 24 points in Game 3, with Boston’s top defenders taking away his touches.

Pascal is long and active on defense and has recorded a steal in two of the three games in this series. For the postseason, he’s averaging 0.8 steals over 16 games.

He went 0-for-3 from distance in Game 3 but has hit at least one triple in nine of the Pacers’ 16 playoff games. The big spread says Indiana is playing from behind and desperation will produce plenty of 3-point attempts. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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