We got a great night of NBA action on tap, with eight games on the board for hungry basketball bettors to dig into. That means there are plenty of options in the player prop market.
Tonight, we look at Mikal Bridges who continues to look comfortable as the Nets’ No. 1 option. Draymond Green will also be busy cleaning the glass against the Thunder, plus we're backing Lauri Markkanen to dominate against a bad rebounding team in the Mavs.
Here are my best NBA player prop picks for Tuesday, March 7.
NBA player props for March 7
Picks made on 3/07/2023 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best NBA player props
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Building Bridges
Mikal Bridges certainly looks comfortable being the No. 1 scoring option for the Brooklyn Nets, and he’s going to have a great chance to get some buckets tonight when they take on the Houston Rockets.
Bridges has made the most of this opportunity with the Nets, as he’s averaging 29.3 points while shooting 56.8% from the floor over the last seven games and has put up 31 or more four times over that stretch.
Despite the fact that the Rockets have won two games in a row, they look far more concerned with the draft lottery than the idea of slowing down opponents.
The Rockets rank 29th in defensive rating and 27th in scoring defense, but their real problem is on the perimeter. Houston currently allows the most 3-point attempts per game and ranks 27th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage.
Bet on Bridges to keep the hot hand in this matchup and take the Over 24.5 on his point total tonight.
Mikal Bridges prop: Over 24.5 points (-115)
Green Day
The Golden State Warriors are back at full health with the return of Steph Curry, and now their focus has to be on finding their good form in order to make a proper title defense. That should start tonight when they get a tough test against the scrappy Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunders play at an electric pace and are underrated on defense, and as a result, have been the best bet in the NBA this season. But while this team is an NBA League Pass dream, they still have some flaws.
The biggest of which is rebounding.
The Thunder are an undersized team that plays at a high pace, taking the third-most shots per game. As a result, OKC ranks 26th in rebounding rate and dead last in opponent rebounds per game. That should create a great opportunity to back Draymond Green in this matchup.
The Warriors’ veteran leader has picked up his effort with regard to cleaning the glass lately. Green was averaging 6.6 rebounds per game over his first 29 games, but over the last 25, that number has bumped up to 8.6. He’s hauled down nine or more boards 17 times over that stretch, including twice versus this same Thunder team, grabbing nine on January 30, and 10 on February 6.
Green’s rebounding total for this one is set at 8.5 and we are getting plus money on the Over. Sign me up for the Over in this matchup.
Draymond Green prop: Over 8.5 rebounds (+120)
Mr. Reliable
The Utah Jazz are playing a team that is bad at rebounding, which can only mean one thing... it’s Lauri Markkanen double-double time.
Markkanen has been a double-double machine in the second half of the season, and that should continue tonight when he and the Jazz visit the Dallas Mavericks.
Markkanen has obviously taken a huge leap when it comes to his scoring prowess this season, but he’s also putting in great work on the glass of late. Markkanen is averaging 9.2 rebounds per game over his last 18 games, and as a result, 11 of his 25 double-doubles this season have come during this span.
Tonight, he’ll have a great chance to record another double-double against the Mavericks. Dallas is a truly undersized team, and it has really cost them on the glass. The Mavs rank just 18th in opponent rebounds per game and next-to-last when it comes to rebounding rate.
With Kyrie Irving as a part of the Dallas offense, the team has gone from dead last to 20th in pace of play. With Markkanen crashing the boards at a high rate lately, +135 odds is solid value.
Lauri Markkanen prop: To record a double-double (+135)
