There's plenty of NBA action tonight with 11 games on tap, meaning a plethora of NBA player props to sink our teeth into.
After sorting through the data, my three favorite plays involve Pascal Siakam, Miles McBride, and Chet Holmgren.
Find out the best way to bet on this trio of studs in my NBA picks for Wednesday, March 19.Best NBA player props today
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Siakam Over 7.5 rebounds (+105 at bet365) -
McBride Over 2.5 threes (+155 at bet365) -
Holmgren double-double (+125 at bet365)
NBA player props for March 19
Pascal Siakam Over 7.5 rebounds (+105 at bet365)
It feels more like a matter of when and not if the Dallas Mavericks drop out of the playoff picture in the Western Conference entirely.
Luka Doncic is a Laker, Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis are injured, and the team has lost 10 of its last 12 games heading into tonight’s road game against the Indiana Pacers.
Dallas is now just one game ahead of the Phoenix Suns for the final Play-In spot in the West, and missing it would be certain if the Suns weren’t such disappointments.
Either way, the Mavs roster is a disaster, and the Pacers shouldn’t have many problems as 10.5-point home faves, particularly on the glass.
Dallas has been predictably really bad on the boards with AD, Dereck Lively, and Daniel Gafford all out. The Mavericks rank dead last in the NBA in both rebounding rate and opponent rebounds per game since coming out of the All-Star break.
My favorite Pacer to take advantage of that mismatch is Pascal Siakam. The three-time All-Star is averaging 7.2 rebounds per game this season. Plus, he'll play a lot of minutes in a game where both teams are in the top half of the NBA in terms of pace.
That should mean plenty of opportunities to clean the glass against a Mavs team that ranks 23rd in effective field goal percentage since the break. It doesn’t hurt that our Covers Prop Projections have Siakam set to haul down 8.0 rebounds.
Miles McBride Over 2.5 threes (+155 at bet365)
The New York Knicks have done their best to tread water with Jalen Brunson sidelined with an ankle injury — going 3-2 straight up without their star point guard — and it sounds like he’ll be out at least a couple more weeks.
While Knicks fans wait with bated breath for Brunson’s return, one person is making the most of this opportunity — Miles McBride.
McBride has started the last five games with Brunson out, and the 24-year-old guard immediately found his shooting rhythm and hasn’t been afraid to let it fly. McBride is 14-for-31 from 3-point range over those five games, and I’m betting we see some more heat-check threes when the Knicks visit the San Antonio Spurs tonight.
What started as a promising season for the Spurs has been derailed with injuries to Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox. Now it appears San Antonio is just running out the clock.
The Spurs rank dead last in defensive rating since the All-Star break (when Wembanyama was diagnosed with his blood clot), including getting burned on the perimeter. San Antonio ranks 25th in the NBA in both opponent 3-point shooting percentage and made threes per game during this period.
McBride is getting big minutes at nearly 35 per game as a starter in a Tom Thibedeau lineup. And as a starter this season, he's averaging 7.2 attempted threes per game and has hit three or more threes four times in those starts. Yet, oddsmakers are still giving us +155 for McBride to go Over 2.5 threes against the Spurs tonight.
Yes, please.
Chet Holmgren double-double (+125 at bet365)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 10 of their last 11 games and are in cruise control as they head toward the top seed in the Western Conference.
That means they don’t need Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to take on the dumpster fire that is the Philadelphia 76ers. OKC’s MVP candidate will sit out tonight’s matchup against the Sixers with “rest” being listed as the reason, and the Thunder are still double-digit favorites.
Hell, it looks like OKC is treating this like a glorified scrimmage. Along with SGA, Jalen Williams and Lou Dort are out, while Isaiah Hartenstein is questionable.
That has me thinking we will see a Chet Holmgren masterclass tonight. Holmgren is averaging 15 points and 8.5 rebounds per game this season and has shown the ability to put up big performances since returning from his hip injury in early February.
He went for 23 points and 15 rebounds against the Boston Celtics just back on March 12 and has four double-doubles over his last 10 games. I’m betting he gets another one against the spiraling Sixers.
The only man who seems to give a damn on that roster is Quentin Grimes. But he doesn’t rebound or guard the paint.
Philly enters this matchup with the second-worst defensive rating in the NBA since the All-Star break. The 76ers also allow the fourth most points in the paint per game and have the third-worst rebounding rate since the All-Star break.
Holmgren should dominate this matchup tonight, and I am backing him to get another double-double at solid plus money.
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NBA odds today
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