The No. 1 ranked Auburn Tigers head to College Station to face the No. 22 Texas A&M Aggies in NCAA hoops action tonight.
The Tigers have been beating ranked foes all season and my Auburn vs. Texas A&M predictions expect that to continue against a struggling Aggies squad.
Here are my best free college basketball picks for this SEC showdown on Tuesday, March 4.
Auburn vs Texas A&M prediction
My best bet
Auburn -4.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Auburn Tigers have gone 27-2 with a 10-2 record against ranked opponents. They're 5-0 straight up and against the spread in their last five road games and now face a Texas A&M Aggies side that's 0-4 SU and ATS in its previous four contests overall.
The Aggies shoot the ball extremely poorly, ranking 280th in the country in 2-point percentage (48.6%) and 327th in 3-point percentage (30.6%).
They'll have a tough time generating points against an Auburn side that's 22nd in opponent 2PT% (46.2%) and eighth in opponent 3PT% (29.4%).
On the other side of the floor, Texas A&M is 360th at defending the rim and 346th at allowing high-quality threes per ShotQualityBets.
That's bad news against an Auburn attack first in the country in adjusted offense with a devastating inside-out game. The Tigers are 15th in attacking the rim efficiency and shoot a sizzling 37.1% from deep.
The Aggies' biggest strengths have been their rebounding (sixth in rebounding rate) and defensive pressure (47th in opponent turnover rate).
That said, their opponent TO rate has dropped to 14.8% over their last four games, and Auburn has turned the ball over at the fifth-lowest rate in the country (12.7%). The Tigers are also 34th in rebounding rate and the big man duo of Johni Broome and Dylan Cardwell should match Texas A&M on the glass.
With the Tigers negating the two biggest strengths of the Aggies and boasting major advantages in other areas, back them to cover here.
Auburn vs Texas A&M same-game parlay (SGP)
Auburn -4.5
Under 151.5
Chad Baker-Mazara Over 12.5 points
The Aggies have gone 18-11 to the Under this season. Given their slow tempo and shooting woes combined with the Tigers' ranking 10th in adjusted defense, this total seems a tad high. Keep in mind KenPom is projecting 148 points in this matchup with Bart Torvik projecting 146.
While I don't see this game going above the lofty total, I expect Auburn wing Chad Baker-Mazara to have a productive game.
Baker-Mazara has scored 15+ points in four of his last five games and looks like he's finally healthy after dealing with nagging injuries and illness. He's coming off back-to-back 22-point games and his confidence is peaking at the right time.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Auburn vs Texas A&M odds
Auburn vs Texas A&M live odds
Auburn vs Texas A&M opening odds
- Spread: Auburn -5.5 | Texas A&M +5.5
- Moneyline: Auburn -250 | Texas A&M +200
- Over/Under: Over 149 | Under 149
Odds courtesy of bet365
Auburn vs Texas A&M betting trend to know
The Tigers are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road. Find more college basketball betting trends for Auburn vs. Texas A&M.
How to watch Auburn vs Texas A&M
| Location | Reed Arena, College Station, TX |
| Date | Tuesday, 3-4-2025 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Auburn vs Texas A&M key injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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