March Madness Bracket Prediction: Jason Logan Picks Duke Over Texas Tech

Covers' first official March Madness bracket for 2025 comes from Jason Logan, who expects the top seeds to show out this year — and the Blue Devils to be the last ones standing.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 18, 2025 • 10:47 ET • 4 min read
Duke Blue Devils college basketball
Photo By - Imagn Images. The Duke Blue Devils celebrate after winning the 2025 ACC Conference Championship game.

There will be more than a few stomach-turning moments for March Madness brackets over the next month.

In those times of queasiness, the best prescription is a dose of calcium carbonate: Not only is that the key ingredient for most antacids... it’s also the primary mineral in chalk — and you’ll find lots of that on my NCAA Tournament bracket.

Here is my official bracket for this year's March Madness, where No. 1 seeds should see plenty of success.

Jason Logan's March Madness Bracket for 2025


  • Round 1 upsets: 8

  • Sweet 16 Cinderellas: 4
    10 New Mexico
    12 UC San Diego
    12 McNeese
    13 Akron 

  • Final Four
    1 Auburn vs. 3 Texas Tech
    1 Duke vs. 1 Houston

  • National Championship
    Duke over Texas Tech

I have three of the four No. 1 seeds advancing to the Final Four, with No. 3 Texas Tech as the lone outlier. There’s been a notable gap between top No. 1’s (Auburn and Duke) and the rest of the contenders, with quality teams cycling into those final two top-seed spots.

Houston doesn’t draw much pushback in the Midwest Region until the Elite Eight, outside of a possible Round of 32 game with Gonzaga. Duke should also dominate on its way to San Antonio (with Cooper Flagg good to go). Auburn can also coast in a soft South Region.

As for the West Region, there are plenty of pitfalls along the way. Florida is the favorite but could get defending national champ UConn in the Round of 32. I have the West coming down to Maryland and TTU, giving a slight nod to the Red Raiders.

As for the Final Four, we’ve seen Auburn’s aura of invincibility crumble in recent games and I believe Texas Tech can stand toe-to-toe. Duke’s star power will push it past UH. In the final, the Blue Devils add another banner to Cameron Indoor, cementing Flagg’s place in Duke history.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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