March Madness Bracket Prediction and Picks: Jason Logan Has Duke Over Texas Tech

Covers' official March Madness bracket for 2025 from Jason Logan, who expects the top seeds to show out this year — and the Blue Devils to be the last ones standing.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 20, 2025 • 09:23 ET • 4 min read
Duke Blue Devils college basketball
Photo By - Imagn Images. The Duke Blue Devils celebrate after winning the 2025 ACC Conference Championship game.

There will be more than a few stomach-turning moments for March Madness brackets over the next month.

In those times of queasiness, the best prescription is a dose of calcium carbonate: Not only is that the key ingredient for most antacids; but it’s also the primary mineral in chalk — and you’ll find lots of that in my NCAA Tournament bracket.

Here is my official bracket for this year's March Madness, where No. 1 seeds should see plenty of success.

Jason Logan's March Madness Bracket for 2025

Our best March Madness picks

I have three of the four No. 1 seeds advancing to the Final Four, with No. 3 Texas Tech as the lone outlier. There’s been a notable gap between top No. 1’s (Auburn and Duke) and the rest of the contenders, with quality teams cycling into those final two top-seed spots.

Houston doesn’t draw much pushback in the Midwest Region until the Elite Eight, outside of a possible Round of 32 game with Gonzaga. Duke should also dominate on its way to San Antonio (with Cooper Flagg good to go). Auburn can also coast in a soft South Region.

As for the West Region, there are plenty of pitfalls along the way. Florida is the favorite but could get defending national champ UConn in the Round of 32. I have the West coming down to Maryland and TTU, giving a slight nod to the Red Raiders.

As for the Final Four, we’ve seen Auburn’s aura of invincibility crumble in recent games and I believe Texas Tech can stand toe-to-toe. Duke’s star power will push it past UH. In the final, the Blue Devils add another banner to Cameron Indoor, cementing Flagg’s place in Duke history.


  • Round 1 upsets: 8

  • Sweet 16 Cinderellas: 4
    10 New Mexico
    12 UC San Diego
    12 McNeese
    13 Akron 

  • Final Four
    1 Auburn vs. 3 Texas Tech
    1 Duke vs. 1 Houston

  • National Championship
    Duke over Texas Tech

East Region picks

No. 13 Akron makes a statement by getting to the Sweet 16, while sixth-seeded BYU makes a run to the Regional Final, but ultimately it's Duke emerging from the East.

Round 1 picks

1 Duke vs. 16 American/Mount St. Mary's pick: Duke

8 Mississippi State vs. 9 Baylor pick: Mississippi State

5 Oregon vs. 12 Liberty pick: Oregon

4 Arizona vs. 13 Akron pick: Akron

6 BYU vs. 11 VCU pick: BYU

3 Wisconsin vs. 14 Montana pick: Wisconsin

7 Saint Mary's vs. 10 Vanderbilt pick: Saint Mary's

2 Alabama vs. 15 Robert Morris pick: Alabama

Round 2 picks

1 Duke vs. 8 Mississippi State pick: Duke

5 Oregon vs. 13 Akron pick: Akron

3 Wisconsin vs. 6 BYU pick: BYU

2 Alabama vs. 7 Saint Mary's pick: Alabama

Sweet 16 picks

1 Duke vs. 13 Akron pick: Duke

2 Alabama vs. 6 BYU pick: BYU

Elite Eight pick

1 Duke vs. 6 BYU pick: BYU


Midwest Region picks

Another Cinderella run happens here, with No. 12 McNeese reaching the second weekend, but again it's the No. 1 seed coming out on top, with Houston topping third-seeded Kentucky.

Round 1 picks

1 Houston vs. 16 SIU Edwardsville pick: Houston

8 Gonzaga vs. 9 Georgia pick: Gonzaga

5 Clemson vs. 12 McNeese pick: McNeese

4 Purdue vs. 13 High Point pick: Purdue

6 Illinois vs. 11 Xavier/Texas pick: Illinois

3 Kentucky vs. 14 Troy pick: Kentucky

7 UCLA vs. 10 Utah State pick: UCLA

2 Tennessee vs. 15 Wofford pick: Tennessee

Round 2 picks

1 Houston vs. 8 Gonzaga pick: Houston

4 Purdue  vs. 12 McNeese pick: McNeese

3 Kentucky vs. 6 Illinois pick: Kentucky

2 Tennessee vs. 7 UCLA pick: Tennessee

Sweet 16 picks

1 Houston vs. 12 McNeese pick: Houston

2 Tennessee vs. 3 Kentucky: Kentucky

Elight Eight pick

1 Houston vs. 3 Kentucky pick: Houston


South Region picks

I have two double-digit seeds winning in the first round here — with both reaching the Sweet 16. No. 10 New Mexico actually takes it one step further, losing in the Regional Final to Auburn, the top overall seed in the bracket.

Round 1 picks

1 Auburn vs. 16 Alabama State pick: Auburn

8 Louisville vs. 9 Creighton pick: Louisville

5 Michigan vs. 12 UC San Diego pick: UC San Diego

4 Texas A&M vs. 13 Yale pick: Texas A&M

6 Mississippi vs. 11 UNC pick: Mississippi

3 Iowa State vs. 14 Lipscomb pick: Iowa State

7 Marquette vs. 10 New Mexico pick: New Mexico

2 Michigan State vs. 15 Bryant pick: Michigan State

Round 2 picks

1 Auburn vs. 8 Louisville pick: Auburn

4 Texas A&M vs 12 UC San Diego: UC San Diego

3 Iowa State vs. 6 Mississippi pick: Mississippi

2 Michigan State vs. 10 New Mexico: New Mexico

Sweet 16 picks

1 Auburn vs. 12 UC San Diego pick: Auburn

6 Mississippi State vs. 10 New Mexico pick: New Mexico

Elite Eight pick

1 Auburn vs. 10 New Mexico pick: Auburn


West Region picks

Finally, a one-seed failing to deliver, as I have Florida losing in the Sweet 16, and an Elite Eight matchup between No. 3 Texas Tech and No. 4 Maryland — with the Red Raiders riding on to the Final Four.

Round 1 picks

1 Florida vs. 16 Norfolk State pick: Florida

8 UConn vs. 9 Oklahoma pick: UConn

5 Memphis vs. 12 Colorado State pick: Colorado State

4 Maryland vs. 13 Grand Canyon pick: Maryland

6 Missouri vs. 11 Drake pick: Drake

3 Texas Tech vs. 14 UNC Wilmington pick: Texas Tech

7 Kansas vs. 10 Arkansas pick: Arkansas

2 St. John's vs. 15 Omaha pick: St. John's

Round 2 picks

1 Florida vs. 8 UConn pick: Florida

4 Maryland vs. 12 Colorado State pick: Maryland

3 Texas Tech vs. 11 Drake pick: Texas Tech

2 St. John's vs. 10 Arkansas pick: St. John's

Sweet 16 picks

1 Florida vs. 4 Maryland pick: Maryland

2 St. John's vs. 3 Texas Tech pick: Texas Tech

Elight Eight pick

3 Texas Tech vs. 4 Maryland pick: Texas Tech


Final Four picks and predictions

Final four

1 Auburn vs. 3 Texas Tech pick: Texas Tech
1 Duke vs. 1 Houston pick: Duke

National Championship

3 Texas Tech vs. 1 Duke pick: Duke


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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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