Oregon State vs Oklahoma State Midwest Region Picks: Poke the Dam

Potential No. 1 pick in the NBA Draft Cade Cunningham and the Oklahoma State Cowboys are up next for the Oregon State Beavers, who have produced upset after upset recently.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 21, 2021 • 18:28 ET
Cade Cunningham Oklahoma State Cowboys March Madness
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Are you a Beavliever? Because the Oregon State Beavers continued their impressive run with a fourth consecutive outright win as underdogs, which includes their NCAA Tournament opening win over Tennessee.

But can they keep the streak alive, getting 5.5-points against potential No. 1 pick in the upcoming NBA Draft Cade Cunningham and the Oklahoma State Cowboys? The Pokes are a red-hot bet and handled a tough test from Liberty in the First Round.

Check out our best Oregon State vs. Oklahoma State March Madness picks and predictions for college basketball betting action on Sunday, March 21.

Oregon State vs Oklahoma State odds

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Sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

FanDuel pegged Oklahoma State a 5.5-point favorite at Friday night's outset and has been stuck at -6 since Saturday morning. As of 7:45 p.m. ET Sunday, it's two-way play with a lean toward Oklahoma State, which is drawing 54 percent of bets and 57 percent of money on the spread. The total dipped from 142 to 140.5, spent much of today at 141 and is now 140.5 again, with 61 percent of bets/63 percent of cash on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Oregon State Beavers vs Oklahoma State Cowboys betting preview

Injuries

Oregon State: No injuries to report.
Oklahoma State: No injuries to report.

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 6-1 in Oregon State's last seven games overall, and 7-2 in Oklahoma State's last nine overall. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oregon State vs. Oklahoma State.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

For those who don’t know at this point, Oregon State was picked to finish dead last in the Pac-12 in the preseason. But the Beavers entered the conference tournament winners of four of its last six games and were 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall. 

Then, the Beavers rattled off three consecutive wins in the Pac-12 Tournament, all as underdogs of five points or more. Then they did it again in the Big Dance, getting 8-points against Tennessee. They are now 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Led by Ethan Thompson and Jarod Lucas, the Beavers still had that ice in their veins when it came to shooting the 3-ball in the Pac-12 Tournament, going 10 for 21 from deep against the Volunteers. 

But unlike the Vols, Oklahoma State is playing like a team. A team that has a ton of talent to boot. To that point, Cade Cunningham didn’t play overly well against Liberty and the Pokes still covered as 7.5-point favorites, winning 69-60. Avery Anderson III led the way for OK State, putting up 21 points on 8-of-14 shooting. 

The Cowboys also get the job done on the defensive end of the floor. They are long and athletic and can make problems for an Oregon State team that lives and dies on the perimeter. Oklahoma State ranks 19th in adjusted defensive efficiency and allows opponents to shoot just 32.2 percent from 3-point range.

On top of that, with the win over Liberty, Oklahoma State proved it can beat a team with a slow tempo and force a team to get uncomfortable and play at its pace. This Beavers team is really fun, but the run ends Sunday, as the favored Pokes cover the spread.

PREDICTION: Oklahoma State -5.5 (-110)

Over/Under pick

Both Oregon State and Oklahoma State cashed the Under in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament, but prior to that, they had been on solid Over runs. With a total on the March Madness odds board at 142, oddsmakers are expecting them to get back on track.

Oregon State has upped its scoring to 73.3 points per contest over its last seven games, scoring 70 or more in six of those games. While Oklahoma State was held to 69 points against Liberty, the Beavers rank 98th in adjusted defensive efficiency, and prior to that game, the Pokes averaged 78.6 points over the last 10 games, with the Over going 7-3 in that stretch.

The oddsmakers may be on to something here because, with two hot teams, the Over looks like a good bet at this number.

PREDICTION: Over 142 (-110)

First half pick

While Oklahoma State has been a dangerous team down the stretch, the Pokes have done most of their damage in the second half of games. That means they have been allowing their opponents to get out to decent starts, giving up an average of 34.8 first-half points in their four postseason games. That includes falling behind 30-27 to Liberty in the Round of 64.

Getting off to good starts is something Oregon State has done well over its underdog run. The Beavers have averaged 32 points per game over their last four games and are a good bet to go Over their first-half team total in this one.

PREDICTION: Oregon State Over 31.5 First Half Team Total (-115)

Oregon State vs Oklahoma State betting card

  • Oklahoma State -5.5 (-110)
  • Over 142 (-110)
  • Oregon State Over 31.5 First Half Team Total (-115)
March Madness parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s March Madness Oregon State vs. Oklahoma State picks, you could win $58.14 on a $10 bet?

Use our March Madness parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on March Madness odds?

March Madness is one of the most popular times of the year for sports bettors, which of course makes it one of the busiest times of the year for online sportsbooks. Every betting site will offer March Madness odds but the top sites are safe and secure, offer a wide range of banking options, and give you a ton of markets for each game. Check out the best March Madness betting sites in your region.

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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