The Final Four tips off on Saturday night with an SEC rivalry between the Auburn Tigers and the Florida Gators.
The Gators won the lone matchup between these two teams this season back on February 8 by a score of 90-81 in Auburn. This rematch could also provide plenty of sparks and my Florida vs. Auburn same-game parlay is in line with the firepower of these two teams.
Check out my March Madness picks for Saturday, April 5.
Saturday's best Florida vs Auburn same-game parlay: Final Four
Miles Kelly Under 11.5 points
Tahaad Pettiford Over 1.5 threes
Alijah Martin Over 1.5 assists
I am starting this same game parlay with an Under despite my expectation for plenty of scoring opportunities. I am taking Miles Kelly to stay Under 11.5 points even though he scored 22 points in their last matchup. He has struggled big time in postseason play, averaging 12.6 points per game overall but only 10.0 points per game if you take out the game against the 16-seed.
In the last three games, Kelly is shooting a combined 3/18 from three-point range and has only six free throw attempts in his last seven games. That Florida regular season game was an anomaly for Kelly getting points from inside the arc with nine attempts, as he has nine combined in the last three games.
Instead, I think the scoring for Auburn will come from Tahaad Pettiford off the bench. He had 14 points in the regular season matchup and shot 2/5 from three. Pettiford has made at least two threes in each of the four NCAA tournament games, and I expect him to continue in this game.
Finally, I am looking at a Gator that actually didn’t play in the regular season matchup and that is guard Alijah Martin. The fifth-year senior transfer from Florida Atlantic has never been a big assists guy, but he is averaging a career-high 2.3 this season for Florida. His line here is only 1.5 and Martin has recorded two or more assists in five of the past seven games – all postseason games.
The Tigers have a good defense against assists but have been susceptible against efficient offenses. They allowed 13 assists to the Michigan State Spartans in the Elite 8 and 17 assists to the Creighton Bluejays in the Round of 32. The Gators had 22 assists in the regular season game with Auburn.
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