The non-conference portion of the college basketball season continues Saturday afternoon when the Michigan Wolverines meet the Oregon Ducks at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon.
Michigan has dropped three of its previous four, including a 73-57 loss to Texas Tech in the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament. Oregon enters Saturday's matchup with the Wolverines looking to end a two-game losing streak, including a 99-91 loss to No. 17 Alabama at the Emerald Coast Classic.
Please join me as I take a closer look at the CBB odds and give you my free college basketball picks and predictions for Michigan vs Oregon on December 2.
Michigan vs Oregon best odds
Michigan vs Oregon picks and predictions
This matchup will be about getting buckets because Michigan and Oregon have been lighting up the scoreboard thus far this season.
Michigan can shoot the basketball. Kenneth Pomeroy states the Wolverines are draining 49.2% from the field, and their 57% effective field goal percentage is 20th in the country. They also shoot 37% from beyond the arc; when the shots fall, they can light up a scoreboard. They have scored 83+ points in five of their seven games.
The Wolverines are coming off a stinker on a night when the shots didn’t fall. They scored 57 points against Texas Tech in the Battle 4 Atlantis final. They shot 40% from the floor and 30% from downtown, made half of their free throw attempts, were clobbered on the glass but committed only eight turnovers, and still lost 73-57.
Oregon hasn’t hit a rough patch yet. They can score buckets just like Michigan can. They knock down 46% percent from the field with a 51% effective field percentage. The Ducks splash 36% of their triple attempts and have scored 82+ in four of their six matchups this season.
These teams are similar in nearly every way, including playing mediocre defense with below-average shooters from the charity stripe. When we add everything together, it's hard to believe that Michigan is a +2.5 underdog to win this game.
One big advantage Michigan has is they’ve already played a true road game when they defeated St John’s by 16 points as a +3.0 underdog. We won’t have to wonder how they will perform in a hostile environment because it doesn’t get much more hostile than a Johnnies’ home crowd at Madison Square Garden, and the Wolverines blew them out of their own barn.
Finally, this will be a fast-paced, high-scoring affair, which is a game Michigan could win but should at least cover the +2.5. They are bigger, faster, stronger and have had a week to work on their offensive issues. Oregon can also shoot, but they haven’t had a bad shooting game this season, and the Michigan length will affect their shots. Neither team plays much defense at all, nor can either side seem able to make a free throw. If the Wolverines knock down their triples and win the battle of the glass, and I believe they will, then they will cover the spread and maybe even win the game.
My best bet: Michigan +2.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Michigan vs Oregon same-game parlay
Michigan +2.5
Dug Daniels alt points 18+
I like Michigan to cover the spread. They are well coached, already have a good true away victory, a tremendous size advantage, and maybe better athletes.
One of those athletes whose shooting prop is too low is Michigan guard Dug McDaniel's scoring prop. DraftKings offers his Over 15.5 points scoring prop (+105) as their regular market number. If that market is available to you in your jurisdiction, fire away because I will do so in mine.
McDaniel has scored 18+ in four of his seven games and is coming off a poor shooting night against Texas Tech. He shot 5-12 from the field, 2-5 from downtown, and failed to get to the charity stripe. The Michigan guard shoots 49% from inside and 35% from outside the arc for the season, and I expect him to have a bounce-back game and outscore his 18.4 ppg average. That's why I played the alternate 18+ line on the SGP.
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Michigan vs Oregon spread and Over/Under analysis
ESPN Bet has the best price on the Michigan moneyline (+120), while FanDuel has Michigan (+102). Conversely, Oregon is available for as low as (-122) while ESPN Bet offers -130 on the Ducks moneyline.
The best number on the spread for Michigan is +2.5 (-110) at DraftKings, and everyone else except for FanDuel and Caesars offers +2.5 with prices from -114 upwards. Caesars has +2 (-110), while FanDuel offers +1.5 (-106), the worst number on the spread on my oddscreen. It's the same story with Oregon; they are -2.5 (-110) at DraftKings and nearly everywhere except Caesars -2 (-110) and -1.5 (-114).
The best number on the Over is 152.5 (-106) at FanDuel and -110 odds on the Over 152.5 at DraftKings. Caesars has the best number and price for the Under 153 (-110) and is the only sportsbook with a 153-point total.
Michigan vs Oregon betting trend to know
The Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Michigan vs. Oregon.
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Michigan vs Oregon game info
| Location: | Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, OR |
| Date: | Saturday, December 2, 2023 |
| Tip-off: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
Michigan vs Oregon key injuries
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