The Ohio State Buckeyes will head out on the road to take on the Purdue Boilermakers in a ranked Big Ten matchup.
The Buckeyes are ranked No. 16 and have put together a three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, Purdue ranks No. 6 in the nation and has won five of six.
It’s always difficult to win on the road in the Big Ten. Can Ohio State find a way? Here are our picks and predictions for Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers.
Ohio State vs Purdue odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Purdue Boilermakers opened as a 10-point favorite. Since then, Purdue has ticked down to -9.5. The total has also dropped from 148 at open to as low as 145.5 at some spots.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Ohio State vs Purdue predictions
Predictions made on 1/30/2022 at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Ohio State vs Purdue game info
• Location: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
• Date: Sunday, January 30, 2022
• Tip-off: 12:00 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
Ohio State at Purdue betting preview
Injuries
Ohio State: Kamari Wheeler G (Questionable), Seth Towns F (Out), Justice Suing F (Out).
Purdue: Brian Waddell F (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Buckeyes are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Find more NCAA betting trends for Ohio State vs. Purdue.
Ohio State vs Purdue picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
There’s always a lot of hype around Purdue’s offense, but the Buckeyes have one nearly as good.
Ohio State is shooting a 55.9% effective field goal percentage while hitting 37.2% from downtown and 56% from inside the arc. The Buckeyes also hit 75.5% free throws and should be able to limit turnovers at a high rate in this game.
Ohio State only turns the ball over 17.9% of the time while Purdue is just as ineffective at forcing turnovers, gaining just 15.1% turnovers per game this season.
Second chances could be hard to come by for Ohio State against Purdue, but ultimately, Ohio State has been above average on the offensive glass this season and have a chance to add some points via second chance opportunities.
Outside of not being able to force turnovers, Purdue is solid defensively. The Boilermakers rarely foul teams to the line and continue to dominate the defensive glass. Teams are shooting 32.8% from deep and 47.6% from inside the arc against Purdue this season.
Meanwhile, the Boilermakers are ranked as the No. 1 team in the nation in offense according to KenPom. Purdue is shooting an effective field goal percentage of 59.1% while knocking down 40.9% from deep and 57.5% from inside the arc.
Purdue has so much length and size so the Boilermakers are able to bring down 36.9% offensive rebounds per game. Plus, the Boilermakers are getting to the line at a high rate and hit nearly 71% of foul shots, which is slightly under average.
Neither team will really turn the ball over much and neither team is really great at forcing turnovers. But Ohio State has been the better team defensively inside and outside and while the Buckeyes won’t win the rebounding battle, as long as they shoot their averages, they should stay within the number.
Prediction: Ohio State +9.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
Both of these teams are in the top 15 when it comes to offensive efficiency. Ohio State ranks 11th in the nation in effective field goal percentage while Purdue is third.
Both teams shoot an abundance of three-point shots and assist on a high percentage of their makes.
Therefore, if Ohio State is going to stay in this game and cover, they’ll have to do their part and score a ton. I’ll grab the Over in this spot as the line continues to move down.
Prediction: Over 145.5 (-110)
Best bet
I like Ohio State in this spot. Offensively, Ohio State can stick around. The Buckeyes have averaged over 75 points per game and while offensive rebounds will be limited, shot-making won’t be.
Ohio State has held opponents to a lower 3-point shooting percentage and lower 2-point shooting percentage. If that stands in this game, Ohio State should surely cover the spread and would have a chance to actually win this game outright.
But I won’t get fancy, knowing Ohio State is on the road in a ranked Big Ten matchup. It’s never easy on the road.
Pick: Ohio State +9.5 (-110)
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