Kansas vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks, Odds, and Best Bet: Senior Wideout Shines for Jayhawks

Luke Grimm has emerged as Jalon Daniels' favorite weapon to kick off 2024, and we expect the Jayhawks wideout to make his mark on Saturday night in Tempe.

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Oct 4, 2024 • 15:23 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 26 hrs
ASU
62 %
KU
38 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Luke Grimm anytime touchdown (+160) Luke Grimm anytime touchdown (+160)
Read Analysis
Luke Grimm Kansas Jayhawks NCAAF
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas Jayhawks are falling apart with four straight losses and need to turn things around this Saturday when they travel to Tempe to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Find out why my Kansas vs. Arizona State predictions are zeroing in on a particular Jayhawks wideout, as I serve up my best college football picks for October 5.

Kansas vs Arizona State prediction

My best bet
Luke Grimm anytime touchdown (+160 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

Kansas started the season ranked 22nd in the country and jumped up to 19th after their opening win over an FCS opponent. However, things have fallen apart with four consecutive losses to Illinois, UNLV, West Virginia, and TCU. 

However, while the Kansas pass offense has only averaged 171.2 yards per game, wideout Luke Grimm has caught 30 passes of Jalon Daniels’ 69 completions this season. He also has five touchdowns for a team that has only found paydirt 17 times. 

Although it has been difficult for Kansas to reach the red zone this season, the Jayhawks have been excellent at converting those opportunities into six points — boasting 14 touchdowns in 18 trips. On the other side, the Arizona State defense has allowed nine touchdowns throughout 11 opponent red zone possessions. 

With ASU sporting the 13th-ranked run defense in the country, the Sun Devils will force Kansas into passing the football. Regardless of who wins on Saturday night, Grimm is a great bet to reach paydirt. 

Kansas vs Arizona State same-game parlay (SGP)

Luke Grimm anytime touchdown

Jalon Daniels Over 174.5 passing yards

Kansas +2.5

Considering Arizona State's exceptional run defense will force Daniels into more passes, volume will be on our side. The Sun Devils also allow 203.8 passing yards per game and have surrendered 265+ yards through the air in two of their last three games.

While Kansas has lost four straight, it has a lot to do with being unlucky in turnovers. The Jayhawks remain the more talented team and should be favored, so I will take advantage of them being betting dogs. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Kansas vs Arizona State odds

Kansas vs Arizona State live odds

Kansas vs Arizona State opening odds

  • Kansas vs. Arizona State spread: Arizona State -1.5
  • Kansas vs. Arizona State moneyline: Kansas +110, Arizona State -135
  • Kansas vs. Arizona State Over/Under: 54.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Kansas vs Arizona State spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The spread opened at Arizona State -1.5 and moved as high as 3.5 before landing at 2.5. 
  • Kansas is 0-5 against the spread this season and Arizona State is 3-1 ATS. 
  • The total opened at 54.5 and has moved all the way down to 50.5 as of Friday afternoon.
  • Three of the last four games these two teams have played have gone Over the total. 

Kansas vs Arizona State betting trend to know

Kansas has hit the game total Over in four of its last six road games. Find more college football betting trends for Kansas vs Arizona State.

Kansas vs Arizona State game info

Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Date: Saturday, 10-5-2024
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2

Kansas vs Arizona State latest injuries

Kansas vs Arizona State weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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