Penn State vs Wisconsin NCAAF Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets: Badgers Cover in Big Ten Tilt

The Wisconsin Badgers have covered in three straight games and will make it four in a row against the Nittany Lions.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Oct 26, 2024 • 16:33 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 59 mins
WIS
43 %
PSU
57 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Wisconsin +6.5 (-110) Wisconsin +6.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Tawee Walker Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images

We’re about to find out if the third-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions are for real, as they put their undefeated season on the line tonight on the road against the Wisconsin Badgers.

Read below for my free Penn State vs. Wisconsin predictions to see why my college football picks expect the Badgers to cover on Saturday, October 26. ickoff for this Big Ten matchup is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, with the game airing on NBC.

Penn State vs Wisconsin prediction and best bet

My best bet
Wisconsin +6.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
Penn State is coming off a bye week, perhaps a chance to gather itself after an incredible 33-30 come-from-behind OT win over the USC Trojans last time out.

The Nittany Lions put up 34.2 points per game, centered around a devastating rush attack pumping out 201.2 yards per game.

Meanwhile, the Wisconsin Badgers have resurrected after getting crushed in back-to-back losses vs Alabama (then no. 4) and USC (then ranked 13) by a combined score of 80-31.

They’ve been absolutely dominant in three straight wins, putting up 117 points and surrendering 16 to climb to 3-1 in the Big Ten. Offensively, they’re right up there with PSU, churning out 194 yards per game on the ground and scoring at a 29-point average.

The Badgers’ run defense has also been stout over the last three games, surrendering an average of just 131.3 yards per contest.

The Nittany Lions sit just 2-4 against the spread in six games this season, while Wisconsin has covered in three straight after starting the year 0-4 ATS.

This is a game PSU should win, but if it starts out slow again and the Badgers can find some daylight with their own run game, they'll hang around.

Penn State vs Wisconsin same-game parlay (SGP)

Wisconsin +6.5

Nicholas Singleton anytime touchdown

Tawee Walker Over 79.5 rushing yards

Nicholas Singleton is coming off his worst rushing game so far this year — gaining just 26 yards on 10 totes — but he still caught four balls for 39 yards and a TD against USC.

That gives Singleton a TD in every single game this season, with three on the ground and three through the air. He’ll play a big part on Saturday and find paydirt again.

OU transfer Tawee Walker has been a wrecking ball during Wisconsin’s win streak, picking up 126 yards on 23 carries last week against Northwestern.

He’s rushed for at least 94 yards in the last three games, including an outstanding 198 yards and three scores against Rutgers.

Penn State might own a dominant run defense, but the Badgers commit to pounding the rock: They currently lead the Big Ten in rush attempts per game with an average of over 40. Walker will get plenty of chances to find daylight.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Penn State vs Wisconsin odds

Penn State vs Wisconsin live odds

Penn State vs Wisconsin opening odds

  • Penn State vs. Wisconsin spread: Wisconsin +6.5
  • Penn State vs. Wisconsin moneyline: Penn State -250, Wisconsin +195
  • Penn State vs. Wisconsin Over/Under: 47.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Penn State vs Wisconsin spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Penn State is 1-4 against the spread as a betting favorite this year.
  • Wisconsin has gone over the total in four of its last five.

Penn State vs Wisconsin betting trend to know

The Nittany Lions are just 2-4 ATS in 2024. Find more college football betting trends for Penn State vs Wisconsin.

Penn State vs Wisconsin game info

Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Date: Saturday, 10-26, 2024
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBC

Penn State vs Wisconsin latest injuries

Penn State vs Wisconsin weather

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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