Baker Mayfield Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Sunday Night Football

Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield visits Dallas, and our expert NFL predictions expect Mayfield to let it fly on Sunday!

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Dec 21, 2024 • 13:26 ET • 4 min read
Baker Mayfield of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Dallas Cowboys for Sunday Night Football in Week 16. The Buccaneers have won four games in a row and look to stay hot to clinch a playoff berth.

Baker Mayfield has been great for the Bucs this season and is coming off one of his best games of the year. He’ll look to keep that going against a beat-up Cowboys defense.

Let’s look at the latest Baker Mayfield odds for Sunday, December 22nd.

Baker Mayfield SNF player prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Baker Mayfield SNF prop pick

My best bet
Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-140 at bet365)

My analysis
Baker Mayfield is no stranger to going into Texas for a big game and showing out. He’s heading back to his home state, and the pristine conditions of the AT&T Stadium dome will only help his case.

Mayfield has thrown for multiple touchdown passes in nine of his 14 games this season. Two of those one-TD games came in Weeks 2 and 3, while the other three outliers are now a few weeks away.

The veteran quarterback is fresh off a four-touchdown game in which he racked up 288 passing yards in Los Angeles. In fact, he’s now thrown for seven touchdowns and nearly 600 yards in the last two weeks.

The Dallas Cowboys have been able to hold guys like Bryce Young and Drew Lock to Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns in recent weeks while allowing Derek Carr, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, and Joe Burrow all to find the end zone multiple times.

Baker Mayfield SNF same-game parlay

Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 touchdown passes

250+ Passing Yards

I’m keeping it simple here by taking Mayfield to throw for at least 250 yards along with those two touchdowns. He’s thrown for 288, 295, 235, and 294 yards in the last four weeks and has hit 250+ yards in eight of 14 games this season.

The Cowboys have allowed 250+ passing yards in three of their last five games to C.J. Stroud, Jayden Daniels, and Joe Burrow. Drew Lock was held to 178 yards in Week 13, but even Bryce Young managed 219 yards last week.

Mayfield and the Bucs should let it fly in Dallas on Sunday night.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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