Eagles vs Giants Picks & Predictions for Week 7: Smith Stays in Groove Against New York

DeVonta Smith has been solid as a rock so far this season, and he should have ample opportunities to exploit a mediocre Giants pass defense this Sunday.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Oct 18, 2024 • 15:50 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 42 hrs
NYG
31 %
PHI
69 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
DeVonta Smith Over 60.5 receiving yards (-110) DeVonta Smith Over 60.5 receiving yards (-110)
Read Analysis
DeVonta Smith Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images

The New York Giants host the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday afternoon in the first battle of the year between the two NFC East rivals.

The Eagles have alternated wins and losses so far this year with a victory last week against the Browns, while New York is coming off a home loss to the Bengals on Sunday Night Football. 

Find out why my Eagles vs. Giants predictions and NFL picks expect wide receiver DeVonta Smith to stay hot on October 20.

Eagles vs Giants prediction

My best bet
DeVonta Smith Over 60.5 receiving yards (-110 at BetMGM)

My analysis

The Philadelphia Eagles are finally getting healthier on offense as wide receiver A.J. Brown returned last week and is expected to be a full “go” again this week. However, that shouldn’t have much of a negative impact on fellow top wideout DeVonta Smith, who has missed just one game this season.

Smith leads the Eagles with 303 yards and is tied with Dallas Goedert for the team lead with 24 catches as well as two touchdowns. He’s consistently been a deep threat for the Birds while making the most of his targets, even when they’re limited.

The wide receiver has gone Over 60.5 receiving yards in all four games this season and cleared it rather easily in his first three contests. Last week against the Browns was a close call with 64 yards on three catches (four targets), but a 45-yard touchdown helped tip the scales.

The New York Giants defense is in the top half of the league, averaging less than 200 passing yards against per game, but we’ve seen teams with two top wideouts find success against them. Just last week both Ja’Marr Chase (72 yards) and Tee Higgins (77) racked up Over 60.5 yards against New York.

In fact, the Giants have allowed at least one wide receiver to go Over 60.5 receiving yards in each of their last four games — and Justin Jefferson (59) and Noah Brown (56) just missed in the first two weeks.

Smith has played against the Giants once in his career and he caught four passes on five targets for 79 yards and a score in a Week 15 win last year.

Eagles vs Giants same-game parlay

DeVonta Smith Over 60.5 receiving yards

DeVonta Smith anytime TD

Eagles moneyline

Smith has a touchdown in two of four games this season and the Giants have allowed multiple touchdown passes in three of their six games.

The Eagles have had a few close calls this season but they’re still a much better team than their division rival. Even on the road, I expect Philly to get the job done to improve to 4-2.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Eagles vs Giants odds

Eagles vs Giants live odds

Eagles vs Giants opening odds

  • Spread: Philadelphia -4 | New York +4
  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -210 | New York +170
  • Over/Under: Over 45.5 | Under 45.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Eagles vs Giants spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Eagles opened as 4-point road favorites against the Giants but have been bet down to just 3-point favorites as of Friday afternoon.
  • The total has come down quite a bit in this one from 45.5 at opening to 42.5 at the start of the weekend.
  • The Giants have only hit the Over in six of their last 20 games (-9.45 Units / -43% ROI).

Eagles vs Giants betting trend to know

DeVonta Smith has had at least 61 receiving yards in 11 of his last 14 games. Find more NFL betting trends for Eagles vs. Giants.

Eagles vs Giants game info

Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Date: Sunday, 10-20-2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Eagles vs Giants latest injuries

Eagles vs Giants weather

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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