It’s the final week of the NFL season, which means we have one final big slate to identify the most likely first touchdown scorers and get some big price wins when it comes to Week 18 odds.
We’re studying the First Touchdown Scorer markets to find three players who offer the perfect mix of value and opportunity to deliver some healthy returns. Let's dissect the latest NFL odds and get right into it with our NFL picks.
Week 18 first touchdown scorer props
- Rachaad White first TD (+333 at 888sport)
- Travis Etienne first TD (+350 at 888sport)
- Austin Hooper first TD (+2,000 at 888sport)
Picks made on January 6 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Best Week 18 first TD scorer props
Prop bet #1: White Noise
When selecting a first touchdown scorer, several factors come into play. It's crucial to consider which teams are strong favorites, assess the weaknesses in opposing defenses, and account for any increases in snap counts for players that may not be reflected in the betting odds. The task becomes even more challenging towards the end of the season when some games and teams are dead rubbers with nothing at stake.
In this context, I'm choosing Rachaad White to score first, primarily based on the first two considerations. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4.5-point favorites on the road, aiming to secure the NFC South title with a victory. They understand that a key pathway to success lies in dominating on the ground, and it just so happens that the Carolina Panthers have conceded 21 rushing touchdowns to running backs this season.
White enters Week 18 with four scores in his past five games. With the Bucs' playoff hopes on the line against a team struggling to defend the run, the equation seems favorable.
Rachaad White prop: Pick (+330 at 888sport)
Prop bet #2: Travy Time
Regardless of who starts at quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars, Doug Pederson will lean on Travis Etienne to get the job done against the Tennessee Titans in Sunday's AFC South showdown.
The Titans rank in the middle of the pack in terms of defending the run, but as witnessed last week, Etienne became the focal point of the Jags' offense, recording 16 carries for 102 yards and two touchdowns. With a season total of 12 TDs, the Jags RB is the most likely candidate to score first.
Travis Etienne prop: Pick (+350 at 888sport)
Prop bet #3: Hoops and Ladders
We have enticing +2,200 odds on Austin Hooper to score first, a prospect I find appealing for the Las Vegas Raiders tight end. The bookmakers project this game to be very close, with the Denver Broncos holding a one-point favorite status, indicating an almost equal chance of either team scoring first.
The Broncos have conceded 10 touchdowns to tight ends this season across 16 games, the highest in the NFL. With Michael Mayer sidelined due to injury, we've witnessed an uptick in Hooper's involvement. In the past two weeks without Mayer, he has accumulated a total of six targets, establishing himself as the team's lead tight end.
At 22/1 to score first, this presents a substantial value, especially considering the Broncos' struggles against tight ends this season.
Austin Hooper prop: Pick (+2,000 at 888sport)
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