The NFL season is finally upon us and we have regular season action this week. While the festivities officially begin on Thursday, my Packers vs. Eagles predictions will leave you "loving" Friday football!
Find out why we lean to the Packers in our NFL picks for Friday, September 6. And be sure to read our full Packers vs Eagles predictions from Jason Logan.
Packers vs Eagles predictions
Early spread lean
Packers +3 (-120 at FanDuel)
My analysis
No matter which angle you choose to compare these two teams from, there is no reason for the Philadelphia Eagles to be favored by a field goal over the Green Bay Packers on a neutral field.
If we're going purely based on last year's performances, the Packers' have the edge on offense. They had 5.7 yards per play (sixth in the NFL) to the Eagles' 5.4 (13th), and ranked sixth in offensive DVOA to Philadelphia's tenth.
This of course was all done in Jordan Love's first year as a starter throwing the league's youngest snap-weighted collection of skill position players compared to an Eagles offense featuring superstar-level names like Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown, Devonta Smith, and Jason Kelce (who of course is now retired).
Neither defense was particularly impressive last year, and both teams are with new defensive coordinators. The Eagles notably picked up Vic Fangio, one of the league's most esteemed coordinators, but one who deploys a defense that asks a lot of each group and has never shown high-level returns until year two (like in Denver and Chicago).
Early Over/Under lean
Under 48.5 (-104 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The total here is a bit harder to pinpoint, as again, both teams have new defensive coordinators who are implementing entirely different defensive schemes from their predecessors.
Fangio brings a two-high shell that typically involves a lot of dime usage and light boxes (which invites a lot of running). New Packers defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley will presumably shift the Packers away from the rigid philosophies of Joe Barry.
For one, Green Bay will shift away from Barry's gap-and-a-half approach in the trenches. This will free up the likes of sleeper Defensive Player of the Year candidate Rashan Gary, the recently extended Kenny Clark, and even the misused-to-date Devonte Wyatt to penetrate as opposed to eating up blocks.
And of course instead of Barry's infamous excessive padding in coverage and rigid coverage matchups post-motion, talented defensive backs like Jaire Alexander and the newly acquired Xavier McKinney can actually play the receivers and the ball.
Marrying the two, if we anticipate the run being invited by Fangio's light boxes and the Packers' defense to be better at not allowing deep scoring drives, we should see this game pace below the total.
New Users
Get $200 in bonus bets and a free trial of NFL Sunday Ticket with FanDuel!
Bet $5 on the NFL and get $200 in bonus bets — PLUS a free three-week trial of the NFL Sunday Ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV!
Sign up now at FanDuel Sportsbook, or learn more with our comprehensive FanDuel review.
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
Packers vs Eagles live odds
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.