The NFL Divisional Round is upon us and it is a bettors dream when it comes to cramming four stand-alone games into one weekend.
My favorite NFL picks against the spread are split evenly between favorites and underdogs, although I do side with home-field advantage in three of the four contests.
Find out more below!
NFL Wild Card picks against the spread
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Texans vs  Chiefs |
(-8) |
 Commanders vs  Lions |
(+9.5) |
 Rams vs  Eagles |
(-6) |
 Ravens vs  Bills |
(+1) |
Lines courtesy of bet365 as of 1-14.
Expert Divisional Round ATS picks
Texans vs Chiefs
Chiefs -8
I was about the only one in the world on the Houston Texans last week and that paid off handsomely. This week, I'll jump ship and take the rested and far superior team, the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. The Texans did well to force four turnovers, but that won't be the case vs. Patrick Mahomes.
The Chiefs know how to win in the postseason, and with a defense starting to elevate their level of play, I don't see the Texans cracking 17 points. Take the Chiefs to win and cover this one.
Commanders vs Lions
Commanders +9.5
This Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions content has the highest total on the board at 55.5, which tells me both teams have more than enough ability to trade points. If we do get the shootout most are expecting, which defense do you trust more to get a timely stop?
For me, it's the Commanders and their third-ranked pass defense. Offensively, Jayden Daniels has proven time and time again that he has that dog in him, so grabbing double-digits here is the right play.
Rams vs Eagles
Eagles -6
Congratulations are in order to the Los Angeles Rams who continued their unlikely run to this point in the season. Unfortunately for them, this is the end of the road.
The Philadelphia Eagles are the far superior team, and with the way the offense is humming along behind Saquon Barkley and a receiving corps that's getting production from everyone, I don't believe the Rams can keep this close.
Ravens vs Bills
Bills +1
This is by far the pick of the litter as we have the front runners for the NFL MVP award squaring off in Lamar Jackson vs. Josh Allen. The first meeting was a lopsided Baltimore Ravens win in which they ran all over the Buffalo Bills' defense.
This time around, I believe Josh Allen exacts some revenge, and the Bills defense limits Derrick Henry and Jackson to a production level they can overcome.
Covers NFL betting tools
- NFL odds
- NFL picks
- NFL player props
- Super Bowl 59 odds
- Best NFL betting sites
- This week’s NFL matchups
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
