Ravens vs Bills Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for Divisional Round Weekend

The Divisional Round finishes up with what many are touting as the Game of the Year, with the Baltimore Ravens taking on the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium.

With Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen topping the MVP odds board all season long, all eyes will be on the superstar quarterbacks with a trip to Arrowhead on the line. 

Check out their complete Ravens vs. Bills predictions and NFL picks below as you finalize your betting slip for tonight's clash under the brightest of lights.

Ravens vs Bills picks

• Andrews Over Over 39.5 receiving yards
• Henry Over 19.5 rushing attempts
• Allen Over 8.5 rushing attempts
• Same-Game Parlay

Ravens vs Bills expert picks & predictions

Pick: Mark Andrews Over 39.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM)

Jason Logan is targeting the veteran tight end who started the season slowly, losing reps and receptions to fellow TE Isaiah Likely. Andrews drew just one target and was without a catch in the Ravens’ 35-10 win at home in Week 4.

Ever since that late-September goose egg, however, Andrews has been the true TE1 for Baltimore. From Week 5 onward, Andrews has averaged 4.6 targets and 3.8 receptions per game, putting up almost 47 yards an outing in the final 13 games of the regular season. 

He finished with just two catches on three targets for 27 yards in the win over Pittsburgh in the Wild Card Round — a result that had more to do with Baltimore relentlessly running the ball (only passed 21 times) than Andrews’ effort.

While the rushing attack will always be the anchor of the Baltimore offense, the Bills are a much more capable offense than the Steelers and will punch back, not allowing the Ravens to just run out the clock with a big lead. And given this tall total and tight spread, Jackson is going to have to make plays with the pass.

Ravens vs Bills prop pick

Pick: Derrick Henry Over 19.5 rushing attempts (-115 at BetMGM)

Rohit Ponnaiya is eyeing Derrick Henry and this Baltimore Ravens run game. 

It's expected to be a frigid 15 degrees at Orchard Park on Sunday night. That's exactly the kind of cold-weather playoff game where you want to feed the ball to your power running back and wear down the defense.

Derrick Henry went off in his first year with the Ravens, with the five-time Pro Bowler rushing for 1,921 yards on a league-high 325 carries. Henry rumbled for 199 yards on 24 carries against the Buffalo Bills when these teams clashed in Week 4. 

With Buffalo likely stacking the box to contain Baltimore's ground game this time around, I'm not sure if Henry will run with the same efficiency, but he'll still get plenty of work. The 247-pound sledgehammer has logged at least 20 rush attempts in four straight games, averaging 24.3 carries per game over that span.

Josh Allen prop pick

Pick: Josh Allen Over 8.5 rushing attempts (-128 at BetMGM)

Meanwhile, Sam Farley is looking at Buffalo Bills signal-caller Josh Allen.

While the passing angle is always an interesting one, it’s Allen’s ability with his legs that leaps out here.

However, with the Ravens allowing the fewest rushing yards in the regular season, an average of 80.1, and all but stopping the Steelers on the ground last week, we’re going to look at rushing attempts for Allen instead of yards. The line for rushing attempts stands at 8.5 for this game, which immediately feels high given that it’s a number that he’s covered just four times all season.

However, when you really look into past performances, as well as potential game scripts, it makes more sense. A look back at last season shows he covered in five times, with the first of those being Week Nine, a narrow defeat to the Eagles, then a narrow win over the Chiefs, then covering it a further two times before 12 carries against the Chiefs in their AFC Conference Championship game defeat.

Again, a pattern emerges of Allen trusting his ability to move the chains with his legs when in big games. Last week, Allen fell just short with eight carries against the Broncos, but the chances increase further with Sunday’s matchup looking like a very close game.

Ravens vs Bills same-game parlay

Mark Andrews Over 39.5 receiving yards

Josh Allen anytime touchdown

Over 51.5

+350 at BetMGM

Lastly, we have Jason's same-game parlay. Andrews can find space in the Bills schemes and is projected for as many as 45 receiving yards.

The Bills’ red-zone offense stalled against Denver, and I see Josh Allen running it in himself in those important spots.

With the Top-2 offenses in EPA per play and two QBs that can make magic happen, I believe we get plenty of points Sunday night.

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Ravens vs Bills odds

Ravens vs Bills live odds

Ravens vs Bills opening odds

• Spread: Baltimore +1 | Buffalo -1
• Moneyline: Baltimore +100 | Buffalo -120
• Over/Under: Over 51.5 | Under 51.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

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