Chiefs vs Eagles Props & Best Bets for Super Bowl 59

There are few weaknesses in Kansas City's defense, but the Chiefs have shown a tendency to give up favorable coverage against opposing tight ends this season. Enter Dallas Goedert.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 5, 2025 • 13:42 ET • 4 min read
Dallas Goedert Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert runs after the catch.

The Kansas City Chiefs face off against the Philadelphia Eagles at Super Bowl 59 on Sunday.

There are plenty of Super Bowl player props available for the Big Game, and my NFL picks are backing Dallas Goedert, Jalen Hurts, and Xavier Worthy.

Here are my best free Chiefs vs. Eagles predictions for the Super Bowl on February 9.

Chiefs vs Eagles props

Read full analysis of each pick.

Chiefs vs Eagles prop picks for Super Bowl 59

Dallas Goedert Over 51.5 receiving yards  -120 at Caesars

The O/U for Dallas Goedert's receiving yards total opened at 48.5 and has been bet up to 51.5, but I'd play this all the way up to 53.5.

Goedert had an injury-plagued regular season but the veteran is an important cog in the Philadelphia Eagles aerial attack when healthy. The sure-handed tight end has been reliable in the clutch and boasts the highest target share on third down.

The NFC Championship saw Goedert haul in seven catches for 85 yards despite playing through an ankle injury. He has now logged 55+ receiving yards in three of his last four starts, and the extra time off before the Super Bowl will help Goedert get closer to full strength.

Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs' defense has been vulnerable against tight ends, surrendering a league-high 70.1 receiving yards per game to the position during the regular season. Steve Spagnuolo's defense also blitzes at the fourth-highest rate in the league, which will result in Jalen Hurts checking it down more often to his safety blanket.

Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown -115 at Caesars

Since becoming Philadelphia's full-time starter in 2021, Jalen Hurts has racked up an incredible 60 touchdowns across 70 regular season and playoff games.

Hurts has been impossible to stop on the goal line thanks to the Eagles patented "Tush Push". He also has the speed to break off a big run like he did in the Divisional Round, scampering 44 yards for a score against the Rams. 

Despite being hindered by a sprained knee, the Eagles quarterback racked up three TDs in the NFC Championship. Hurts also punched the ball into the end zone three times against the Chiefs when these teams last tangled in the Super Bowl.

Xavier Worthy Over 6.5 rushing yards -105 at Caesars

Xavier Worthy set the 40-yard dash record at the 2024 NFL combine by running it in a blazing 4.21 seconds. The Chiefs have a history of using their receivers in the run game, and they'll do their best to get the ball into the hands of their fastest player. 

The rookie wideout turned into Kansas City's best receiver down the stretch. He reeled in six catches for 85 yards in the AFC Championship and also had a pair of carries, picking up eight yards on each of them.

If you ignore KC's meaningless Week 18 game when the speedy rookie played just a single snap, Worthy has gotten at least two rush attempts and 10+ rushing yards in four of his last five games. 

Matt Nagy and Andy Reid will need to empty out the playbook to find cracks in this elite Eagles stop unit. Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt haven't been consistent on the ground, so using Worthy on end-arounds might be the best way to attack the edges of Philly's run defense.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

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