2024 Super Bowl Predictions and Picks

Super Bowl Sunday is fast approaching. Get expert picks and predictions for Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2024 • 16:28 ET • 5 min read

Super Bowl Sunday is finally here and sportsbooks have responded by offering hundreds of enticing new markets for the Sin City clash between the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Super Bowl odds available are an essential piece of information that can help bettors make Super Bowl predictions on a variety of different outcomes ahead of the big game.

Be sure to bookmark this page and visit it regularly to see the latest Super Bowl props, Super Bowl player props, derivative lines, novelty props, and NFL odds as the world gets ready to beat a path to Las Vegas for the biggest spectacle in all of sports.

Super Bowl 58 predictions

Covers' roster of Super Bowl betting experts are delivering a full platter of football picks from the moneyline to player props.

Writer Pick Full analysis
Jason Logan Jason Logan Chiefs moneyline
(+110)FanDuel
Chiefs vs.49ers predictions
Jason Logan Jason Logan Mahomes u262.5 pass yards
(-110)FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes odds and props spotlight
Jason Logan Jason Logan Aiyuk o63.5 receiving yards
(-110)FanDuel
Brandon Aiyuk odds and props spotlight
Jason Logan Jason Logan Rice anytime touchdown
(+140)FanDuel
Rashee Rice odds and props spotlight
Jason Logan Jason Logan 49ers to score on opening drive
(+125)bet365
Super Bowl quick-hitter props
Jason Logan Jason Logan Rashee Rice first Chiefs TD
(+450)bet365
Super Bowl quick-hitter props
Jason Logan Jason Logan Both teams complete first pass
(+100) DraftKings
Super Bowl quick-hitter props
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis McCaffrey o18.5 rush attempts
(-122)FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey odds and props spotlight
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Pacheco longest rush o15.5 yards
(-122)FanDuel
Isiah Pacheco odds and props spotlight
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Kelce u6.5 receptions
(+118)FanDuel
Travis Kelce odds and props spotlight
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Kittle longest receptions o20.5 yards
(-112)FanDuel
George Kittle odds and props spotlight
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Both teams to score TD on opening drive
(+1500)FanDuel
Best Super Bowl long-shot bet
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Butker longest field goal vs. Moody
(-115)bet365
Super Bowl head-to-head prop picks
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Mahomes/Purdy o502.5 pass yards
(-110)FanDuel
Super Bowl head-to-head prop picks
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis McCaffrey -1.5 receptions vs. Pacheco
(-120)FanDuel
Super Bowl head-to-head prop picks
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Mitchell 5+ rushing attempts
(+1000)Caesars
Super Bowl milestone bets
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Samuel 6+ receptions
(+150)bet365
Super Bowl milestone bets
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Kittle longest reception ladder
o30.5 yards - (+235)bet365
o40.5 yards - (+650)bet365
o50.5 yards - (+1500)bet365
Super Bowl milestone bets
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya Purdy u245.5 pass yards
(-122)FanDuel
Brock Purdy odds and props spotlight
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya Samuel o15.5 rush yards
(-110)FanDuel
Deebo Samuel odds and props spotlight
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya Bosa to record a sack
(-104)FanDuel
Nick Bosa odds and props spotlight
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya Purdy u0.5 interceptions
(+100) DraftKings
Super Bowl interception prop picks
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya Mahomes o0.5 interceptions
(-115) DraftKings
Super Bowl interception prop picks
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya Edwards o0.5 interceptions
(+900)bet365
Super Bowl interception prop picks
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya Warner o0.5 interceptions
(+1300)FanDuel
Super Bowl interception prop picks
Jeremy Jones Jeremy Jones Gray + Jennings u3.5 receptions
(-140)FanDuel
Noah Gray odds and props spotlight
Tom Oldfield Tom Oldfield Karlaftis o3.5 tackles + assists
(+138)FanDuel
George Karlafits odds and props spotlight

Kansas City is an underdog in name only. I'm a big believer in head coach Andy Reid, who is 31-7 straight-up off a bye, and the Chiefs' dangerous defense, which ranks Top 10 in DVOA and EPA allowed per play and appears to be peaking at precisely the right time. KC was also a 2-point underdog in Super Bowl LVII and we all know how that went down.

Super Bowl 58 TD predictions

In addition to game and player props, we have an assortment of Super Bowl touchdown predictions, including anytime TD bets and first TD scorer picks.

Writer Pick Full analysis
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis McCaffrey first-half TD
(+140) DraftKings
Super Bowl touchdown prop picks
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Rice anytime TD
(+140)bet365
Super Bowl touchdown prop picks
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Gray anytime TD (0.25 u)
(+900)FanDuel
Super Bowl touchdown prop picks
Sam Farley Sam Farley Mahomes first TD
(+2200)888 Sport
Super Bowl first touchdown scorer picks
Sam Farley Sam Farley McCaffrey first TD
(+400)888 Sport
Super Bowl first touchdown scorer picks

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Super Bowl 58 MVP predictions

Covers' roster of Super Bowl betting experts all weighed in on who they think will claim MVP honors.

Writer Super Bowl MVP
Jason Logan Jason Logan Chiefs Patrick Mahomes (+140)FanDuel
Jared Hochman Jared Hochman 49ers Brock Purdy (+225) DraftKings
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne Chiefs Patrick Mahomes (+140)FanDuel
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis 49ers Deebo Samuel (+3500)BetMGM
Rohit Ponnaiya Rohit Ponnaiya 49ers Christian McCaffrey (+475) DraftKings
Robert Criscola Robert Criscola 49ers Brandon Aiyuk (+6000) DraftKings

Patrick Mahomes opened with the shortest odds to win Super Bowl MVP honors despite the fact the 49ers are favored to win the game. A player on the losing team has won the award just once, way back in Super Bowl V, when Dallas Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley was singled out after picking off two passes and forcing a fumble.

Super Bowl 58 pre-game predictions

The beauty of Super Bowl betting is that the action starts early. Here are my picks for the length of the "Star-Spangled Banner" and the coin toss result!

Writer Pick Full analysis
Jason Logan Jason Logan National anthem o90.5 seconds
(-112)FanDuel
National anthem odds and props
Jason Logan Jason Logan Coin toss result - Heads
(+100) DraftKings
Coin toss odds and props

This projected National Anthem total of 90.5 seconds is surprisingly swift compared to other country music artists who have performed at the Super Bowl in recent years. Going back to 1991, country singers produced an average anthem length of 112.5 seconds. Bettors should also consider Reba's advanced age as her vocal pacing simply ain't what it used to be.

Super Bowl 58 halftime predictions

The betting doesn't stop just because the players take a break at halftime. Make sure to pore over our predictions and odds for the Super Bowl halftime show!

Writer Pick Full analysis
Jason Logan Jason Logan "You Make Me Wanna..." to be performed
(+115) Betano
Super Bowl halftime show props

My eyes immediately go to the +115 price on "You Make Me Wanna," one of Usher's most recognizable songs and an absolute gift to be included in the Super Bowl setlist. It’s also a spicy option to be his first song performed at +1,100.

Super Bowl 58 exact score and post-game predictions

Even after the game ends, there's still plenty of action. Check out our picks for the exact final score of the game, the Super Bowl MVP, and the color of the Gatorade bath for the winning coach!

Writer Pick Full analysis
Jason Logan Jason Logan Gatorade Bath Color: Orange
(+500)  BetMGM
Super Bowl Gatorade color pick
Jason Logan Jason Logan Final Score: KC 24-SF 21
(+6500) DraftKings
Super Bowl exact score picks
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis Final Score: SF 24-KC 23
(+7000) DraftKings
Super Bowl exact score picks
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne Final Score: KC 27-SF 20
(+6000) DraftKings
Super Bowl exact score picks
Robert Criscola Robert Criscola Super Bowl MVP: Isiah Pacheco
(+4000)FanDuel
Super Bowl MVP odds

Orange has been the most popular color for post-game Gatorade showers since 2001 and was last seen in 2020 when the Chiefs beat none other than the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV.

Super Bowl 2024 odds

Current odds

  • Spread: San Francisco -1.5 (-115) | Kansas City +1.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: San Francisco (-132) | Kansas City (+112)
  • Total: Over 46.5 (-115) | Under 46.5 (-105)

Opening odds

  • Spread: San Francisco -2.5 (-105) | Kansas City +2.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: San Francisco (-126) | Kansas City (+108)
  • Total: Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

The Kansas City Chiefs began the season with the shortest Super Bowl odds, but it was far from a smooth ride for the defending champs early on. Patrick Mahomes & Co. had their struggles during the regular season, and after squeaking past the Bills in the Divisional Round, took care of business against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to reach their fourth Super Bowl in the past five seasons.

They'll now face the star-studded San Francisco 49ers, who cruised to a 12-5 record in the regular season before barely outlasting the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions in the playoffs, winning each game by just three points. Will the Niners gain a little more separation in the Super Bowl, or will Mahomes magic continue for one more game?

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Super Bowl 58 FAQs

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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