Super Bowl Sunday has finally arrived! The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs are mere hours away from meeting for the second time in three years in the Big Game.
With kickoff almost here, NOW is the perfect time to dive into Super Bowl predictions! Look at the latest picks and best bets from our Covers experts below and see where we’re putting our money as the most thrilling showdown in sports inches closer.
Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl predictions
- Super Bowl winner predictions
- Super Bowl score predictions
- Super Bowl spread predictions
- Super Bowl Over/Under predictions
- Super Bowl same game parlay
- Super Bowl MVP predictions
- Super Bowl player prop predictions
- Super Bowl TD predictions
- Super Bowl projections
Who will win Super Bowl 59? Our experts weigh in
Below is a look at current Super Bowl picks from the betting experts at Covers.
| Writer | Super Bowl winner |
|---|---|
 Jared Hochman |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
 JoshInglis |
 Philadelphia Eagles |
 JasonLogan |
Kansas City Chiefs |
 Joe Osborne |
Kansas City Chiefs |
 Neil Parker |
Kansas City Chiefs |
 RohitPonnaiya |
Philadelphia Eagles |
Jared Hochman, Content Manager: The Eagles might have more talent top-to-bottom on the roster, but the Chiefs have the advantage in two key areas: Coaching and quarterback play. Head Coach Andy Reid and DC Steve Spagnuolo should easily out-scheme Nick Sirianni and Kellen Moore, while the gap between Patrick Mahomes and a banged-up Jalen Hurts only further emphasizes the coaching disparity. The defenses are roughly equal, and while Saquon is a bigger weapon that what KC is offering, I'll take Reid and No. 15 over anyone in a single-game situation.
My score prediction: Chiefs 30, Eagles 28
Josh Inglis, Betting Analyst: I had the Eagles going the distance at the beginning of the year and I'll stick to my guns despite many not wanting to back the Birds in New Orleans. This is an offense that will have extra time to rest and get Jalen Hurts and that center position back to full health. The Chiefs have not seen a team as talented up and down the roster as the Eagles so far in the playoffs as both the Texans and Bills had major flaws. I wouldn't buy the Eagles on the moneyline yet as that spread is still moving, but if you want to hate-bet against Mahomes and back the Birds, I'd suggest waiting until the spread hits 2. It might even hit 2.5 in some spots.
My score prediction: Eagles 33, Chiefs 27
Jason Logan, Senior Betting Analyst: To be the man, you’ve got to beat the man. Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid, and the Chiefs could be on cruise control in the regular season, but they’re too talented — and too well coached — for the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX. My first bet was taking Kansas City -120 to win outright on the moneyline (now -130), rather than laying the short points. This spread is on the other side of a one-point margin. That’s the seventh-most frequent finish in NFL games and I’d much rather avoid any hooks and just bet KC outright.
My score prediction: Chiefs 27, Eagles 21
Neil Parker, Betting Analyst: Expect plenty of focus on the Chiefs' edges in postseason experience, coaching, and quarterback play over the Eagles ahead of Super Bowl LIX. I also value Kansas City playing a more difficult schedule dating back to the regular season. Philly faced the third-easiest strength of schedule per PFF, and the Eagles didn’t meet a team as complete as the Buffalo Bills during their run through the NFC.
My score prediction: Chiefs 26, Eagles 23
Joe Osborne, Senior Betting Analyst: Never mind your fancy analytics and what things might say on paper, the best strategy is simply to bet on Mahomes. He's now 17-3 in the playoffs and this team around him is peaking at the right time, per usual. I also give KC a big coaching advantage as Andy Reid is a master of finding a defense's weakness, while Steve Spagnuolo always seems to come up with the right play call in the game's biggest moments.
My score prediction: Chiefs 27, Eagles 23
Rohit Ponnaiya, Betting Analyst: The Chiefs' advantages in coaching, experience, and quarterback play aren't enough to offset the fact that the Eagles are better everywhere else. Philly has the best defense and rushing attack in the NFL and that's been a recipe for Super Bowl success in the past. When you also consider that the extra week off before the Super Bowl should help banged-up players like Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, Dallas Goedert, and Cam Jurgens get closer to full strength, Philly is the side.
My score prediction: Eagles 24, Chiefs 22
The best new-user offers for the Big Game
BetMGM - $1,500 first-bet offer
Use promo code CVRBONUS1500 and if you lose your first wager, BetMGM will return your stake in bonus bets - up to $1,500.
ProphetX - Get 300 in Prophet Cash
Available in 40+ states — including California, Texas, and Florida — and featuring over 500 Big Game props! Use promo code COVERS and get up to 300 in Prophet Cash.
Eligible U.S. locations only.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl score predictions
| Writer | Score |
|---|---|
| Jared Hochman |
Chiefs 30, Eagles 28 |
| Josh Inglis |
Eagles 33, Chiefs 27 |
| Jason Logan |
Chiefs 27, Eagles 21 |
| Joe Osborne |
Chiefs 27, Eagles 23 |
| Neil Parker |
Chiefs 26, Eagles 23 |
| Rohit Ponnaiya |
Eagles 24, Chiefs 22 |
Super Bowl spread predictions
Neil Parker: Chiefs -2 (-110 at Caesars)
It’s easy to overlook the Kansas City offense's expansion with its full complement of skill-position talents. The Chiefs are healthier right now than they’ve been at any point during the season, and I expect to see a more dynamic offense under the brightest lights on February 9.
Read Neil's early Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction for more analysis.
Robert Criscola: Eagles +2 (-110 at Caesars)
Though the Chiefs have the defense to go toe-to-toe with that of the Eagles, I think Philly's far more dynamic offense will prove to be a difference-maker. Hurts answered the critics in the Conference Championship by throwing for 246 yards and rushing for another 16 with four total touchdowns. Barkley has been practically unstoppable this year, setting up the Hurts pass attack. I believe the Eagles will win outright, so grabbing points is only too logical.
Rohit Ponnayia: Eagles +1.5 (-110 at Caesars)
The Chiefs have won plenty of razor-close games where the bounces and calls have gone their way, but that luck will eventually dry up. Now, they face an Eagles side that can control the clock with Saquon Barkley and keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. The Eagles have been dominant since the start of October, going 15-1 SU and 11-5 ATS with their only defeat coming on a last-minute TD in a game where Hurts was sidelined with a concussion.
Read Rohit's early Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction for more in-depth analysis.
Super Bowl Over/Under predictions
Jason Logan: Under 49.5 (-110 at Caesars)
You have two very good defenses showing up in the Big Easy, with Fangio’s tricky schemes and Spags’ blitz-heavy attack ranking among the better stop units in the second half of the schedule. On top of that, both the Eagles and Chiefs can play a methodical offensive tempo and control possession. I’m leaning Under at 49.5 but hoping this total will tick up, with that public push on the Over. Once I see it hit the key number of 50, I'll be much more convinced to bet the Under.
Robert Criscola: Under 49.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce steal the headlines, but defense has been the Chiefs' calling card this season. This unit ranked T-9 in the regular season in yards allowed per play and fourth in points allowed per game. Not to be outdone, the Eagles ranked first in yards allowed per play and second in points allowed per game, and they've been just as stingy in the postseason. This total is far too tall, so I'll gladly take the Under.
Rohit Ponnayia: Under 49.5 (-110 at Caesars)
The Eagles have the top-rated defense in the NFL in terms of points per game allowed (17.9), yards per play (4.8), and success rate. If you omit the Chiefs' regular-season finale when they rested most starters, they've allowed just 18.4 PPG in the regular season and playoffs. Both offenses are methodical and prefer to chew up the clock with the Chiefs relying on shorter passes and Philly running the ball at the league's highest rate.
Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl same game parlay (SGP)
Kansas City Chiefs moneyline
Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown
Xavier Worthy 50+ receiving yards
Jalen Hurts 40+ rushing yards
The Chiefs check a lot of the surface-level boxes in this matchup. Mahomes is the best quarterback on the field. Andy Reid and Steve Spagnuolo win the coaching battle. And Kansas City has the experience and mental edge over the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX.
Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts will have two weeks to heal up before SBLIX. Hurts has gone for 40 or more rushing yards in 10 of his last 12 games and the Chiefs’ blitz-heavy schemes will force him to tuck and run away from pressure. He rumbled for 70 rushing yards against this defense in Super Bowl LVII.
Read Jason Logan's full Chiefs vs. Eagles same game parlay ahead of kickoff.
Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl MVP predictions
| Writer | Super Bowl MVP |
|---|---|
| Jared Hochman |
Travis Kelce |
| Josh Inglis |
Jalen Hurts |
| Jason Logan |
Patrick Mahomes |
| Joe Osborne |
Patrick Mahomes |
| Neil Parker |
Patrick Mahomes |
| Rohit Ponnaiya |
Saquon Barkley |
Super Bowl player prop predictions
Robert Criscola: Saquon Barkley longest reception Under 9.5 yards (-125 at Caesars)
Barkley's video game-like rushing numbers have come at a cost, as he's hardly been used in the passing game as of late. He's been targeted more than two times just twice over his last eight games, and only once did he record a 10+ yard reception in that span. The Chiefs have been as good as anyone at bottling up running backs as pass-catchers, allowing the fourth-fewest receiving yards to the position.
Robert Criscola: Hollywood Brown Under 40.5 receiving yards (-110 at Caesars)
Hollywood Brown has made his name in the NFL by breaking off big plays. Unfortunately for him, the Eagles have allowed the fewest 20+ yard pass plays in football this year (35). He's played four games this season, playoffs included, and has yet to break off a 20+ yard grab. In fact, he's tallied only three receptions on seven targets through two postseason contests with a mere 35 yards to his credit.
Robert Criscola: Travis Kelce Under 61.5 receiving yards (-115 at Caesars)
Travis Kelce has been feast-or-famine for most of this season, putting together three pairs of games with 70+ yards receiving while largely being silenced in the others. Even in the postseason, Kelce went for a season-best 117 yards vs. Houston before being held to just 19 yards by Buffalo. Kelce has has 62 or fewer receiving yards in 10 of 18 games and takes on an Eagles stop unit that was tops in the NFL in ypg allowed to tight ends (34.8) in the regular season.
Robert Criscola: Xavier Worthy Under 55.5 receiving yards (-115 at Caesars)
It's easy to look at Xavier Worthy's last few starts and think his Over receiving yards is a great bet, but I believe the Eagles' pass stoppers will knock him back down to Earth. Philadelphia's pass defense was by far the stingiest in football this year by yards per attempt (6.0). Jayden Daniels (5.3 ypa), Jordan Love (6.4), and Matt Stafford (7.3) all struggled to solve this unit in the playoffs and Patrick Mahomes will be no exception as his stats are largely down across the board this year.
Sam Farley: Dallas Goedert Over 51.5 receiving yards (-105 at Caesars)
Throughout a season riddled with injuries, we’ve seen Goedert average 52.6 receiving yards per game, marginally above his line for Sunday, and he’s surpassed 51.5 on six occasions this season. Most importantly those have come in recent weeks. In the four games since he returned from injury in Week 18, he’s covered that line on three occasions. He narrowly missed out by five yards in the Wild Card Round against the Packers but got back on track following that, and had a monster performance in the Conference Championship win over the Commanders, catching seven of eight attempts for 85 yards.
Josh Inglis: Jalen Hurts Over 37.5 rushing yards (-111 at Caesars)
The injury discount from last week is still lingering in this number which I'd expect to close on the other side of 40. Possibly more designed runs after concerns about his health in the winter months are a path, too. Gainwell's concussion could also pave the way for an extra carry or two for the QB who finished the year fourth in designed-run yards and sixth in scramble yards while missing some time with a concussion.
Trevor Knapp: Dallas Goedert 100+ receiving yards (+500 at Caesars)
Dallas Goedert caught six of seven targets in the first Super Bowl matchup between these two teams, and the Eagles tight end starred in last week's NFC Championship, notching 85 receiving yards in an absolute route of the Commanders. Facing a Chiefs defense that ranks dead-last in yards per route allowed to the position, Goedert should continue to thrive inside the fast track of the Caesars Superdome. The last time the tight end took the field in NOLA, he broke free for 10 catches and 170 yards. Boasting the fifth-best mark in yards after catch per reception at PFF, Goedert is a threat to go off on any given day, and the Super Bowl is no different.
Jason Logan: Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 interceptions (+128 at Caesars)
Hurts' passing prowess take a nosedive when under duress and KC’s blitz-happy schemes drum up the fifth highest pressure rate per dropback. Hurts goes from the 10th best QB rating at PFF when kept clean to 58th under pressure. His completion rate sinks to 44.4% in those pressure situations and he’s thrown the 12th most “danger plays” (a risky pass that could have resulted in a turnover), according to PlayerProfiler.
Jason Logan: Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-115 at Caesars)
Hurts has rumbled for 64 rushing touchdowns in his career, with several of those scores powered by the vaunted “Tush Push”. Very few defenses have been able to stop it, especially when the Philadelphia Eagles are just outside of the end zone. Should Philadelphia find its way into those spots in Super Bowl LIX, you can be sure Hurts is getting his number called.
Jason Logan: Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (+120 at Caesars)
Travis Kelce has racked up 7+ catches in eight of his last 15 contests. That includes the Divisional Round of the playoffs when he reeled in seven catches for 117 yards and a score against Houston. Beyond the analytics, Kelce is simply "that guy" for a Chiefs offense that doesn't have a true No. 1 wide receiver. When the chips are down and they need a big catch, I do not doubt that Patrick Mahomes will be looking to his veteran tight end. After all, in his previous four Super Bowls, Kelce has racked up 31 receptions for 350 yards.
Jason Logan: Saquon Barkley Under 27.5 first-quarter rushing yards (-115 at Caesars)
The Chiefs’ run defense is nothing to write home about, especially after allowing bigger gains on the ground in the two playoff games. However, while KC ranks middle of the road for overall EPA allowed per handoff and opponent success rate per run, it sits No. 7 and No. 4 in those advanced metrics in the first quarter. Kansas City’s offense will also temper Barkley’s early output. Patrick Mahomes & Co. run a very plodding pace and can chew up the first-quarter clock.
Jason Logan: Xavier Worthy Over 6.5 rushing yards (-105 at Caesars)
Chiefs head coach Any Reid and offensive coordinator Matt Nagy love to keep opponents on their toes. They’re not shy about handing the ball off to a wide receiver, having done so with the likes of Skyy Moore (one run for four yards) and Rashee Rice (two runs for five yards) in their last two Super Bowl appearances. However, neither of those receivers-turned-runners has Worthy's breakneck speed.
Neil Parker: A.J. Brown Over 68.5 receiving yards (-110 at Caesars)
I don’t envision the Eagles offense being able to take its foot off the pedal against Kansas City, and Brown should have opportunities to pad his stat line with the Chiefs keyed on Philly running back Saquon Barkley. Of course, Brown also paced all pass-catchers in ESPN's receiver scores while ranking third in PFF receiving grade among wideouts.
Neil Parker: Isiah Pacheco Under 27.5 rush + receiving yards (+115 at Caesars)
With Kareem Hunt likely taking the lead role again Sunday, and KC running back Samaje Perine also mixing in as a pass-protection and pass-catching option, I don’t see enough touches and targets for Isiah Pachecho to top his rush + receiving yards total of 27.5. Pachecho has fallen short of that number in each of his past four games, and he’s also seen his underlying numbers take a huge hit this season.
Neil Parker: Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 pass completions (+100 at Caesars)
Mahomes will need to attack with short and intermediate passes early and often to move the K.C. offense against the Eagles. Philly finished the regular season ranked second in PFF run defense while allowing the second-lowest EPA per rush. The three-time Super Bowl MVP has his full complement of weapons with Marquise Brown and Isiah Pacheco, and the two-week pause will provide K.C. head coach Andy Reid oodles of time to ensure Mahomes is positioned for success.
Rohit Ponnaiya: Dallas Goedert Over 52.5 receiving yards (-120 at Caesars)
Goedert had seven catches against the Commanders in the NFC Championship game despite playing through an ankle injury. He has now logged 55+ receiving yards in three of his last four games and the extra time off before the Super Bowl will help him get closer to 100%.
Rohit Ponnaiya: Patrick Mahomes Under 35.5 yards longest completion (-115 at Caesars)
Most of Mahomes' pass attempts this year have come underneath with the superstar QB ranking 41st out 43 qualifying passers in average intended air yards (6.3). Mahomes has gone below this number in 10 of last 13 games and the Eagles have allowed the fewest explosive pass plays in the NFL.
Rohit Ponnaiya: Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 interceptions (+120 at Caesars)
Patrick Mahomes doesn't look his best against defenses that can generate pressure without blitzing while dropping multiple defenders into coverage. That describes this Vic Fangio defense to a T. The Eagles were fourth in the league in passes defended (90) during the regular season and have picked off nine passes over their last six games.
Rohit Ponnaiya: Nolan Smith 1+ sacks (+106 at Caesars)
Smith has picked up a sack in each of Philadelphia's three postseason games and has logged 1+ sacks in seven of his last 10 contests overall. The Chiefs are a middle-of-the-pack team when it comes to sacks allowed per game (2.4), and Smith will have a matchup advantage against right tackle Jawaan Taylor. Taylor is a 330-pound monster, but he doesn't have the agility or foot speed to handle Smith, who runs a 4.39 40-yard dash.
Super Bowl TD predictions
Jason Logan: Kareem Hunt anytime TD (+120 at Caesars)
Hunt has scored a touchdown in each postseason win, which gives him one TD in each of his last four starts going back to Week 16. He received three red-zone carries in the AFC Championship Game and should the Chiefs get within 10 yards of the goal line against Philadelphia on Sunday, you can be sure Hunt will get a crack at crossing the plane.
Jason Logan: DeVonta Smith anytime touchdown (+235 at Caesars)
DeVonta Smith had a monster day against this Chiefs defense in Super Bowl LVII, catching seven of nine passes for 100 yards, including a 45-yard strike. He’s a big-play threat against a defense that primarily plays man-to-man and allowed the ninth-most passing plays of 20+ yards as well as the fifth-most passes of 40+ yards.
Read Jason's Chiefs vs. Eagles anytime touchdown predictions for more picks and analysis.
Robert Criscola: Jalen Hurts first TD (+650 at Caesars)
Jalen Hurts' knee looked just fine as he accounted for three rushing touchdowns in the NFC Championship Game. Saquon Barkley (+425) will get plenty of touches in the Big Game, but Hurts' first TD price is much more appealing.
Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl projections
| Player | Prop | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts |
38.5 rushing yards | 51.1 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
31.5 rushing yards | 22.2 |
| A.J. Brown |
68.5 receiving yards | 85.2 |
| Xavier Worthy |
52.5 receiving yards | 62 |
| Saquon Barkley |
113.5 rushing yards | 93.6 |
| Kareem Hunt |
44.5 rushing yards | 49.2 |
Visit our NFL projections page to see a full selection of player prop projections and analysis for Super Bowl LIX.
Covers Super Bowl betting tools
How to watch Super Bowl 59
| Location: | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
| Date: | Sunday, 2-9-2025 |
| Kickoff: | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
| Halftime performer: | Kendrick Lamar |
Super Bowl 59 Predictions FAQs
The Kansas City Chiefs are favored to beat the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 59.
The Kansas City Chiefs are predicted to win the Super Bowl.
Betting odds reflect the likelihood of a particular outcome, based on expert assessments and public betting patterns. By understanding odds (such as point spreads, moneyline, and Over/Under), you can gain insights into which team is favored and how close the game may be.
The Chiefs are currently -120 favorites to win, giving them an implied probability of 54.55%
