Super Bowl Predictions: 3 Reasons the Kansas City Chiefs Will Win Super Bowl LVIII

The Super Bowl was always like Christmas for those in the sports gambling space, with the Big Game bringing out the best in betting.

Nowadays, in this new gambling-friendly climate, the Super Bowl is like Christmas, the Fourth of July, Cinco De Mayo, and St. Patrick’s Day all rolled into one.

Sportsbooks are pulling out all the stops when it comes to NFL odds offerings and Super Bowl predictions are more prevalent than ever before. 

But what if you don’t care about the point spread, player props, or how long Reba will take to sing “The Star-Spangled Banner”? 

What if you couldn’t tell a moneyline from a clothesline, and “juice” is just a really cool Tupac movie from the 90s?

Yes, sports betting is bigger than ever but there’s still a huge segment of football fans that couldn’t give two shits about the Super Bowl odds. They just want to know who will win the game: Kansas City or San Francisco.

Let’s figure that out. Here are three reasons why the Kansas City Chiefs will win Super Bowl LVIII.

Three reasons why Chiefs will win Super Bowl LVIII

Coaching

Andy Reid is regarded as one of the best head coaches in recent NFL history, and should he lead the Kansas City Chiefs to a third Super Bowl title in five years, Reid will go down as an all-time great alongside names like Lombardi, Belichick, and Walsh.

Sunday’s game will be Reid’s fifth Super Bowl as a head coach and he remains one of the best and innovative offensive minds in the league. His offenses are adaptable and efficient, but also unpredictable. Reid will throw a curveball at rival defenses and catch them with their pants down.

Complementing Reid’s offensive playbook is veteran defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. All you need to know about Spags is that he was the architect of the New York Giants defense that stunned Tom Brady and the “perfect” 18-0 New England Patriots in Super Bowl XLII.

Much like Reid, he has Big Game experience and a ton of knowledge but remains fresh and nuanced with his defensive schemes. Spagnuolo has been able to lift so-so-stop units with his playcalling in past campaigns but has perhaps his most talented group of defenders this season. It shows, with Kansas City rated among the defensive elite all year.

Running Game

When you think of the Chiefs’ offense, you think of Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce. Those guys will have their time to shine in the Super Bowl spotlight, but if Kansas City is going to beat the 49ers, it begins and ends with Isiah Pacheco.

Overall, the Kansas City ground game wasn’t anything to write home about. The Chiefs sit 12th in yards per carry (4.3) and 21st in EPA per handoff, running behind an offensive line rated 20th in run block win rate.

Yet, Pacheco has been a key cog in all three of Kansas City’s playoff wins and was the driving force behind last year’s Super Bowl victory over the Philadelphia Eagles. Pacheco rumbled for 76 yards on 15 carries and a touchdown down.

Much like Philly, San Francisco’s defense looks good on a first pass. However, there’s a glaring weakness to the run – a soft spot that was hidden for most of the year due to the 49ers flattening foes and opponents’ abandoning the ground game. 

That vulnerability has been exposed in the postseason after San Francisco allowed 318 rushing yards on 57 carries to Green Bay and Detroit – an average of 5.57 yards per attempt. The 49ers are especially weak guarding the edge against outside runs, and that’s just where KC directs most of its handoffs.

Mahomes

There’s no other quarterback I’d rather have with the game on the line than Patrick Mahomes.

He did it last year in the Super Bowl and before that, he did it in the AFC Championship versus Cincinnati. He burned the Bills in 2021 and in the Divisional Round this postseason. Oh, and he rallied KC from a 10-point fourth-quarter hole to beat the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV.

For his career, Mahomes has made magic in the fourth quarter with 18 total comebacks and 21 game-winning drives. Given that Super Bowl LVIII is expected to be decided by a field goal (if you pay attention to the spread), the stage is set for No. 15 to steal the show.

Even before crunch time rears its ugly head, Mahomes has a favorable matchup against the San Francisco defense. He’s great against any scheme but is especially strong versus zone coverage.

Niners defensive coordinator Steve Wilks has to make a tough call to break away from his standard zone coverage and run more man-to-man, in order to avoid Mahomes picking his apart his secondary.

If the Chiefs can get the run game going and have Mahomes slicing up San Fran, it will be a long night in Vegas for the 49ers. And not the good kind of “long night” in Vegas.

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