Ladies and Gentlemen, it’s teaser time!
Sadly, the teaser ship didn’t get righted last week, and my teaser record for the season now sits at an unfortunate 5-8. It’s been a tough stretch when it comes to the NFL odds, but with five weeks remaining and the potential for a teaser or two in the playoffs, there’s still time to turn this thing around.
Week 14 odds are an ugly one for the most part, highlighted by a lot of backup quarterbacks and some potentially messy weather. However, we do have some nice-looking teaser spots that can hopefully give our bankrolls a nice boost to contribute to some holiday fun!
I need some rum for my eggnog, and a teaser win in Week 14 can cover the cost of a bottle of the quality stuff. Let’s get into it with my latest NFL picks, and make sure to check out Jason Logan's NFL Week 14 predictions as well!
Week 14 NFL teaser picks
6-point teaser
- Packers (-0.5)
- Bills (+7.5)
Picks made on December 8 at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Week 14 Teaser
Packers (-6.5 to -0.5) vs Giants
What an incredible swing to the season it’s been for the Green Bay Packers. They appeared to be headed toward the top of the 2023 Draft, but now they could be en route to the playoffs if they can continue to build on their three-game winning streak, which includes high-quality victories over the Lions and Chiefs.
The Packers offense has been great during the latest three-game stretch, ranking third in yards per play. It’s funny what can happen when you give a young quarterback some time to develop, and Jordan Love & Co. should have a good opportunity to light up a New York Giants defense that ranks 29th in yards allowed per play.
Getting hot at this point of the season is nothing new for the Packers, as they have an amazing 16-0 record in December under Matt LaFleur. Their defense should be able to feast on a Giants offense averaging just 7.4 points per game and allowing the highest QB pressure rate in the NFL.
Bills (+1.5 to +7.5) vs Chiefs
The Buffalo Bills seldom experience significant margins of defeat, as each of their six losses this season has been by six points or fewer. This trend extends from the previous season, during which they did not endure a loss by more than three points, and the season before that, when losses were capped at seven points. I ultimately expect the Bills to bring their A-game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday. This is a team they have consistently challenged in recent seasons, marked by two outright victories in Kansas City and the thrilling overtime loss in the playoffs.
Buffalo’s defense is on a nice three-game stretch where they rank third in yards per play allowed. I think they’ll be able to contain a Chiefs offense that’s shown plenty of red flags lately. Aside from beating up on the Raiders, Patrick Mahomes & Co. have been held to fewer than 20 points in four of their last five games. Meanwhile, the Bills have dropped 30+ points in back-to-back games vs. solid defenses in the Jets and Eagles. Buffalo has also been great out of its bye in recent seasons, where its posted an outright record of 9-1 over the last 10 years.
Learn more about teaser betting with Covers’ teaser betting guide.
Best Week 14 teaser spots
- Packers (-6.5 to -0.5)
- Bills (+1.5 to +7.5)
- 49ers vs. Seahawks (-10.5 to -4.5)
- Broncos vs. Chargers (+2.5 to +8.5)
- Raiders vs. Vikings (+3 to +9)
When the San Francisco 49ers win, they win big, so taking them inside of five points against the Seattle Seahawks provides us with plenty of breathing room. Seven of their nine wins this season have come by at least 18 points, and they’ll have a few big advantages vs. the Seahawks, most notably on third down and in the red zone. San Francisco ranks third in both red zone and third down offense, while Seattle's defense ranks near the bottom of the league in each category.
The Denver Broncos have turned their season around, which has resulted in playing in a lot of tight games, and they’re coming out on top in most of them. They lost this past week by five against the Texans, but they were outright winners in five straight before that. I view their matchup with the Los Angeles Chargers as a true coin-flip game, especially considering the Chargers home-field advantage — or lack thereof. Any type of success for the Chargers lately has come against the worst of the worst (Patriots, Jets, and Bears), so it would be surprising if Los Angeles pulled away against the Broncos.
I’m not sure if the Minnesota Vikings should be favored by a field goal on the road vs. the Las Vegas Raiders, so I’ll happily give the Raiders a nice cushion by taking them up to +9. The Raiders have been pretty competitive since firing Josh McDaniels, winning two of their last four games. While Las Vegas got stomped by the Chiefs, the Silver and Black hung around against Miami, losing by just a touchdown. Josh Dobbs is a fun story, but he might be crashing back to earth after leading the Vikings to just 30 points (and throwing five picks) in his last two starts.
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