Eagles vs Chiefs Predictions: 3 Reasons Why Philadelphia Will Win Super Bowl 59

While there are stars lining up on both sides of the ball for both teams, A.J. Brown’s game-breaking ability has the potential to be the biggest difference maker in New Orleans.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jan 30, 2025 • 12:52 ET • 4 min read
A.J. Brown Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown reacts after a first down.

Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley is making Super Bowl MVP odds history, and if Philly wins the big game, he will have his say.

This is far from a one-dimensional team, though. In addition to Barkley and the rushing attack, star receiver A.J. Brown headlines three reasons why the Eagles will defy the Super Bowl odds and defeat the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 59.

Three reasons why the Eagles will win the national championship

Defensive momentum

There’s no need to cherry pick statistics, because any meaningful defensive metric positions the Philadelphia Eagles among the NFL elite. What impresses me is the mounting momentum and collective confidence building as the season has progressed..

Defensive coordinator Vic Fangio has led the way in this stop unit turning a 180 from the group that allowed 32 points and bowed out during Wild Card Weekend last season. Additions through free agency and the draft helped, but it's Fangio’s fingerprints that have turned this defense from a messy finger painting into a true masterpiece. 

The Eagles finished sixth in takeaways during the regular season and have added another 10 through three playoff games. This is the best defense the Kansas City Chiefs will face this season, and if the Philly defense plays to its potential on the biggest stage, the Eagles will win Super Bowl LIX under the brightest lights.

Winning at the line

If the Eagles protect quarterback Jalen Hurts and clear running lanes for Saquon Barkley while the defense creates consistent pressure on Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, Philadelphia will be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.

It could be just that simple, and the blueprint was on full display in Super Bowl LV when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers topped Kansas City 31-9.

The Eagles have the pieces to top the Chiefs in the trenches, too.

Eagles Chiefs
PFF run block grade 78.2 (4th) 72.2 (8th)
ESPN run-block win rate 72% (9th) 73% (7th)
PFF pass block grade 73.6 (6th) 69.9 (13th)
ESPN pass-block win rate 67% (6th) 67% (8th)
PFF run defense grade 76.9 (2nd) 71.5 (10th)
ESPN run-stop win rate 33% (3rd) 30% (21st)
PFF pass rush grade 89.2 (2nd) 76.7 (5th)
ESPN pass-rush win rate 43% (8th) 37% (19th)

A.J. Brown

A master at hauling in contested catches, churning out yards after the catch, and a touchdown threat whenever the ball’s in his hands or thrown his way, A.J. Brown coming down with the game-winning score or making a pivotal fourth-quarter reception shouldn’t surprise anyone.

The Chiefs are going to have to their hands full with the Philly rushing game, and it could easily be Brown who benefits from KC failing to fully account for him in the aerial attack. 

After all, Brown paced all pass-catchers in ESPN's receiver scores while ranking third in PFF receiving grade among wideouts.

Be sure to check out our Super Bowl predictions for more expert betting advice ahead of the Big Game.

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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