Calgary Flames Predictions, Odds and Betting Preview 2024-25: Calgary Will Flame Out

The Flames missed out on the postseason last season and have lost too much production to expect a better result this time around. Read more in our Calgary Flames predictions below.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Oct 7, 2024 • 13:22 ET • 4 min read
Yegor Sharangovich Calgary Flames NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The jury is still out on whether the Calgary Flames are in rebuild mode or not. Trading away multiple NHL regulars over the past calendar year suggests they are, but the front office is still talking... playoffs?

We’ve analyzed the NHL odds at BET99 to offer a number of Calgary Flames predictions and NHL picks to target for the 2024-25 season.

Calgary Flames odds and outlook for 2024-25

All odds courtesy of BET99, as of 10-7.

  • 2023-24 record: 38-39-5 (81 points)
  • Key additions: Anthony Mantha, Ryan Lomberg, Jake Bean, Tyson Barrie
  • Key subtractions: Andrew Mangiapane, A.J. Greer, Oliver Kylington, Jacob Markstrom
  • Stanley Cup odds+7,500
  • Eastern Conference odds+5,000
  • Atlantic Division odds+4,000

Calgary Flames projected lineup

Forwards

  • Yegor Sharangovich (undisclosed) - Nazem Kadri - Andrei Kuzmenko
  • Jonathan Huberdeau - Martin Pospisil - Anthony Mantha
  • Connor Zary - Mikael Backlund - Blake Coleman
  • Ryan Lomberg - Kevin Rooney - Adam Klapka
  • Matthew Coronato

Defense

  • MacKenzie Weegar - Daniil Miromanov
  • Kevin Bahl - Rasmus Andersson
  • Jake Bean - Tyson Barrie

Goalies

  • Dustin Wolf
  • Dan Vladar

Flames regular season points prediction

Over 81.5 Under 81.5
-125 +100

There’s no reason to have faith in the Calgary Flames improving on last year’s 38-39-5 record and 81 regular-season points.

The organization dealt No. 1 goalie Jacob Markstrom during the offseason and will turn the crease over to rookie Dustin Wolf and fourth-year backup Dan Vladar. 

While Wolf is an intriguing prospect and has posted high-end AHL numbers, he’s also undersized and recorded a .893 save percentage and 3.16 GAA across 17 games (15 starts) for the Flames last year. Vladar has been equally unimpressive with respective .894 and 3.05 marks across 70 games (61 starts) the past three years, too.

This team is also short on offensive talent and lacks a true No. 1 defenseman. In addition to moving on from Markstrom, the Calgary brass has also traded away Nikita Zadorov, Elias Lindholm, Chris Tanev, Noah Hanifin, and Andrew Mangiapane in the past calendar year. 

Simply put, that’s too much established NHL talent jumping the boards for other teams. The Flames have drafted and developed from within their own organization as poorly as any team in the NHL.

Flames Prediction: Under 81.5 points (+100 at BET99)

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Flames playoff prediction

Yes No
+365 -500

The Flames were 17 points behind the Golden Knights for the final playoff spot last year and has a worse on-paper lineup heading into the 2024-25 season.

And while the Flames shouldn’t land in the basement of the Pacific Division, the Sharks, Ducks and Kraken should all be better to some degree this year. In particular, look for Seattle to leapfrog Calgary in the standings.

I also don’t believe there's a commitment to winning from the front office. The noted slew of talent dealt away reinforces it, and the Flames will likely be sellers again ahead of this year’s trade deadline. 

Projected top-six wingers Andrei Kuzmenko and Anthony Mantha, along with depth defenseman Tyson Barrie are all unrestricted free agents following the season. All three could easily be flipped for future assets.

Of course, the goaltending is the biggest concern. Markstrom went 105-78-25 across four seasons with the Flames, and I view the Wolf-Vladar tandem as a huge dropoff for Calgary.

Flames Prediction: To miss the playoffs (-500 at BET99)

Yegor Sharangovich goals prediction

Over 25.5 Under 25.5
-110 -110

Flames winger Yegor Sharangovich broke out to the tune of 31 goals in his first season with the organization, and the Calgary brass forked over a healthy five-year deal worth $28.75 million as a result.

Sharangovich is set to be a staple in the top-six mix and receive power-play time again this season, but I’m expecting statistical correction to last year’s 17.3 shooting percentage.

Additionally, three separate scoring streaks propelled him to the unrepeatable tally total, with 22 of his goals coming across just 20 games in which he combined for a 42.3 shooting percentage.

Sure, goal scorers are streaky, but Sharangovich only scored nine times with a 7.1 shooting percentage across his other 62 games last season. His 7.56 shots and 15.72 attempts per 60 minutes don’t position him as a high-volume shooter, either.

Flames Prediction: Under 25.5 goals (-110 at BET99)

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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