The Montreal Canadiens will hit the ice at the Prudential Center to face the New Jersey Devils on Thursday, November 7, and both teams have been playing to the Under of late.
Our Canadiens vs. Devils predictions expect the Habs' improved team defense in front of No. 1 goalie Sam Montembeault to pave the way for another low-scoring result at the Prudential Center tonight.
With the puck scheduled to drop at 7 p.m. ET, let's dive in with our top NHL picks.
Canadiens vs Devils prediction
My Canadiens pick
Under 6.5 (-110 at BET99)
My Canadiens analysis
The Montreal Canadiens have played better team defense in their past two games with 1.76 goals and 3.0 expected goals against per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 compared to respective 4.24 and 3.79 marks across their first 11 contests.
Habs No. 1 goalie Sam Montembeault has also been solid with a .914 save percentage and 2.54 GAA while stopping 11 of 12 high-danger shots in those two games.
As a result, the Canadiens have played to the Under in consecutive clashes, and playing strong team defense in front of solid goaltending is their easiest path to being competitive.
Still, as is often the case with a conservative, low-risk style, scoring opportunities and offense are sacrificed. Montreal has been solid this season with the 13th-most xGF per 60 (2.57) at 5-on-5 and an 11th-ranked 21.7 power-play percentage, but allowing the most goals per 60 (3.82) at 5-on-5 has paved the way to a 4-7-2 start.
Simply put, there’s room for Montreal to pay closer attention to defensive detail without sinking the offensive ship. The Habs generated 2.62 expected goals per 60 at 5-on-5 the past two games, which is right in line with their 2.56 per 60 through the first 11, after all.
Turning to the New Jersey Devils, No. 1 Jacob Markstrom is lined up to return to the crease to face the Canadiens. He’s allowed just four goals across his past three starts with a .948 save percentage, and it’s helped the Devils play to the Under in three straight while generating just 1.87 expected goals per 60 at 5-on-5.
Canadiens vs Devils same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 6.5
Kirby Dach Over 1.5 shots
Dougie Hamilton Over 2.5 shots
I’ll continue to target Canadiens forward Kirby Dach in the shots market as long as he’s receiving top-line minutes, skating with the No. 1 power-play unit, and trading with a 1.5 total. Dach recorded two shots on four attempts across 20:19 of ice time during Tuesday’s loss to the Calgary Flames, and he and linemates Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield have a respectable 53.9% shot share at 5-on-5 for the season.
Devils blueliner Dougie Hamilton paces the club in shots (48) and attempts (100), and he’s recorded three or more shots in 11 of 15 games. His shot volume has also been up on home ice with his 9.76 shots per 60 since returning to North America above his 8.27 mark on the highway. Finally, the Habs also allow the fifth-most shots per game to opposing defensemen.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Canadiens vs Devils odds
Canadiens vs Devils live odds
Canadiens vs Devils opening odds
- Puck line: Montreal +220 | New Jersey -275
- Moneyline: Montreal +1.5 (-110) | New Jersey -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)
Odds courtesy of BET99
Canadiens vs Devils trend
The Montreal Canadiens have played to the Under in two consecutive games, and the New Jersey Devils have gone Under the number in three straight. Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Devils.
How to watch Canadiens vs Devils
| Location: | Prudential Center, Newark, NJ |
| Date: | Thursday, 11-7-2024 |
| Puck drop: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TSN2 |
Canadiens vs Devils latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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