The Calgary Flames' offense has let them down coming out of the 4 Nations break, scoring just seven goals over five games.
Now set to play the Philadelphia Flyers, I expect the road team to put forth a better offensive showing this time around, with Matt Coronato playing a key role in my Flames vs. Flyers predictions.
Let’s dive deeper with my NHL picks for March 4.
Flames vs Flyers prediction
My Flames pick
Matt Coronato Over 0.5 points (+115 at BET99)
My Flames analysis
Matt Coronato has just one point over his last six games, but it’s not for a lack of opportunity. Coronato has generated 27 shot attempts and 16 scoring chances, slotting him behind only Nazem Kadri amongst Calgary Flames forwards.
The Flames have found the back of the net during Coronato’s minutes as well. They’ve scored five goals with Coronato on the ice over the last six games, and he's somehow only factored into one of them.
There can be noise over small samples, but Coronato’s individual points percentage on the season is 59.62%, meaning he factors into just under 60% of the goals he’s on the ice for. His IPP during this rut sits at 20%.
What’s important is the Flames are creating when he’s on the ice, and plenty of the chances are coming off of his stick. So long as that continues, the points should follow.
While the Philadelphia Flyers are a strong defensive team in terms of limiting shots, the same can’t be said of goals. They have allowed the 7th most goals per game this season.
Although Samuel Ersson has performed better in goal of late, he still owns a .894 SV% on the year and an .893 mark through nearly 100 career games. He is not a goaltender to avoid targeting.
This is a nice spot to buy low on a quality offensive player who is due for a little puck luck.
Flames vs Flyers same-game parlay (SGP)
Matt Coronato Over 0.5 points
Matvei Michkov Over 0.5 points
Flames +1.5
Matvei Michkov is a very streaky player. When he’s hot, he’s hot, and he’s cooking right now. The dynamic rookie has produced 10 points over his past six games, putting forth four multi-point performances along the way.
Michkov is not used to the rigors of an NHL season and the grind that comes from playing so many games. His high while playing professionally in the KHL was 47 games — a number he’s already blown past. The extra rest is important for Michkov, as the Russian winger has hit the scoresheet in eight of 11 games following two days off.
With Dustin Wolf between the pipes, I love Calgary’s chances of keeping this game tight. He owns terrific numbers on the season and rarely gets blown up, allowing for the Flames to hang around almost every night.
The Flames should be able to provide him some run support against Ersson, giving the Flames great odds of keeping this one within a score.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Flames vs Flyers odds
Flames vs Flyers live odds
Flames vs Flyers opening odds
- Puck line: Calgary +122 | Philadelphia -138
- Moneyline: Calgary +1.5 (-220) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+186)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-112) | Under 5.5 (-103)
Odds courtesy of BET99
Flames vs Flyers trend
Calgary has covered a +1.5 spread in 10 straight games against Philadelphia. Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Flyers.
How to watch Oilers vs Ducks
| Location | Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Tuesday, 3-4-2025 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet West |
Flames vs Flyers latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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