Golden Knights vs Oilers Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: McDavid Shines Against Vegas

There's no denying it: Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers had a horrendous start to the season. With that said, McDavid has registered nine points in his last two outings, and our NHL picks expect the Oilers' captain to stay hot tonight.

Chris Faria - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Nov 28, 2023 • 12:35 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Western Conference-leading Vegas Golden Knights have hit their first slump of the season, going 3-5-2 over their last 10 games while their opponent — the Edmonton Oilers — have caught fire with 13 goals over their last two wins. These results have forced NHL odds to make the Oilers home favorites despite the overall records.

Connor McDavid is finally looking like himself with nine points in his last two outings, much to the delight of his NHL player props backers, and he'll try to lead Edmonton to its second three-game win streak of the season.

Find out if McDavid can stay hot in my Golden Knights vs. Oilers free NHL picks for this November 28 matchup

Golden Knights vs Oilers odds

Golden Knights vs Oilers predictions

It’s been a strange season for Connor McDavid, who’s had one of his slowest starts to a campaign in quite a while as he’s played through injury, team struggles, and a coaching change before the quarter mark of 2023-24.

The Edmonton Oilers captain has exploded offensively over the last four games, though, nearly doubling his point total for the season with 12 points over that span — highlighted by a four-assist outing against the Capitals on Friday and a five-point performance vs. the Ducks on Sunday.

McDavid now skates into tonight’s matchup with a very respectable 25 points in 18 games, as well as a chance to become the first player in NHL history to post four assists in three straight contests. What’s even more impressive about McDavid’s run is he hasn’t relied solely on the power play — collecting just four of his 12 points on the man advantage — while his seven points at even strength since the start of last week rank first in the NHL.

The Vegas Golden Knights do own the stingiest defense in the league at just 2.36 goals against per game but they’ve slipped a bit of late, surrendering at least three goals in six of their last 10 outings and four-plus goals on four occasions during this skid.

McDavid has posted multiple points in three of his last four games and four of his last seven outings, and now that he’s finally firing on all cylinders, I’m banking on him to collect another two points tonight.

My best bet: Connor McDavid Over 1.5 points (-105 at SIA)

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Golden Knights vs Oilers same-game parlay

Oilers moneyline

Both teams Over 2.5 goals

Over 7.5

Unfortunately, my best bet isn’t available as part of the same-game parlay, so I’ll switch my attention to some team wagers. The streaking Oilers come into this matchup as the home favorites and will be facing a slumping Golden Knights team coming off a back-to-back, so I like the hosts to win.

Edmonton is scoring in bunches of late with at least three goals in eight straight games and four-plus tallies in six of those outings. Vegas has been sluggish offensively but will have a chance to put some pucks in the net against an Oilers team that owns the third-worst defense in the NHL — allowing 3.70 gpg.

That said, I’ll round the same-game parlay out by banking on both teams to score Over 2.5 goals and for the game to finish at Over 7.5 goals.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Golden Knights vs Oilers moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Oilers somewhat surprisingly opened as the home favorite at -139 over the best team in the Western Conference with the total set at 6.5 goals. I’ll be looking for McDavid to lead his club to a third straight win while cashing the Over in the process.

Edmonton is 5-3-0 over its last eight games — not an eye-popping record but tied for the third-most points in the NHL since November 11. The Oilers have averaged 4.38 gpg over that span, tops in the NHL, while their power play has clicked at just under 30%. Those are all positive signs for the Oilers, who seem to finally be trending upwards and finding their offensive game.

Vegas, meanwhile, has just six points over that span — tied for fifth worst in the league — and sits dead last with just 1.71 gpg through its last seven contests. Even if the Oilers’ defense falls apart, their offense should carry them to another win if McDavid & Co. stay hot.

Edmonton should also be able to carry this game to the Over as the Oilers have scored five-plus goals in two straight games and four-plus goals in six of their last eight outings. They’ve also given up at least at least four goals in 10 of 20 contests this season, so the Golden Knights will have plenty of chances to run up the score themselves.

The Over is unsurprisingly 5-1 in Edmonton’s last six games and 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two clubs.

Golden Knights vs Oilers betting trend to know

The Golden Knights are 2-5 in their last seven road games. Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Oilers.

Golden Knights vs Oilers game info

Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Date: Tuesday, November 28, 2023
Puck drop: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: Scripps, Sportsnet West

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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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